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Measuring global and country-specific uncertainty

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Cited by:

  1. Kajal Lahiri & Huaming Peng & Xuguang Simon Sheng, 2022. "Measuring Uncertainty of a Combined Forecast and Some Tests for Forecaster Heterogeneity," Advances in Econometrics, in: Essays in Honor of M. Hashem Pesaran: Prediction and Macro Modeling, volume 43, pages 29-50, Emerald Group Publishing Limited.
  2. Steve Brito & Mr. Yan Carriere-Swallow & Bertrand Gruss, 2018. "Disagreement about Future Inflation: Understanding the Benefits of Inflation Targeting and Transparency," IMF Working Papers 2018/024, International Monetary Fund.
  3. Sheng, Xin & Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang, 2020. "The impacts of structural oil shocks on macroeconomic uncertainty: Evidence from a large panel of 45 countries," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
  4. Wu, Ji & Yao, Yao & Chen, Minghua & Jeon, Bang Nam, 2020. "Economic uncertainty and bank risk: Evidence from emerging economies," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
  5. Li, Lu & Yuan, Xi & Wei, Shuang & Yang, Guochao, 2024. "Heterogeneous uncertainty matters! Evidence based on firms' cost management decisions," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
  6. Wensheng Kang & Ronald A. Ratti & Joaquin Vespignani, 2020. "Impact of global uncertainty on the global economy and large developed and developing economies," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 52(22), pages 2392-2407, May.
  7. Istrefi, Klodiana & Mouabbi, Sarah, 2018. "Subjective interest rate uncertainty and the macroeconomy: A cross-country analysis," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 296-313.
  8. Sangyup Choi & Myungkyu Shim, 2019. "Financial vs. Policy Uncertainty in Emerging Market Economies," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 30(2), pages 297-318, April.
  9. Istrefi, Klodiana & Mouabbi, Sarah, 2018. "Subjective interest rate uncertainty and the macroeconomy: A cross-country analysis," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 296-313.
  10. Ilhan Kilic & Faruk Balli, 2024. "Measuring economic country-specific uncertainty in Türkiye," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 67(4), pages 1649-1689, October.
  11. González-Rivera, Gloria & Maldonado, Javier & Ruiz, Esther, 2019. "Growth in stress," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(3), pages 948-966.
  12. Choi, Sangyup & Furceri, Davide & Yoo, Seung Yong, 2024. "Heterogeneity in the effects of uncertainty shocks on labor market dynamics and extensive vs. intensive margins of adjustment," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 162(C).
  13. Deschamps, Bruno & Fei, Tianlun & Jiang, Ying & Liu, Xiaoquan, 2025. "Uncertainty and cross-sectional stock returns: Evidence from China," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 171(C).
  14. Toh, Moau Yong & Zhang, Yongmin, 2022. "Bank capital and risk adjustment responses to economic uncertainty: Evidence from emerging Southeast Asian economies," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).
  15. Beckmann, Joscha & Czudaj, Robert L., 2023. "Perceived monetary policy uncertainty," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 130(C).
  16. Constantin Burgi, 2016. "What Do We Lose When We Average Expectations?," Working Papers 2016-013, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting.
  17. An, Zidong & Sheng, Xuguang Simon & Zheng, Xinye, 2023. "What is the role of perceived oil price shocks in inflation expectations?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
  18. Kang, Wensheng & Ratti, Ronald A. & Vespignani, Joaquin L., 2020. "Revising the Impact of Financial and Non-Financial Global Stock Market Volatility Shocks," MPRA Paper 103019, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  19. Veasna Kheng & Justin Mckinley & Lei Pan, 2024. "The decline of labour share in OECD and non-OECD since the 1980s," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 56(16), pages 1899-1915, April.
  20. Beckmann, Joscha, 2021. "Measurement and effects of euro/dollar exchange rate uncertainty," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 183(C), pages 773-790.
  21. Wu, Ji & Yan, Yuanyun & Chen, Minghua & Jeon, Bang Nam, 2022. "Monetary policy, economic uncertainty and bank risk: Cross-country evidence," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 122(C).
  22. Bonciani, Dario & Ricci, Martino, 2020. "The international effects of global financial uncertainty shocks," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 109(C).
  23. Yuki MASUJIMA, 2022. "Tracking Exchange Rate Determinants amid the Pandemic," Discussion papers 22001, Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry (RIETI).
