The “red herring” after 20 years: ageing and health care expenditures
Author
Abstract
(This abstract was borrowed from another version of this item.)
Suggested Citation
DOI: 10.1007/s10198-020-01203-x
Download full text from publisher
As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to look for a different version below or search for a different version of it.
Other versions of this item:
- Friedrich Breyer & Normann Lorenz, 2019. "The "Red Herring" after 20 Years: Ageing and Health Care Expenditures," CESifo Working Paper Series 7951, CESifo.
References listed on IDEAS
- Normann Lorenz & Peter Ihle & Friedrich Breyer, 2020.
"Aging and Health Care Expenditures: A Non-Parametric Approach,"
CESifo Working Paper Series
8216, CESifo.
- Breyer, Friedrich & Lorenz, Normann & Ihle, Peter, 2020. "Aging and Health Care Expenditure: A non-parametric approach," VfS Annual Conference 2020 (Virtual Conference): Gender Economics 224635, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Hartwig, Jochen, 2008.
"What drives health care expenditure?--Baumol's model of 'unbalanced growth' revisited,"
Journal of Health Economics, Elsevier, vol. 27(3), pages 603-623, May.
- Jochen Hartwig, 2006. "What Drives Health Care Expenditure? Baumol's Model of "Unbalanced Growth" Revisited," KOF Working papers 06-133, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich.
- Fredrik Gregersen, 2014. "The impact of ageing on health care expenditures: a study of steepening," The European Journal of Health Economics, Springer;Deutsche Gesellschaft für Gesundheitsökonomie (DGGÖ), vol. 15(9), pages 979-989, December.
- Felder, Stefan & Meier, Markus & Schmitt, Horst, 2000. "Health care expenditure in the last months of life," Journal of Health Economics, Elsevier, vol. 19(5), pages 679-695, September.
- Peter Zweifel & Stefan Felder & Andreas Werblow, 2004. "Population Ageing and Health Care Expenditure: New Evidence on the “Red Herring”," The Geneva Papers on Risk and Insurance - Issues and Practice, Palgrave Macmillan;The Geneva Association, vol. 29(4), pages 652-666, October.
- Howdon, Daniel & Rice, Nigel, 2018.
"Health care expenditures, age, proximity to death and morbidity: Implications for an ageing population,"
Journal of Health Economics, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 60-74.
- Daniel Howdon & Nigel Rice, 2015. "Health care expenditures, age, proximity to death and morbidity: implications for an ageing population," Working Papers 107cherp, Centre for Health Economics, University of York.
- Tim Miller, 2001. "Increasing longevity and medicare expenditures," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 38(2), pages 215-226, May.
- Andreas Werblow & Stefan Felder & Peter Zweifel, 2007. "Population ageing and health care expenditure: a school of ‘red herrings’?," Health Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 16(10), pages 1109-1126, October.
- Victor R. Fuchs, 2018.
"“Though Much Is Taken”: Reflections on Aging, Health, and Medical Care,"
World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Health Economics and Policy Selected Writings by Victor Fuchs, chapter 33, pages 403-424,
World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
- Victor R. Fuchs, 1984. ""Though Much is Taken" -- Reflections on Aging, Health, and Medical Care," NBER Working Papers 1269, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Albert Wong & Pieter H. M. van Baal & Hendriek C. Boshuizen & Johan J. Polder, 2011. "Exploring the influence of proximity to death on disease‐specific hospital expenditures: a carpaccio of red herrings," Health Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 20(4), pages 379-400, April.
- van Baal, Pieter H. & Wong, Albert, 2012. "Time to death and the forecasting of macro-level health care expenditures: Some further considerations," Journal of Health Economics, Elsevier, vol. 31(6), pages 876-887.
- Rosa Aísa & Jesús Clemente & Fernando Pueyo, 2014. "The influence of (public) health expenditure on longevity," International Journal of Public Health, Springer;Swiss School of Public Health (SSPH+), vol. 59(5), pages 867-875, October.
- Felder, Stefan & Werblow, Andreas & Zweifel, Peter, 2010. "Do red herrings swim in circles? Controlling for the endogeneity of time to death," Journal of Health Economics, Elsevier, vol. 29(2), pages 205-212, March.
- Baoping Shang & Dana Goldman, 2008. "Does age or life expectancy better predict health care expenditures?," Health Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 17(4), pages 487-501, April.
- Florian Buchner & Jürgen Wasem, 2006.
