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"Steeping" Of Health Expenditure Profiles

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  • Buchner, Florian
  • Wasem, Jürgen

Abstract

If health care expenditure for the elderly grows faster than for younger people, the expenditure profiles become "steeper" – we call that "steeping". Three instruments for measuring "steeping" are presented: (1) trend of the relation between per-capita-expenditure of the old and the young; (2) comparing the linear slopes of per-capita-expenditure in age groups; (3) trend in parameters of non-linear modelling of expenditure profiles. Using data of the largest German private health insurer over a period of 18 years, "steeping" could be observed by all three methods in most examined insurance plans. A prognosis for 2040 shows that per-capita-expenditure will increase by 128 %.

Suggested Citation

  • Buchner, Florian & Wasem, Jürgen, 2004. ""Steeping" Of Health Expenditure Profiles," IBES Diskussionsbeiträge 139, University of Duisburg-Essen, Institute of Business and Economic Studie (IBES).
  • Handle: RePEc:zbw:udewwd:139
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    Cited by:

    1. Fredrik Gregersen, 2014. "The impact of ageing on health care expenditures: a study of steepening," The European Journal of Health Economics, Springer;Deutsche Gesellschaft für Gesundheitsökonomie (DGGÖ), vol. 15(9), pages 979-989, December.
    2. Gasche Martin & Rausch Johannes, 2016. "Beitragssatzentwicklung in der Gesetzlichen Krankenversicherung und der Sozialen Pflegeversicherung – Projektionen und Determinanten," Zeitschrift für Wirtschaftspolitik, De Gruyter, vol. 65(3), pages 195-238, December.
    3. Felder, Stefan & Werblow, Andreas, 2008. "Do the age profiles of health care expenditure really steepen over time? New evidence from Swiss cantons," Dresden Discussion Paper Series in Economics 05/08, Technische Universität Dresden, Faculty of Business and Economics, Department of Economics.
    4. Laurence J. Kotlikoff & Christian Hagist, 2005. "Who’s Going Broke? Comparing Growth in Healthcare Costs in Ten OECD Countries," Working Papers id:286, eSocialSciences.
    5. Wong, Albert & Wouterse, Bram & Slobbe, Laurentius C.J. & Boshuizen, Hendriek C. & Polder, Johan J., 2012. "Medical innovation and age-specific trends in health care utilization: Findings and implications," Social Science & Medicine, Elsevier, vol. 74(2), pages 263-272.
    6. Ried, Walter, 2007. "On the relationship between aging, edical progress and age-specific health care expenditures," Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Diskussionspapiere 08/2007, University of Greifswald, Faculty of Law and Economics.
    7. Christian Hagist & Laurence J. Kotlikoff, 2009. "Who’s going broke? Comparing growth in Public healthcare expenditure in Ten OECD Countries," Hacienda Pública Española, IEF, vol. 188(1), pages 55-72, March.
    8. Gregersen, Fredrik Alexander & Godager, Geir, 2013. "Hospital expenditures and the red herring hypothesis: Evidence from a complete national registry," HERO On line Working Paper Series 2013:3, Oslo University, Health Economics Research Programme.
    9. Christian Hagist & Laurence Kotlikoff, 2005. "Who's Going Broke? Comparing Growth in Healthcare Costs in Ten OECD Countries," NBER Working Papers 11833, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    10. Wasem, Jürgen & Buchner, Florian & Walendzik, Anke & Schröder, Michael, 2016. "Qualitative Analysen zur harmonisierten Berechnung einer Alterungsrückstellung und der verfassungskonformen Ausgestaltung ihrer Portabilität: Endbericht - Studie im Auftrag des Verbraucherzentrale Bun," IBES Diskussionsbeiträge 218, University of Duisburg-Essen, Institute of Business and Economic Studie (IBES).

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