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An Empirical Test of Financial Ratio Analysis for Small Business Failure Prediction

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  1. Cathcart, Lara & Dufour, Alfonso & Rossi, Ludovico & Varotto, Simone, 2020. "The differential impact of leverage on the default risk of small and large firms," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).
  2. Rodríguez Fuentes, Christian C. & Maté Sánchez-Val, Mariluz & López Hernández, Fernando A., 2016. "La proximidad geográfica en el contagio del fracaso empresarial en la pyme: Una aplicación empírica con el modelo probit espacia/The Geographic Proximity in the Spillover Effects of Business Failure i," Estudios de Economia Aplicada, Estudios de Economia Aplicada, vol. 34, pages 619-638, Agosto.
  3. Tarek Ibrahim Eldomiaty & Mohamed Hashem Rashwan & Mohamed Bahaa El Din & Waleed Tayel, 2016. "Firm, industry and economic determinants of working capital at risk," International Journal of Financial Engineering (IJFE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 3(04), pages 1-29, December.
  4. Petr Jakubík & Petr Teplý, 2011. "The JT Index as an Indicator of Financial Stability of Corporate Sector," Prague Economic Papers, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2011(2), pages 157-176.
  5. Zhang, Guoqiang & Y. Hu, Michael & Eddy Patuwo, B. & C. Indro, Daniel, 1999. "Artificial neural networks in bankruptcy prediction: General framework and cross-validation analysis," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 116(1), pages 16-32, July.
  6. Veres Ferrer, Ernesto Jesús & Labatut Serer, Gregorio & Pozuelo Campillo, Jose, 2009. "Hacia una ordenación de las pequeñas empresas atendiendo a su posible situación de fracaso/Towards a Ranking of Smaller Companies According to Their Failure Risk," Estudios de Economia Aplicada, Estudios de Economia Aplicada, vol. 27, pages 775(18á)-77, Diciembre.
  7. Harrison Mateika & Juannan Jia & Linda Lillard & Noah Cronbaugh & Will Shin, 2022. "Fallen Angel Bonds Investment and Bankruptcy Predictions Using Manual Models and Automated Machine Learning," Papers 2212.03454, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2022.
  8. Jackson, Richard H.G. & Wood, Anthony, 2013. "The performance of insolvency prediction and credit risk models in the UK: A comparative study," The British Accounting Review, Elsevier, vol. 45(3), pages 183-202.
  9. repec:ath:journl:tome:34:v:2:y:2014:i:34:p:99-109 is not listed on IDEAS
  10. Izan, H. Y., 1984. "Corporate distress in Australia," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 8(2), pages 303-320, June.
  11. Albert L. Page & Scott Cowen & Martin Cohen, 1979. "Loan Terms and Loan Repayment Performance: The Experience with Minority Small Businesses," Entrepreneurship Theory and Practice, , vol. 4(1), pages 10-21, July.
  12. Becchetti, Leonardo & Sierra, Jaime, 2003. "Bankruptcy risk and productive efficiency in manufacturing firms," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 27(11), pages 2099-2120, November.
  13. Natalia Nehrebecka, 2017. "Probability-of-default curve calibration and validation of internal rating systems," IFC Bulletins chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Statistical implications of the new financial landscape, volume 43, Bank for International Settlements.
  14. Bing Xu & Jingwen Yang & Bifei Sun, 2018. "A nonparametric decision approach for entrepreneurship," International Entrepreneurship and Management Journal, Springer, vol. 14(1), pages 5-14, March.
  15. Robert C. Cressy, 1992. "U.K. Small Firm Bankruptcy Prediction: A Logit Analysis of Financial Trend-, Industry-, and Macro-Effects," Journal of Entrepreneurial Finance, Pepperdine University, Graziadio School of Business and Management, vol. 1(3), pages 233-253, Spring.
  16. Ben Jabeur, Sami & Serret, Vanessa, 2023. "Bankruptcy prediction using fuzzy convolutional neural networks," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
  17. Raffaella Calabrese & Silvia Angela Osmetti, 2011. "Generalized Extreme Value Regression for Binary Rare Events Data: an Application to Credit Defaults," Working Papers 201120, Geary Institute, University College Dublin.
  18. Canto, José Augusto & Silva, Amélia Cristina Ferreira & Leite, Gabriela & Machado-Santos, Carlos, 2019. "Insolvency prediction for Portuguese agro-industrial SME: Tree Bagging Methodology," Agricultural Economics Review, Greek Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 0(Issue 2).
  19. Andrea Bedin & Monica Billio & Michele Costola & Loriana Pelizzon, 2019. "Credit Scoring in SME Asset-Backed Securities: An Italian Case Study," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 12(2), pages 1-28, May.
  20. Edward Altman & Gabriele Sabato, 2005. "Effects of the New Basel Capital Accord on Bank Capital Requirements for SMEs," Journal of Financial Services Research, Springer;Western Finance Association, vol. 28(1), pages 15-42, October.