  24. Çekin, Semih Emre & Pradhan, Ashis Kumar & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Gupta, Rangan, 2020. "Measuring co-dependencies of economic policy uncertainty in Latin American countries using vine copulas," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 207-217.
  25. Charemza, Wojciech & Makarova, Svetlana & Rybiński, Krzysztof, 2022. "Economic uncertainty and natural language processing; The case of Russia," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 546-562.
  26. Graziano Moramarco, 2020. "Measuring Global Macroeconomic Uncertainty," Working Papers wp1148, Dipartimento Scienze Economiche, Universita' di Bologna.
  27. Joscha Beckmann & Robert L. Czudaj, 2023. "The role of expectations for currency crisis dynamics—The case of the Turkish lira," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(3), pages 625-642, April.
  28. Basher, Syed Abul & Haug, Alfred A. & Sadorsky, Perry, 2019. "The impact of economic policy uncertainty and commodity prices on CARB country stock market volatility," MPRA Paper 96577, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  29. Laurent Ferrara & Stéphane Lhuissier & Fabien Tripier, 2018. "Uncertainty Fluctuations: Measures, Effects and Macroeconomic Policy Challenges," Financial and Monetary Policy Studies, in: Laurent Ferrara & Ignacio Hernando & Daniela Marconi (ed.), International Macroeconomics in the Wake of the Global Financial Crisis, pages 159-181, Springer.
  30. Redl, Chris, 2020. "Uncertainty matters: Evidence from close elections," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 124(C).
  31. Hantzsche, Arno, 2022. "Fiscal uncertainty and sovereign credit risk," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 148(C).
  32. Yang, Chien-Wen & Hsieh, Yi-Shan & Hung, Chih-Yuan, 2024. "Economic uncertainty and corporate cash holdings: Evidence from Taiwan," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
  33. Oscar Claveria, 2021. "On the Aggregation of Survey-Based Economic Uncertainty Indicators Between Different Agents and Across Variables," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 17(1), pages 1-26, April.
  34. Śmiech, Sławomir & Papież, Monika & Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain, 2020. "Spillover among financial, industrial and consumer uncertainties. The case of EU member states," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
  35. Kıvanç Karaman, K. & Yıldırım-Karaman, Seçil, 2019. "How does financial development alter the impact of uncertainty?," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 102(C), pages 33-42.
  36. Beckmann, Joscha & Davidson, Sharada Nia & Koop, Gary & Schüssler, Rainer, 2023. "Cross-country uncertainty spillovers: Evidence from international survey data," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 130(C).
  37. Tihana Škrinjarić & Zrinka Orlović, 2020. "Economic Policy Uncertainty and Stock Market Spillovers: Case of Selected CEE Markets," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 8(7), pages 1-33, July.
  38. Hanna Armelius & Carl Andreas Claussen & André Reslow, 2022. "Withering Cash: Is Sweden Ahead of the Curve or Just Special?," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 18(4), pages 1-52, October.
  39. Laurent Ferrara & ISTREFI, K., 2016. "Impact des chocs d’incertitude sur l’économie mondiale – Synthèse de conférence," Bulletin de la Banque de France, Banque de France, issue 206, pages 61-68.
  40. repec:zbw:bofrdp:2021_001 is not listed on IDEAS
  41. Goodness C. Aye & Matthew W. Clance & Rangan Gupta, 2019. "The effectiveness of monetary and fiscal policy shocks on U.S. inequality: the role of uncertainty," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 53(1), pages 283-295, January.
  42. Goemans, Pascal, 2023. "The impact of public consumption and investment in the euro area during periods of high and normal uncertainty," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
  43. Cho, Dooyeon & Han, Heejoon & Lee, Na Kyeong, 2019. "Carry trades and endogenous regime switches in exchange rate volatility," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 255-268.
  44. Dufrénot Gilles & Ginn William & Pourroy Marc & Sullivan Adam, 2025. "Does State Dependence Matter in Relation to Oil Price Shocks on Global Economic Conditions?," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 29(2), pages 247-264.
  45. Giovanni Caggiano & Efrem Castelnuovo, 2023. "Global financial uncertainty," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(3), pages 432-449, April.
  46. Jitmaneeroj, Boonlert & Lamla, Michael J. & Wood, Andrew, 2019. "The implications of central bank transparency for uncertainty and disagreement," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 90(C), pages 222-240.
  47. Gächter, Martin & Geiger, Martin & Stöckl, Sebastian, 2020. "Credit intermediation and the transmission of macro-financial uncertainty: International evidence," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 108(C).
