Taking the Fed at its Word: A New Approach to Estimating Central Bank Objectives using Text Analysis
Citations
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Cited by:
- Haavio, Markus & Heikkinen, Joni & Jalasjoki, Pirkka & Kilponen, Juha & Paloviita, Maritta, 2025. "ECB's evolving communication and policy preferences since 2021 strategy review," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 3/2025, Bank of Finland.
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- Yunshu Hu & Tianyi Zhang & Yuerong Zhuang, 2024. "Chinatowns: Indirect Casualties of the Pandemic," The American Economist, Sage Publications, vol. 69(1), pages 21-34, March.
- David M. Arseneau & Alejandro Drexler & Mitsuhiro Osada, 2022. "Central Bank Communication about Climate Change," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2022-031, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Urmat Dzhunkeev, 2025. "MOSES: Macroeconomic Forecasting with Models and Sentiment Synthesis," Russian Journal of Money and Finance, Bank of Russia, vol. 84(4), pages 63-84, December.
- Laurent Ferrara & Nicolas de Roux, 2025.
"Capturing international influences in U.S. monetary policy through a NLP approach,"
Working Papers
hal-05072535, HAL.
- Nicolas de Roux & Laurent Ferrara, 2025. "Capturing international influences in U.S. monetary policy through a NLP approach," EconomiX Working Papers 2025-23, University of Paris Nanterre, EconomiX.
- Moreno-Pérez, Carlos & Minozzo, Marco, 2026.
"Monetary policy uncertainty in Mexico: An unsupervised approach,"
International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 186(C).
- Carlos Moreno Pérez & Marco Minozzo, 2022. "Monetary Policy Uncertainty in Mexico: An Unsupervised Approach," Working Papers 2229, Banco de España.
- Bennani, Hamza & Romelli, Davide, 2024.
"Exploring the informativeness and drivers of tone during committee meetings: The case of the Federal Reserve,"
Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 148(C).
- Hamza Bennani & Davide Romelli, 2024. "Exploring the informativeness and drivers of tone during committee meetings: the case of the Federal Reserve," Post-Print hal-04670309, HAL.
- Andrea Bassanini & Eve Caroli & Bruno Chaves Ferreira & Antoine Reberioux, 2025.
"Don't Downsize This! Social Reactions to Mass Dismissals on Twitter,"
Industrial Relations: A Journal of Economy and Society, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 64(4), pages 580-597, October.
- Bassanini, Andrea & Caroli, Eve & Ferreira, Bruno Chaves & Rebérioux, Antoine, 2020. "Don't Downsize This! Social Reactions to Mass Dismissals on Twitter," IZA Discussion Papers 13840, IZA Network @ LISER.
- Bassanini, Andrea & Caroli, Eve & Chaves Ferreira, Bruno & Reberioux, Antoine, 2023. "Don't Downsize This! Social Reactions to Mass Dismissals on Twitter," GLO Discussion Paper Series 1254, Global Labor Organization (GLO).
- Andrea Bassanini & Eve Caroli & Bruno Chaves Ferreira & Antoine Reberioux, 2020. "Don’t Downsize This! Social Reactions to Mass Dismissals on Twitter," Post-Print halshs-03012930, HAL.
- Justyna Klejdysz & Robin L. Lumsdaine, 2023. "Shifts in ECB Communication: A Textual Analysis of the Press Conference," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 19(2), pages 473-542, June.
- Bianchi, Francesco & Melosi, Leonardo & Rottner, Matthias, 2021.
"Hitting the elusive inflation target,"
Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 124(C), pages 107-122.
- Bianchi, Francesco & Melosi, Leonardo & Rottner, Matthias, 2019. "Hitting the Elusive Inflation Target," CEPR Discussion Papers 14161, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
- Francesco Bianchi & Leonardo Melosi & Matthias Rottner, 2019. "Hitting the Elusive Inflation Target," Working Paper Series WP-2019-7, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
- Francesco Bianchi & Leonardo Melosi & Matthias Rottner, 2019. "Hitting the Elusive Inflation Target," NBER Working Papers 26279, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Bianchi, Francesco & Melosi, Leonardo & Rottner, Matthias, 2021. "Hitting the elusive inflation target," Discussion Papers 40/2021, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Friedrich Heinemann & Jan Kemper, 2026.
"ECB Council Members’ Objectives and Public Debt at Home – Evidence from an AI-Based Textual Analysis,"
CESifo Working Paper Series
12493, CESifo.
- Heinemann, Friedrich & Kemper, Jan, 2026. "ECB Council members' objectives and public debt at home: Evidence from an AI-based textual analysis," ZEW Discussion Papers 26-005, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research.
- Stefano Fasani & Mirela Miescu & Lorenza Rossi, 2026. "Nonlinearities With Deanchored Inflation Expectations," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 67(3), pages 977-996, August.
- Kanelis, Dimitrios & Siklos, Pierre L., 2026.
"Emotion in Euro area monetary policy communication and bond yields: the Draghi era,"
Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 245(C).