  21. Balcaen, Sofie & Ooghe, Hubert, 2006. "35 years of studies on business failure: an overview of the classic statistical methodologies and their related problems," The British Accounting Review, Elsevier, vol. 38(1), pages 63-93.
  22. Kallberg, Jarl G. & Udell, Gregory F., 2003. "The value of private sector business credit information sharing: The US case," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 27(3), pages 449-469, March.
  23. Skogsvik, Kenth, 2005. "On the Choice-Based Sample Bias in Probabilistic Business Failure Prediction," SSE/EFI Working Paper Series in Business Administration 2005:13, Stockholm School of Economics, revised 09 Jan 2006.
  24. Nicoleta BARBUTA-MISU, 2011. "A Specific Model for Assessing the Financial Performance:Case study on Building Sector Enterprises of Galati County - Romania," Risk in Contemporary Economy, "Dunarea de Jos" University of Galati, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, pages 318-325.
  25. Francesco Dainelli & Francesco Giunta & Fabrizio Cipollini, 2013. "Determinants of SME credit worthiness under Basel rules: the value of credit history information," PSL Quarterly Review, Economia civile, vol. 66(264), pages 21-47.
  26. Ha Thu Nguyen, 2015. "How is credit scoring used to predict default in China?," Working Papers hal-04133309, HAL.
  27. Becchetti, Leonardo & Castelli, Annalisa & Hasan, Iftekhar, 2008. "Investment-cash flow sensitivities, credit rationing and financing constraints," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 15/2008, Bank of Finland.
  28. Kolari, James & Glennon, Dennis & Shin, Hwan & Caputo, Michele, 2002. "Predicting large US commercial bank failures," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 54(4), pages 361-387.
  29. Ali DERAN & Omer ISKENDEROGLU & Incilay ERDURU, 2014. "Regional Differences and Financial Ratios: A Comparative Approach on Companies of ISE City Indexes," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 4(4), pages 946-955.
  30. Nwachukwu, C & Vu, H. M & Fadeyi, O, 2019. "Assessment Of Financial Performance Of Selected Money Deposit Banks In Nigeria: A Ratio Analysis Approach," Management Strategies Journal, Constantin Brancoveanu University, vol. 43(1), pages 53-63.
  31. repec:zbw:bofrdp:2008_015 is not listed on IDEAS
  32. Kumaresan, Renuga, 2019. "The Effects of Macroeconomics Factors towards the Starbucks Corporation," MPRA Paper 97243, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 15 Nov 2019.
  33. Murray Nash & Michael Anstis & Michael Bradbury, 1989. "Testing Corporate Model Prediction Accuracy," Australian Journal of Management, Australian School of Business, vol. 14(2), pages 211-221, December.
  34. Situm Mario, 2014. "Inability of Gearing-Ratio as Predictor for Early Warning Systems," Business Systems Research, Sciendo, vol. 5(2), pages 23-45, September.
  35. Marui Du & Yue Ma & Zuoquan Zhang, 2021. "A Meta Path Based Evaluation Method for Enterprise Credit Risk," Papers 2110.11594, arXiv.org, revised May 2022.
  36. Philosophov, Leonid V. & Philosophov, Vladimir L., 2002. "Corporate bankruptcy prognosis: An attempt at a combined prediction of the bankruptcy event and time interval of its occurrence," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 11(3), pages 375-406.
  37. Mai, Nhat Chi, 2015. "Efficiency of the banking system in Vietnam under financial liberalization," OSF Preprints qsf6d, Center for Open Science.
  38. Fabrizio Bava & Massimo Cane & Melchior Gromis di Trana, 2020. "Can a quantitative approach be mitigated? Proposals for the application of the "early warnings" required by the new Italian Insolvency Code," FINANCIAL REPORTING, FrancoAngeli Editore, vol. 2020(2), pages 33-61.
  39. Şaban Çelik, 2013. "Micro Credit Risk Metrics: A Comprehensive Review," Intelligent Systems in Accounting, Finance and Management, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 20(4), pages 233-272, October.
  40. Carmen Gallucci & Rosalia Santullli & Michele Modina & Vincenzo Formisano, 2023. "Financial ratios, corporate governance and bank-firm information: a Bayesian approach to predict SMEs’ default," Journal of Management & Governance, Springer;Accademia Italiana di Economia Aziendale (AIDEA), vol. 27(3), pages 873-892, September.
  41. Zhichao Luo & Pingyu Hsu & Ni Xu, 2020. "SME Default Prediction Framework with the Effective Use of External Public Credit Data," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(18), pages 1-18, September.
  42. Ben Jabeur, Sami, 2017. "Bankruptcy prediction using Partial Least Squares Logistic Regression," Journal of Retailing and Consumer Services, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 197-202.
  43. Zhou, Fanyin & Fu, Lijun & Li, Zhiyong & Xu, Jiawei, 2022. "The recurrence of financial distress: A survival analysis," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 38(3), pages 1100-1115.