  48. Gholipour, Hassan F. & Tajaddini, Reza & Farzanegan, Mohammad Reza & Yam, Sharon, 2021. "Responses of REITs index and commercial property prices to economic uncertainties: A VAR analysis," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
  49. Graziano Moramarco, 2022. "Measuring Global Macroeconomic Uncertainty and Cross-Country Uncertainty Spillovers," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 11(1), pages 1-29, December.
  50. Saygin Sahinoz & Evren Erdogan Cosar, 2020. "Quantifying uncertainty and identifying its impacts on the Turkish economy," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 47(2), pages 365-387, May.
  51. Juan M. Londono & Sai Ma & Beth Anne Wilson, 2021. "The Global Transmission of Real Economic Uncertainty," International Finance Discussion Papers 1317, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
  52. Dibiasi, Andreas & Sarferaz, Samad, 2023. "Measuring macroeconomic uncertainty: A cross-country analysis," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 153(C).
  53. Ductor, Lorenzo & Leiva-León, Danilo, 2022. "Fluctuations in global output volatility," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 120(C).
  54. Hossain, Akhand Akhtar & Arwatchanakarn, Popkarn, 2020. "The effect of economic uncertainty on narrow money demand and its stability in New Zealand: An empirical investigation," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 88-100.
  55. Baker, Scott R. & Davis, Steven J. & Levy, Jeffrey A., 2022. "State-level economic policy uncertainty," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 132(C), pages 81-99.
  56. Wu, Ji & Li, Huimin & Zheng, Dazhi & Liu, Xiaoyan, 2021. "Economic uncertainty or financial uncertainty? An empirical analysis of bank risk-taking in Asian emerging markets," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 39(C).
  57. Jaromir Baxa & Tomas Sestorad, 2024. "Economic Policy Uncertainty in Europe: Spillovers and Common Shocks," Working Papers IES 2024/34, Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, Institute of Economic Studies, revised Sep 2024.
  58. Richardson Kojo Edeme & Ekene ThankGod Emeka & Jonathan Emenike Ogbuabor, 2024. "Global Uncertainty, Climate Change and the Unemployment-Economic Growth Relationship in Nigeria," Journal of Development Policy and Practice, , vol. 9(2), pages 238-256, July.
  59. Xu, Xiangyun & Li, Xing & Meng, Jie & Hu, Xueqi & Ge, Yingfan, 2024. "The impact of the tail risk of demand on corporate investment: Evidence from Chinese manufacturing firms," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
  60. Alina Bobasu & Lucia Quaglietti & Martino Ricci, 2024. "Tracking Global Economic Uncertainty: Implications for the Euro Area," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 72(2), pages 820-857, June.
  61. Kang, Wensheng & Ratti, Ronald A. & Vespignani, Joaquin, 2021. "Financial and nonfinancial global stock market volatility shocks," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 96(C), pages 128-134.
  62. Constantin Bürgi & Tara M. Sinclair, 2021. "What does forecaster disagreement tell us about the state of the economy?," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 28(1), pages 49-53, January.
  63. Costantini, Mauro & Sousa, Ricardo M., 2022. "What uncertainty does to euro area sovereign bond markets: Flight to safety and flight to quality," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 122(C).
  64. Giovanni Caggiano & Efrem Castelnuovo, 2021. "Global Uncertainty," CESifo Working Paper Series 8885, CESifo.
  65. Gillmann, Niels & Kim, Alisa, 2021. "Quantification of Economic Uncertainty: a deep learning approach," VfS Annual Conference 2021 (Virtual Conference): Climate Economics 242421, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
  66. Liu, Yang & Sheng, Xuguang Simon, 2019. "The measurement and transmission of macroeconomic uncertainty: Evidence from the U.S. and BRIC countries," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(3), pages 967-979.
  67. Julius Loermann, 2018. "The Impact of CHF/EUR Exchange Rate Uncertainty on Swiss Exports to the Eurozone: Evidence from a Threshold VAR," FIW Working Paper series 189, FIW, revised Feb 2019.
  68. Peter Reinhard Hansen & Chen Tong, 2022. "Option Pricing with Time-Varying Volatility Risk Aversion," Papers 2204.06943, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2025.
  69. Tajaddini, Reza & Gholipour, Hassan F., 2021. "Economic uncertainty and business formation: A cross-country analysis," Journal of Business Venturing Insights, Elsevier, vol. 16(C).