- Dimitrios Kanelis & Pierre L. Siklos, 2022. "Emotion in Euro Area Monetary Policy Communication and Bond Yields: The Draghi Era," CQE Working Papers 10322, Center for Quantitative Economics (CQE), University of Muenster.
- Dimitrios Kanelis & Pierre L. Siklos, 2022. "Emotion in Euro Area Monetary Policy Communication and Bond Yields: The Draghi Era," CAMA Working Papers 2022-75, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University, revised Jun 2024.
- Kanelis, Dimitrios & Siklos, Pierre L., 2025. "Emotion in euro area monetary policy communication and bond yields: The Draghi era," Discussion Papers 16/2025, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Kerstin Bernoth, 2025. "Dovish Coos or Hawkish Screech? From Central Bank Talk to Economic Walk," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 2137, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
- Corsello, Francesco & Neri, Stefano & Tagliabracci, Alex, 2021.
"Anchored or de-anchored? That is the question,"
European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
- Francesco Corsello & Stefano Neri & Alex Tagliabracci, 2019. "Anchored or de-anchored? That is the question," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 516, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
- Martina Cecioni & Adriana Grasso & Alessandro Notarpietro & Massimiliano Pisani, 2021. "Revisiting monetary policy objectives and strategies: international experience and challenges from the ELB," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 660, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
- Rosalind L. Bennett & Manju Puri & Paul E. Soto, 2024. "Inside the Boardroom: Evidence from the Board Structure and Meeting Minutes of Community Banks," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2024-085, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Audrino, Francesco & Serwart, Jan, 2024. "Yield curve trading strategies exploiting sentiment data," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
- Firmin Ayivodji & Etienne Briand & Kevin Moran & Dalibor Stevanovic, 2026.
"Monetary Policy in the Media Spotlight: Sentiments, Signals, and Economic Impact,"
Papers
2605.15092, arXiv.org.
- Firmin Ayivodji & Etienne Briand & Kevin Moran & Dalibor Stevanovic, 2026. "Monetary Policy in the Media Spotlight: Sentiments, Signals, and Economic Impact," Working Papers 26-03, Chair in macroeconomics and forecasting, University of Quebec in Montreal's School of Management.
- Chen, Chuanglian & Liu, Xiaobin & Yu, Jun & Zeng, Tao, 2025.
"The time-varying zone-like and asymmetric preference of central banks: Evidence from China,"
China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 94(PA).
- Chuanglian Chen & Xiaobin Liu & Jun Yu & Tao Zeng, 2024. "The Time-varying Zone-like and Asymmetric Preference of Central Banks: Evidence from China," Working Papers 202421, University of Macau, Faculty of Business Administration.
- Hilscher, Jens & Nabors, Kyle & Raviv, Alon, 2026. "Information in central bank sentiment: An analysis of Fed and ECB communication," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 110(C).
- Davtyan, Karen & Kalozdi, Adel R., 2026.
"The power of words: Central bank green communication and performance of energy sectors,"
Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 160(C).
- Karen Davtyan & Adel R. Kalozdi, 2025. "The Power of Words: Central Bank Green Communication and Performance of Energy Sectors," Working Papers wpdea2515, Department of Applied Economics at Universitat Autonoma of Barcelona.
- Gu, Chen & Chen, Denghui & Stan, Raluca & Shen, Aizhong, 2022. "It is not just What you say, but How you say it: Why tonality matters in central bank communication," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 216-231.
- Rudy Marhastari & Cicilia Anggadewi Harun & Retno Muhardini & Agatha Silalahi & Annes Nisrina Khoirunnisa & Rheznandya Arkaputra Azis & Sintia Aurida & Rahardian Luthfan Ihtifazhuddin & Citra Ayu Ross, 2025. "Echoes Of Policy: Leveraging Ai/Ml To Support Central Bank Communication Strategies," Working Papers WP/19/2025, Bank Indonesia.
- Daniel Aromí & Daniel Heymann, 2024. "Talk to Fed: a Big Dive into FOMC Transcripts," Working Papers 323, Red Nacional de Investigadores en Economía (RedNIE).
- Martina Dattilo & Fabio Padovano, 2025.
"Evaluating the quality of UNESCO World Heritage List: a comparison with the Baedeker’s guidebooks,"
Journal of Cultural Economics, Springer;The Association for Cultural Economics International, vol. 49(1), pages 23-47, March.
- Martina Dattilo & Fabio Padovano, 2023. "Evaluating the quality of UNESCO World Heritage List: a comparison with the Baedeker's guidebooks," Post-Print hal-04388046, HAL.
- Ryan Chahrour & Adam Hale Shapiro & Daniel Wilson, 2025.
"News Selection and Household Inflation Expectations,"
NBER Working Papers
33837, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Ryan Chahrour & Adam Hale Shapiro & Daniel J. Wilson, 2025. "News Selection and Household Inflation Expectations," Working Paper Series 2024-31, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
- Carotta, Gianni & Mello, Miguel & Ponce, Jorge, 2023. "Monetary policy communication and inflation expectations: New evidence about tone and readability," Latin American Journal of Central Banking (previously Monetaria), Elsevier, vol. 4(3).