"“Steeping” of Health Expenditure Profiles,"
The Geneva Papers on Risk and Insurance - Issues and Practice, Palgrave Macmillan;The Geneva Association, vol. 31(4), pages 581-599, October.
- Buchner, Florian & Wasem, Jürgen, 2004. ""Steeping" Of Health Expenditure Profiles," IBES Diskussionsbeiträge 139, University of Duisburg-Essen, Institute of Business and Economic Studie (IBES).
- Seshamani, Meena & Gray, Alastair M., 2004. "A longitudinal study of the effects of age and time to death on hospital costs," Journal of Health Economics, Elsevier, vol. 23(2), pages 217-235, March.
- Brockmann, Hilke, 2002. "Why is less money spent on health care for the elderly than for the rest of the population? Health care rationing in German hospitals," Social Science & Medicine, Elsevier, vol. 55(4), pages 593-608, August.
- Breyer, Friedrich & Felder, Stefan, 2006.
"Life expectancy and health care expenditures: A new calculation for Germany using the costs of dying,"
Health Policy, Elsevier, vol. 75(2), pages 178-186, January.
- Friedrich Breyer & Stefan Felder, 2004. "Life Expectancy and Health Care Expenditures: A New Calculation for Germany Using the Costs of Dying," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 452, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
- Friedrich Breyer & Normann Lorenz & Thomas Niebel, 2015.
"Health care expenditures and longevity: is there a Eubie Blake effect?,"
The European Journal of Health Economics, Springer;Deutsche Gesellschaft für Gesundheitsökonomie (DGGÖ), vol. 16(1), pages 95-112, January.
- Friedrich Breyer & Normann Lorenz & Thomas Niebel, 2012. "Health Care Expenditures and Longevity: Is There a Eubie Blake Effect?," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 1226, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
- Friedrich Breyer & Normann Lorenz & Thomas Niebel, 2012. "Health Care Expenditures and Longevity: Is there a Eubie Blake Effect?," Research Papers in Economics 2012-01, University of Trier, Department of Economics.
- Peter Zweifel & Lukas Steinmann & Patrick Eugster, 2005. "The Sisyphus Syndrome in Health Revisited," International Journal of Health Economics and Management, Springer, vol. 5(2), pages 127-145, June.
- Atella, Vincenzo & Conti, Valentina, 2014. "The effect of age and time to death on primary care costs: The Italian experience," Social Science & Medicine, Elsevier, vol. 114(C), pages 10-17.
- Office of Health Economics, 2007. "The Economics of Health Care," For School 001490, Office of Health Economics.
- repec:dau:papers:123456789/3881 is not listed on IDEAS
- de Meijer, Claudine & Koopmanschap, Marc & d' Uva, Teresa Bago & van Doorslaer, Eddy, 2011. "Determinants of long-term care spending: Age, time to death or disability?," Journal of Health Economics, Elsevier, vol. 30(2), pages 425-438, March.
- Eric French & Elaine Kelly & Pieter Bakx & Owen O'Donnell & Eddy Doorslaer, 2016.
"Spending on Health Care in the Netherlands: Not Going So Dutch,"
Fiscal Studies, Institute for Fiscal Studies, vol. 37, pages 593-625, September.
- Pieter Bakx & Owen O’Donnell & Eddy van Doorslaer, 2016. "Spending on Health Care in the Netherlands: Not going so Dutch," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 16-024/V, Tinbergen Institute.
- Häkkinen, Unto & Martikainen, Pekka & Noro, Anja & Nihtilä, Elina & Peltola, Mikko, 2008. "Aging, health expenditure, proximity to death, and income in Finland," Health Economics, Policy and Law, Cambridge University Press, vol. 3(2), pages 165-195, April.
- Brigitte Dormont & Michel Grignon & Hélène Huber, 2006.
"Health expenditure growth: reassessing the threat of ageing,"
Health Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 15(9), pages 947-963, September.
- Brigitte Dormont & Michel Grignon & Hélène Huber, 2006. "Health expenditure growth : reassessing the threat of ageing," Post-Print halshs-00181605, HAL.
- Claudia Geue & Andrew Briggs & James Lewsey & Paula Lorgelly, 2014. "Population ageing and healthcare expenditure projections: new evidence from a time to death approach," The European Journal of Health Economics, Springer;Deutsche Gesellschaft für Gesundheitsökonomie (DGGÖ), vol. 15(8), pages 885-896, November.