  70. Yuki MASUJIMA, 2019. "Time-Variant Safe-Haven Currency Status and Determinants," Discussion papers 19048, Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry (RIETI).
  71. Binder, Carola & Ozturk, Ezgi & Sheng, Xuguang Simon, 2025. "The effects of inflation uncertainty on firms and the macroeconomy," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 151(C).
  72. Su, Zhi & Fang, Tong & Yin, Libo, 2019. "Understanding stock market volatility: What is the role of U.S. uncertainty?," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 582-590.
  73. Charemza, Wojciech & Díaz, Carlos & Makarova, Svetlana, 2019. "Quasi ex-ante inflation forecast uncertainty," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(3), pages 994-1007.
  74. Ifwarsson, Emil Johan Verlo & Kleiven, Lars Erik & Sendstad, Lars H. & Hagspiel, Verena, 2021. "Policy uncertainty in Scandinavian countries," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 209(C).
  75. Rita Juliana & Irwan Adi Ekaputra & Zaäfri Ananto Husodo & Sung suk Kim, 2024. "Endogenous Uncertainty: Does Investment Inefficiency Contributes to Uncertainty?," Bulletin of Monetary Economics and Banking, Bank Indonesia, vol. 27(2), pages 265-298, May.
  76. He, Wen & Hu, Maggie Rong & Mi, Lin & Yu, Jin, 2021. "How stable are corporate capital structures? International evidence," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
  77. Oscar Claveria, 2021. "Uncertainty indicators based on expectations of business and consumer surveys," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 48(2), pages 483-505, May.
  78. Miescu, Mirela S., 2023. "Uncertainty shocks in emerging economies: A global to local approach for identification," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 154(C).
  79. Julius Loermann, 2021. "The impact of CHF/EUR exchange rate uncertainty on Swiss exports to the Eurozone: evidence from a threshold VAR," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 60(3), pages 1363-1385, March.
  80. Oksana Hoshovska & Zhanna Poplavska & Jana Kajanova & Olena Trevoho, 2023. "Random Risk Factors Influencing Cash Flows: Modifying RADR," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(2), pages 1-22, January.
  81. Anh‐Tuan Doan & Anh‐Tuan Le & Quan Tran, 2020. "Economic uncertainty, ownership structure and small and medium enterprises performance," Australian Economic Papers, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 59(2), pages 102-137, June.
  82. Shen, Yifan & Shi, Xunpeng & Zeng, Ting, 2017. "Global Uncertainty, Macroeconomic Activity and Commodity Price," MPRA Paper 90089, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 17 Nov 2018.
  83. Cho, Dooyeon & Im, Pullip, 2023. "Effects of monetary policy uncertainty on debt financing: Evidence from Korean heterogeneous firms," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
  84. Śmiech, Sławomir & Papież, Monika & Dąbrowski, Marek A., 2019. "How important are different aspects of uncertainty in driving industrial production in the CEE countries?," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 252-266.
  85. Liu, Hongkui & Yu, Jiasheng & Tang, Guohao & Chen, Jian, 2025. "External trade policy uncertainty, corporate risk exposure, and stock market volatility," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
  86. Linyan Dai & Xin Sheng, 2021. "The Impact of Uncertainty on State-Level Housing Markets of the United States: The Role of Social Cohesion," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(6), pages 1-9, March.
  87. Nguyen Ba Trung, 2022. "Output fluctuations and portfolio flows to emerging economies: The role of monetary uncertainty," International Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 25(3), pages 285-295, December.
  88. Dang, Van Dan & Nguyen, Hoang Chung, 2022. "Bank profitability under uncertainty," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 119-134.
  89. Wu, Ji & Yao, Yao & Chen, Minghua & Jeon, Bang Nam, 2021. "Does economic uncertainty affect the soundness of banks? Evidence from emerging Asian economies," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
  90. Muhammad Zubair Chishti & Eyup Dogan, 2024. "Analyzing the determinants of renewable energy: The moderating role of technology and macroeconomic uncertainty," Energy & Environment, , vol. 35(2), pages 874-903, March.
  91. Liu, Yang & Han, Liyan & Yin, Libo, 2019. "News implied volatility and long-term foreign exchange market volatility," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 126-142.
  92. Hwang, So Jung & Suh, Hyunduk, 2021. "Overall and time-varying effects of global and domestic uncertainty on the Korean economy," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
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