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"Steeping" Of Health Expenditure Profiles

  • Buchner, Florian
  • Wasem, Jürgen

If health care expenditure for the elderly grows faster than for younger people, the expenditure profiles become "steeper" – we call that "steeping". Three instruments for measuring "steeping" are presented: (1) trend of the relation between per-capita-expenditure of the old and the young; (2) comparing the linear slopes of per-capita-expenditure in age groups; (3) trend in parameters of non-linear modelling of expenditure profiles. Using data of the largest German private health insurer over a period of 18 years, "steeping" could be observed by all three methods in most examined insurance plans. A prognosis for 2040 shows that per-capita-expenditure will increase by 128 %.

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Paper provided by University of Duisburg-Essen, Institute of Business and Economic Studie (IBES) in its series IBES Diskussionsbeiträge with number 139.

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Date of creation: 2004
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:zbw:udewwd:139
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