- Sally C. Stearns & Edward C. Norton, 2004. "Time to include time to death? The future of health care expenditure predictions," Health Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 13(4), pages 315-327, April.
- Colombier, Carsten & Weber, Werner, 2009.
"Projecting health-care expenditure for Switzerland: further evidence against the 'red-herring' hypothesis,"
MPRA Paper
26747, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised Nov 2009.
- Colombier, Carsten & Weber, Werner, 2009. "Projecting health-care expenditure for Switzerland: further evidence against the 'red-herring' hypothesis," MPRA Paper 26712, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised Jun 2010.
- Gallet, Craig A. & Doucouliagos, Hristos, 2017. "The impact of healthcare spending on health outcomes: A meta-regression analysis," Social Science & Medicine, Elsevier, vol. 179(C), pages 9-17.
- Peter Zweifel & Stefan Felder & Markus Meiers, 1999. "Ageing of population and health care expenditure: a red herring?," Health Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 8(6), pages 485-496, September.
- Carsten Colombier, 2018.
"Population ageing in healthcare – a minor issue? Evidence from Switzerland,"
Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 50(15), pages 1746-1760, March.
- Colombier, Carsten, 2016. "Population aging in healthcare - a minor issue? Evidence from Switzerland," FiFo Discussion Papers - Finanzwissenschaftliche Diskussionsbeiträge 16-3, University of Cologne, FiFo Institute for Public Economics.
- Felder, Stefan & Werblow, Andreas, 2008. "Do the age profiles of health care expenditure really steepen over time? New evidence from Swiss cantons," Dresden Discussion Paper Series in Economics 05/08, Technische Universität Dresden, Faculty of Business and Economics, Department of Economics.
- Eric French & Elaine Kelly & Martin Karlsson & Tobias J. Klein & Nicolas R. Ziebarth, 2016. "Skewed, Persistent and High before Death: Medical Spending in Germany," Fiscal Studies, Institute for Fiscal Studies, vol. 37, pages 527-559, September.
- Pedro Pita Barros, 1998. "The black box of health care expenditure growth determinants," Health Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 7(6), pages 533-544, September.
- Steinmann Lukas & Telser Harry & Zweifel Peter S., 2007. "Aging and Future Healthcare Expenditure: A Consistent Approach," Forum for Health Economics & Policy, De Gruyter, vol. 10(2), pages 1-28, March.
- Thomas Bjørner & Søren Arnberg, 2012. "Terminal costs, improved life expectancy and future public health expenditure," International Journal of Health Economics and Management, Springer, vol. 12(2), pages 129-143, June.
- Christian Salas & James P. Raftery, 2001. "Econometric issues in testing the age neutrality of health care expenditure," Health Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 10(7), pages 669-671, October.
- Polder, Johan J. & Barendregt, Jan J. & van Oers, Hans, 2006. "Health care costs in the last year of life--The Dutch experience," Social Science & Medicine, Elsevier, vol. 63(7), pages 1720-1731, October.
- Stefan Felder & Andreas Werblow, 2008. "Does the Age Profile of Health Care Expenditure Really Steepen over Time? New Evidence from Swiss Cantons," The Geneva Papers on Risk and Insurance - Issues and Practice, Palgrave Macmillan;The Geneva Association, vol. 33(4), pages 710-727, October.
- Martin Karlsson & Florian Klohn, 2014. "Testing the red herring hypothesis on an aggregated level: ageing, time-to-death and care costs for older people in Sweden," The European Journal of Health Economics, Springer;Deutsche Gesellschaft für Gesundheitsökonomie (DGGÖ), vol. 15(5), pages 533-551, June.
Citations
Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
Cited by:
- Breyer, Friedrich & Lorenz, Normann & Ihle, Peter, 2020.
"Aging and Health Care Expenditure: A non-parametric approach,"
VfS Annual Conference 2020 (Virtual Conference): Gender Economics
224635, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Normann Lorenz & Peter Ihle & Friedrich Breyer, 2020. "Aging and Health Care Expenditures: A Non-Parametric Approach," CESifo Working Paper Series 8216, CESifo.
- Pablo GARCIA SANCHEZ & Luca MARCHIORI & Olivier PIERRARD, 2024.
"On Optimal Subsidies for Prevention and Long-Term Care,"
LIDAM Discussion Papers IRES
2024008, Université catholique de Louvain, Institut de Recherches Economiques et Sociales (IRES).