  44. Yao-Zhi Xu & Jian-Lin Zhang & Ying Hua & Lin-Yue Wang, 2019. "Dynamic Credit Risk Evaluation Method for E-Commerce Sellers Based on a Hybrid Artificial Intelligence Model," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(19), pages 1-17, October.
  45. Qunfeng LIAO & Seyed MEHDIAN, 2016. "Measuring Financial Distress And Predicting Corporate Bankruptcy: An Index Approach," Review of Economic and Business Studies, Alexandru Ioan Cuza University, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, issue 17, pages 33-51, June.
  46. Sebastian Klaudiusz Tomczak & Edward Radosiński, 2017. "The effectiveness of discriminant models based on the example of the manufacturing sector," Operations Research and Decisions, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology, Faculty of Management, vol. 27(3), pages 81-97.
  47. Ha-Thu Nguyen, 2015. "How is credit scoring used to predict default in China?," EconomiX Working Papers 2015-1, University of Paris Nanterre, EconomiX.
  48. Andrea Majdáková & Blanka Giertliová & Iveta Hajdúchová, 2020. "Prediction by financial and economic analysis in the conditions of forest enterprises," Journal of Forest Science, Czech Academy of Agricultural Sciences, vol. 66(1), pages 1-8.
  49. du Jardin, Philippe & Séverin, Eric, 2011. "Predicting corporate bankruptcy using a self-organizing map: An empirical study to improve the forecasting horizon of a financial failure model," MPRA Paper 44262, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  50. Nikolaos Arnis & Kostas Karamanis & Georgios Kolias, 2020. "Factors Affecting Business Failure of Small and Very Small Greek Family Enterprises," Accounting and Finance Research, Sciedu Press, vol. 9(2), pages 1-35, May.
  51. Zhu, You & Zhou, Li & Xie, Chi & Wang, Gang-Jin & Nguyen, Truong V., 2019. "Forecasting SMEs' credit risk in supply chain finance with an enhanced hybrid ensemble machine learning approach," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 211(C), pages 22-33.
  52. Florin Mihai Magda & Adina Elena Danuletiu, 2015. "Econometric Model Used In Decision-Making Process Of Company Financing," Romanian Economic Business Review, Romanian-American University, vol. 10(3), pages 57-82, September.
  53. Ozge Uygur & Gulser Meric & Ilhan Meric, 2013. "The Financial Characteristics Of U.S. Companies Acquired By Foreign Companies," Global Journal of Business Research, The Institute for Business and Finance Research, vol. 7(1), pages 1-8.
  54. Milagros Vivel-Búa & Rubén Lado-Sestayo & Luis Otero-González, 2016. "Impact of location on the probability of default in the Spanish lodging industry," Tourism Economics, , vol. 22(3), pages 593-607, June.
  55. Gupta, Jairaj & Wilson, Nicholas & Gregoriou, Andros & Healy, Jerome, 2014. "The effect of internationalisation on modelling credit risk for SMEs: Evidence from UK market," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 31(C), pages 397-413.
  56. Jairaj Gupta & Nicholas Wilson & Andros Gregoriou & Jerome Healy, 2014. "The value of operating cash flow in modelling credit risk for SMEs," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 24(9), pages 649-660, May.
  57. Marco Muscettola, 2016. "Medium Risk Companies: The Probability of Notching-Up," International Journal of Economics and Finance, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 8(12), pages 63-76, December.
  58. Layla Khoja & Maxwell Chipulu & Ranadeva Jayasekera, 2016. "Analysing corporate insolvency in the Gulf Cooperation Council using logistic regression and multidimensional scaling," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 46(3), pages 483-518, April.
  59. A. D. Castagna & Z. P. Matolcsy, 1981. "The Prediction of Corporate Failure: Testing the Australian Experience," Australian Journal of Management, Australian School of Business, vol. 6(1), pages 23-50, June.
  60. Muhammad Shahzad Ijaz & Ahmed Imran Hunjra & Rauf I Azam, 2017. "Forewarning Bankruptcy: An Indigenous Model for Pakistan," Business & Economic Review, Institute of Management Sciences, Peshawar, Pakistan, vol. 9(4), pages 259-286, December.
  61. Altman, Edward J. & Baidya, Tara K. N. & Dias, Luiz Manoel Ribeiro, 1979. "Revisão de problemas financeiros em empresas," RAE - Revista de Administração de Empresas, FGV-EAESP Escola de Administração de Empresas de São Paulo (Brazil), vol. 19(1), January.
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  63. García-Gallego, Ana & Mures-Quintana, María-Jesús, 2013. "La muestra de empresas en los modelos de predicción del fracaso: influencia en los resultados de clasificación || The Sample of Firms in Business Failure Prediction Models: Influence on Classification," Revista de Métodos Cuantitativos para la Economía y la Empresa = Journal of Quantitative Methods for Economics and Business Administration, Universidad Pablo de Olavide, Department of Quantitative Methods for Economics and Business Administration, vol. 15(1), pages 133-150, June.
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