- Babatunde Samson Omotosho, 2020.
"Central Bank Communication In Ghana: Insights From A Text Mining Analysis,"
Noble International Journal of Economics and Financial Research, Noble Academic Publsiher, vol. 5(1), pages 01-13, January.
- Omotosho, Babatunde S., 2019. "Central Bank Communication in Ghana: Insights from a Text Mining Analysis," MPRA Paper 98297, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Kanelis, Dimitrios & Kranzmann, Lars H. & Siklos, Pierre L., 2025. "The financial instability - Monetary policy nexus: Evidence from the FOMC minutes," Discussion Papers 13/2025, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Karnaukh, Nina & Vokata, Petra, 2022. "Growth forecasts and news about monetary policy," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 146(1), pages 55-70.
- Markus Haavio & Joni Heikkinen & Pirkka Jalasjoki & Juha Kilponen & Maritta Paloviita & Ilona Vänni, 2026.
"Reading between the lines - uncovering asymmetry in the central bank loss function,"
IFC Bulletins chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Statistics and beyond: new data for decision making in central banks, volume 66,
Bank for International Settlements.
- Haavio, Markus & Heikkinen, Joni & Jalasjoki, Pirkka & Kilponen, Juha & Paloviita, Maritta & Vänni, Ilona, 2024. "Reading between the lines: Uncovering asymmetry in the central bank loss function," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 6/2024, Bank of Finland.
- Bertsch, Christoph & Hull, Isaiah & Lumsdaine, Robin L. & Zhang, Xin, 2025.
"Central bank mandates and monetary policy stances: Through the lens of Federal Reserve speeches,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 249(PC).
- Bertsch, Christoph & Hull, Isaiah & Lumsdaine, Robin L. & Zhang, Xin, 2022. "Central Bank Mandates and Monetary Policy Stances: through the Lens of Federal Reserve Speeches," Working Paper Series 417, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden), revised 01 Sep 2024.
- François Gourio & Benjamin K. Johannsen & J. David López-Salido, 2025. "The Origins, Structure, and Results of the Federal Reserve’s 2019–20 Review of Its Monetary Policy Framework," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2025-065, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Sara Casella & Jesús Fernández-Villaverde & Stephen Hansen & Ryohei Oishi & Minchul Shin, 2026.
"Structural Estimation with Unstructured Data,"
NBER Working Papers
35487, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Sara Casella & Jesús Fernández-Villaverde & Stephen Hansen & Ryohei Oishi & Minchul Shin, 2026. "Structural Estimation with Unstructured Data," Working Papers 2620, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
- Casella, Sara & Fernández-Villaverde, Jesús & Hansen, Stephen & Oishi, Ryohei & Shin, Minchul, 2026. "Structural Estimation with Unstructured Data," CEPR Discussion Papers 21746, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
- Caruso-Bloeck, Martin & Mello, Miguel & Ponce, Jorge, 2023.
"News of disinflation and firms’ expectations: New causal evidence,"
Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 137(C).
- Martin Caruso Bloeck & Miguel Mello & Jorge Ponce, 2022. "News of disinflation and firms' expectations: new causal evidence," Documentos de trabajo 2022003, Banco Central del Uruguay.
- Tsang, Kwok Ping & Yang, Zichao, 2025. "Agree to disagree: Measuring hidden dissent in FOMC meetings," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 180(C).
- Bordo, Michael & Istrefi, Klodiana, 2023.
"Perceived FOMC: The making of hawks, doves and swingers,"
Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 136(C), pages 125-143.
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- Michael Bordo & Klodiana Istrefi, 2018. "Perceived FOMC: The Making of Hawks, Doves and Swingers," Working papers 683, Banque de France.
- Giampaolo Bonomi & Ali Uppal, 2023. "Kites and Quails: Monetary Policy and Communication with Strategic Financial Markets," Papers 2305.08958, arXiv.org, revised May 2024.
- Adam Golinski & Sophie Guilloux-Nefussi & Jean-Paul Renne, 2025. "The Shadow Rate Model: Let’s Make it Real!," Working papers 1014, Banque de France.
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"Agree to disagree: Measuring hidden dissent in FOMC meetings,"
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- Pinar Deniz & Thanasis Stengos, 2025. "Who Is Leading in Communication Tone? Wavelet Analysis of the Fed and the ECB," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 18(4), pages 1-19, April.
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- Bohl, Martin T. & Kanelis, Dimitrios & Siklos, Pierre L., 2023. "Central bank mandates: How differences can influence the content and tone of central bank communication," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 130(C).
- Istrefi, Klodiana & Odendahl, Florens & Sestieri, Giulia, 2023.
"Fed communication on financial stability concerns and monetary policy decisions: Revelations from speeches,"
Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 151(C).
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