- Pablo Garcia Sanchez & Luca Marchiori & Olivier Pierrard, 2024. "On optimal subsidies for prevention and long-term care," BCL working papers 186, Central Bank of Luxembourg.
- Hamraz Mokri & Ingelin Kvamme & Linda Vries & Matthijs Versteegh & Pieter Baal, 2023. "Future medical and non-medical costs and their impact on the cost-effectiveness of life-prolonging interventions: a comparison of five European countries," The European Journal of Health Economics, Springer;Deutsche Gesellschaft für Gesundheitsökonomie (DGGÖ), vol. 24(5), pages 701-715, July.
- Mauro Laudicella & Paolo Li Donni & Kim Rose Olsen & Dorte Gyrd‐Hansen, 2022.
"Age, morbidity, or something else? A residual approach using microdata to measure the impact of technological progress on health care expenditure,"
Health Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 31(6), pages 1184-1201, June.
- Laudicella, Mauro & Di Donni, Paolo & Rose Olsen, Kim & Gyrd-Hansen, Dorte, 2020. "Age, morbidity, or something else? A residual approach using microdata to measure the impact of technological progress on health care expenditure," DaCHE discussion papers 2020:4, University of Southern Denmark, Dache - Danish Centre for Health Economics.
- Colombier, Carsten & Braendle, Thomas, 2022. "Healthcare expenditure projections up to 2050: ageing and the COVID-19 crisis," MPRA Paper 120659, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Werding, Martin & Läpple, Benjamin, 2020. "Finanzrisiken für den Bund durch die demographische Entwicklung in der Sozialversicherung [Financial risks for the Federal budget through the impact of demographic ageing on social insurance system," FiFo Reports - FiFo-Berichte 29, University of Cologne, FiFo Institute for Public Economics.
Most related items
These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.- Breyer Friedrich, 2015. "Demographischer Wandel und Gesundheitsausgaben: Theorie, Empirie und Politikimplikationen," Perspektiven der Wirtschaftspolitik, De Gruyter, vol. 16(3), pages 215-230, October.
- Anne Mason & Idaira Rodriguez Santana & MarÃa José Aragón & Nigel Rice & Martin Chalkley & Raphael Wittenberg & Jose-Luis Fernandez, 2019. "Drivers of health care expenditure: Final report," Working Papers 169cherp, Centre for Health Economics, University of York.
- Melberg, Hans Olav & Sørensen, Jan, 2013. "How does end of life costs and increases in life expectancy affect projections of future hospital spending?," HERO Online Working Paper Series 2013:9, University of Oslo, Health Economics Research Programme.
- Stefan Felder, 2013. "The Impact of Demographic Change on Healthcare Expenditure," ifo DICE Report, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 11(1), pages 03-06, 04.
- Maciej Lis, 2015. "Red Herring in the Vistula River: Time-to-Death and Health Care Expenditure," IBS Working Papers 13/2015, Instytut Badan Strukturalnych.
- repec:ces:ifodic:v:11:y:2013:i:1:p:19078503 is not listed on IDEAS
- Joan Costa‐Font & Cristina Vilaplana‐Prieto, 2020.
"‘More than one red herring'? Heterogeneous effects of ageing on health care utilisation,"
Health Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 29(S1), pages 8-29, October.
- Costa-Font, Joan & Vilaplana-Prieto, Cristina, 2020. "More than one red herring? Heterogeneous effects of ageing on healthcare utilisation," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 104243, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Costa-Font, Joan & Vilaplana-Prieto, Cristina, 2020. "'More Than One Red Herring'? Heterogeneous Effects of Ageing on Healthcare Utilisation," IZA Discussion Papers 13228, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
- Joan Costa-i-Font & Cristina Vilaplana-Prieto, 2020. "'More than One Red Herring'? Heterogeneous Effects of Ageing on Healthcare Utilisation," CESifo Working Paper Series 8300, CESifo.
- Fredrik Gregersen, 2014. "The impact of ageing on health care expenditures: a study of steepening," The European Journal of Health Economics, Springer;Deutsche Gesellschaft für Gesundheitsökonomie (DGGÖ), vol. 15(9), pages 979-989, December.
- Moore, Patrick V. & Bennett, Kathleen & Normand, Charles, 2017. "Counting the time lived, the time left or illness? Age, proximity to death, morbidity and prescribing expenditures," Social Science & Medicine, Elsevier, vol. 184(C), pages 1-14.
