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Population ageing and healthcare expenditure projections: new evidence from a time to death approach

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  • Claudia Geue
  • Andrew Briggs
  • James Lewsey
  • Paula Lorgelly

Abstract

The analysis showed that if death is postponed into older ages, HCE (and HC budgets) would not increase to the same extent if these factors were ignored. Such factors would be ignored if the population that is in their last year(s) of life were not taken into consideration when obtaining cost estimates. Copyright Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg 2014

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  • Claudia Geue & Andrew Briggs & James Lewsey & Paula Lorgelly, 2014. "Population ageing and healthcare expenditure projections: new evidence from a time to death approach," The European Journal of Health Economics, Springer;Deutsche Gesellschaft für Gesundheitsökonomie (DGGÖ), vol. 15(8), pages 885-896, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:eujhec:v:15:y:2014:i:8:p:885-896
    DOI: 10.1007/s10198-013-0543-7
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    4. Friedrich Breyer & Normann Lorenz & Thomas Niebel, 2015. "Health care expenditures and longevity: is there a Eubie Blake effect?," The European Journal of Health Economics, Springer;Deutsche Gesellschaft für Gesundheitsökonomie (DGGÖ), vol. 16(1), pages 95-112, January.
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    2. Claudia Geue & Paula Lorgelly & James Lewsey & Carole Hart & Andrew Briggs, 2015. "Hospital Expenditure at the End-of-Life: What Are the Impacts of Health Status and Health Risks?," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 10(3), pages 1-14, March.
    3. V. P. Sanitha & J. K. Parida & I. C. Awasthi, 2019. "Health Conditions, Medication and Hospitalisation Preferences of Elderly in Kerala," Indian Journal of Human Development, , vol. 13(3), pages 308-324, December.
    4. Audrey Tanguy-Melac & Dorian Verboux & Laurence Pestel & Anne Fagot-Campagna & Philippe Tuppin & Christelle Gastaldi-Ménager, 2021. "Evolution of health care utilization and expenditure during the year before death in 2015 among people with cancer: French snds-based cohort study," The European Journal of Health Economics, Springer;Deutsche Gesellschaft für Gesundheitsökonomie (DGGÖ), vol. 22(7), pages 1039-1052, September.
    5. Timothy Riffe & Alyson A. van Raalte & Maarten J. Bijlsma, 2017. "Healthy life expectancy, mortality, and age prevalence of morbidity," MPIDR Working Papers WP-2017-015, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany.
    6. Chandoevwit, Worawan & Phatchana, Phasith, 2018. "Inpatient care expenditure of the elderly with chronic diseases who use public health insurance: Disparity in their last year of life," Social Science & Medicine, Elsevier, vol. 207(C), pages 64-70.
    7. Moore, Patrick V. & Bennett, Kathleen & Normand, Charles, 2017. "Counting the time lived, the time left or illness? Age, proximity to death, morbidity and prescribing expenditures," Social Science & Medicine, Elsevier, vol. 184(C), pages 1-14.
    8. Friedrich Breyer & Normann Lorenz, 2021. "The “red herring” after 20 years: ageing and health care expenditures," The European Journal of Health Economics, Springer;Deutsche Gesellschaft für Gesundheitsökonomie (DGGÖ), vol. 22(5), pages 661-667, July.
    9. Rodney P. Jones, 2022. "A Model to Compare International Hospital Bed Numbers, including a Case Study on the Role of Indigenous People on Acute ‘Occupied’ Bed Demand in Australian States," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(18), pages 1-27, September.
    10. Breyer Friedrich, 2015. "Demographischer Wandel und Gesundheitsausgaben: Theorie, Empirie und Politikimplikationen," Perspektiven der Wirtschaftspolitik, De Gruyter, vol. 16(3), pages 215-230, October.
    11. Maynou, Laia & Street, Andrew & García−Altés, Anna, 2023. "Living longer in declining health: Factors driving healthcare costs among older people," Social Science & Medicine, Elsevier, vol. 327(C).
    12. Kasteridis, Panagiotis & Rice, Nigel & Santos, Rita, 2022. "Heterogeneity in end of life health care expenditure trajectory profiles," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 204(C), pages 221-251.
    13. Maria Ana Matias & Rita Santos & Panos Kasteridis & Katja Grasic & Anne Mason & Nigel Rice, 2022. "Approaches to projecting future healthcare demand," Working Papers 186cherp, Centre for Health Economics, University of York.
    14. Martin Stepanek, 2022. "Sectoral Impacts of International Labour Migration and Population Ageing in the Czech Republic," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 60(2), pages 375-400, August.
    15. Anne Mason & Idaira Rodriguez Santana & María José Aragón & Nigel Rice & Martin Chalkley & Raphael Wittenberg & Jose-Luis Fernandez, 2019. "Drivers of health care expenditure: Final report," Working Papers 169cherp, Centre for Health Economics, University of York.

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