- Norton, E.C., 2016. "Health and Long-Term Care," Handbook of the Economics of Population Aging, in: Piggott, John & Woodland, Alan (ed.), Handbook of the Economics of Population Aging, edition 1, volume 1, chapter 0, pages 951-989, Elsevier.
- Friedrich Breyer & Normann Lorenz & Thomas Niebel, 2015.
"Health care expenditures and longevity: is there a Eubie Blake effect?,"
The European Journal of Health Economics, Springer;Deutsche Gesellschaft für Gesundheitsökonomie (DGGÖ), vol. 16(1), pages 95-112, January.
- Friedrich Breyer & Normann Lorenz & Thomas Niebel, 2012. "Health Care Expenditures and Longevity: Is there a Eubie Blake Effect?," Research Papers in Economics 2012-01, University of Trier, Department of Economics.
- Friedrich Breyer & Normann Lorenz & Thomas Niebel, 2012. "Health Care Expenditures and Longevity: Is There a Eubie Blake Effect?," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 1226, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
- Stefan Felder, 2013. "The Impact of Demographic Change on Healthcare Expenditure," ifo DICE Report, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 11(01), pages 03-06, April.
- Caravaggio, Nicola & Resce, Giuliano, 2023. "Enhancing Healthcare Cost Forecasting: A Machine Learning Model for Resource Allocation in Heterogeneous Regions," Economics & Statistics Discussion Papers esdp23090, University of Molise, Department of Economics.
- Atella, Vincenzo & Conti, Valentina, 2014. "The effect of age and time to death on primary care costs: The Italian experience," Social Science & Medicine, Elsevier, vol. 114(C), pages 10-17.
- Howdon, Daniel & Rice, Nigel, 2018.
"Health care expenditures, age, proximity to death and morbidity: Implications for an ageing population,"
Journal of Health Economics, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 60-74.
- Daniel Howdon & Nigel Rice, 2015. "Health care expenditures, age, proximity to death and morbidity: implications for an ageing population," Working Papers 107cherp, Centre for Health Economics, University of York.
- Mauro Laudicella & Paolo Li Donni & Kim Rose Olsen & Dorte Gyrd‐Hansen, 2022.
"Age, morbidity, or something else? A residual approach using microdata to measure the impact of technological progress on health care expenditure,"
Health Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 31(6), pages 1184-1201, June.
- Laudicella, Mauro & Di Donni, Paolo & Rose Olsen, Kim & Gyrd-Hansen, Dorte, 2020. "Age, morbidity, or something else? A residual approach using microdata to measure the impact of technological progress on health care expenditure," DaCHE discussion papers 2020:4, University of Southern Denmark, Dache - Danish Centre for Health Economics.
- Murphy, Michael & Martikainen, Pekka, 2013. "Use of hospital and long-term institutional care services in relation to proximity to death among older people in Finland," Social Science & Medicine, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 39-47.
- Maynou, Laia & Street, Andrew & García−Altés, Anna, 2023. "Living longer in declining health: Factors driving healthcare costs among older people," Social Science & Medicine, Elsevier, vol. 327(C).
- Vincenzo Atella & Valentina Conti, 2013. "The effect of age and time to death on health care expenditures: the Italian experience," CEIS Research Paper 267, Tor Vergata University, CEIS, revised 12 Nov 2013.
- Wong, Albert & Wouterse, Bram & Slobbe, Laurentius C.J. & Boshuizen, Hendriek C. & Polder, Johan J., 2012. "Medical innovation and age-specific trends in health care utilization: Findings and implications," Social Science & Medicine, Elsevier, vol. 74(2), pages 263-272.
- Carsten Colombier & Thomas Braendle, 2018. "Healthcare expenditure and fiscal sustainability: evidence from Switzerland," Public Sector Economics, Institute of Public Finance, vol. 42(3), pages 279-301.
More about this item
Keywords
H51; J14; I10;All these keywords.
JEL classification:
- H51 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies - - - Government Expenditures and Health
- J11 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Demographic Trends, Macroeconomic Effects, and Forecasts
- I19 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Health - - - Other
Statistics
Access and download statisticsCorrections
All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:eujhec:v:22:y:2021:i:5:d:10.1007_s10198-020-01203-x. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.
If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.
If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .
If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .
Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.