IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/zbw/bofrdp/325482.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Effect of the countercyclical capital buffer on firm loans: Evidence from Germany

Author

Listed:
  • Kerola, Eeva
  • Norring, Anni

Abstract

We use confidential loan-level data from the European Central Bank to investigate how changes in the countercyclical capital buffer requirement in Germany affect lending to firms. We find evidence showing that tightening the countercyclical capital buffer leads German banks to reduce the volume of corporate loans and increase the price of new loans. These effects take place immediately after the announcement, given 12 months before the change was implemented. Importantly, we find that the reduction in credit availability notably affects small and medium-sized enterprises, which experience both a significant decrease in available credit and an increase in credit costs. In contrast, large firms are not affected.

Suggested Citation

  • Kerola, Eeva & Norring, Anni, 2025. "Effect of the countercyclical capital buffer on firm loans: Evidence from Germany," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 8/2025, Bank of Finland.
  • Handle: RePEc:zbw:bofrdp:325482
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.econstor.eu/bitstream/10419/325482/1/1935278231.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Akinci, Ozge & Olmstead-Rumsey, Jane, 2018. "How effective are macroprudential policies? An empirical investigation," Journal of Financial Intermediation, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 33-57.
    2. Reint Gropp & Thomas Mosk & Steven Ongena & Carlo Wix, 2019. "Banks Response to Higher Capital Requirements: Evidence from a Quasi-Natural Experiment," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 32(1), pages 266-299.
    3. Christoph Sommer, 2024. "The Role of Capital Markets for Small and Medium-Sized Enterprise (SME) Finance," Journal of Development Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 60(11), pages 1812-1831, November.
    4. Meuleman, Elien & Vander Vennet, Rudi, 2020. "Macroprudential policy and bank systemic risk," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 47(C).
    5. Kim, Soyoung & Mehrotra, Aaron, 2022. "Examining macroprudential policy and its macroeconomic effects – Some new evidence," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 128(C).
    6. Alin Marius Andrieş & Florentina Melnic & Nicu Sprincean, 2022. "The effects of macroprudential policies on credit growth," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 28(10), pages 964-996, July.
    7. Dmitry Arkhangelsky & Susan Athey & David A. Hirshberg & Guido W. Imbens & Stefan Wager, 2021. "Synthetic Difference-in-Differences," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 111(12), pages 4088-4118, December.
    8. Katharina Bergant & Francesco Grigoli & Niels‐Jakob Hansen & Damiano Sandri, 2024. "Dampening Global Financial Shocks: Can Macroprudential Regulation Help (More than Capital Controls)?," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 56(6), pages 1405-1438, September.
    9. Madeira, Carlos, 2024. "The impact of macroprudential policies on industrial growth," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 145(C).
    10. Ampudia, Miguel & Lo Duca, Marco & Farkas, Mátyás & Perez-Quiros, Gabriel & Pirovano, Mara & Rünstler, Gerhard & Tereanu, Eugen, 2021. "On the effectiveness of macroprudential policy," Working Paper Series 2559, European Central Bank.
    11. Dursun-de Neef, H. Özlem & Schandlbauer, Alexander & Wittig, Colin, 2023. "Countercyclical capital buffers and credit supply: Evidence from the COVID-19 crisis," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 154(C).
    12. Christoph Basten, 2020. "Higher Bank Capital Requirements and Mortgage Pricing: Evidence from the Counter-Cyclical Capital Buffer," Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 24(2), pages 453-495.
    13. Benbouzid, Nadia & Kumar, Abhishek & Mallick, Sushanta K. & Sousa, Ricardo M. & Stojanovic, Aleksandar, 2022. "Bank credit risk and macro-prudential policies: Role of counter-cyclical capital buffer," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    14. María Alejandra Amado, 2022. "Macroprudential FX Regulations: Sacrificing Small Firms for Stability?," Working Papers 2236, Banco de España.
    15. Auer, Raphael & Matyunina, Alexandra & Ongena, Steven, 2022. "The countercyclical capital buffer and the composition of bank lending," Journal of Financial Intermediation, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
    16. KÄ rlis Vilerts & Sofia Anyfantaki & KonstantÄ«ns Beņkovskis & Sebastian Bredl & Massimo Giovannini & Florian Matthias Horky & Vanessa Kunzmann & Tibor Lalinský & Athanasios Lampousis & Elizaveta Lu, 2025. "Details matter: loan pricing and transmission of monetary policy in the euro area," Working Papers 345, Bank of Greece.
    17. Marek, Philipp & Stein, Ingrid, 2022. "Basel III and SME bank finance in Germany," Discussion Papers 37/2022, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    18. Codruta Boar & Leonardo Gambacorta & Giovanni Lombardo & Luiz Awazu Pereira da Silva, 2017. "What are the effects of macroprudential policies on macroeconomic performance?," BIS Quarterly Review, Bank for International Settlements, September.
    19. Zohair Alam & Adrian Alter & Jesse Eiseman & Gaston Gelos & Heedon Kang & Machiko Narita & Erlend Nier & Naixi Wang, 2025. "Digging Deeper—Evidence on the Effects of Macroprudential Policies from a New Database," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 57(5), pages 1135-1166, August.
    20. Didier, Tatiana & Levine, Ross & Llovet Montanes, Ruth & Schmukler, Sergio L., 2021. "Capital market financing and firm growth," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 118(C).
    21. Sommer, Christoph, 2024. "The role of capital markets for small and medium-sized enterprise (SME) finance," VfS Annual Conference 2024 (Berlin): Upcoming Labor Market Challenges 302340, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    22. Kristin J. Forbes, 2021. "The International Aspects of Macroprudential Policy," Annual Review of Economics, Annual Reviews, vol. 13(1), pages 203-228, August.
    23. Mathias Drehmann & Leonardo Gambacorta, 2012. "The effects of countercyclical capital buffers on bank lending," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 19(7), pages 603-608, May.
    24. Cerutti, Eugenio & Claessens, Stijn & Laeven, Luc, 2017. "The use and effectiveness of macroprudential policies: New evidence," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 28(C), pages 203-224.
    25. Mikel Bedayo & Jorge E. Galán, 2024. "The impact of the Countercyclical Capital Buffer on credit: Evidence from its accumulation and release before and during COVID-19," Working Papers 2411, Banco de España.
    26. Beck, Thorsten & Demirguc-Kunt, Asli, 2006. "Small and medium-size enterprises: Access to finance as a growth constraint," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 30(11), pages 2931-2943, November.
    27. Eugenio Cerutti & Ricardo Correa & Elisabetta Fiorentino & Esther Segalla, 2017. "Changes in Prudential Policy Instruments - A New Cross-Country Database," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 13(2), pages 477-503, March.
    28. Meghana Ayyagari & Thorsten Beck & Maria Soledad Martinez Peria, 2018. "The Micro Impact of Macroprudential Policies: Firm-Level Evidence," IMF Working Papers 2018/267, International Monetary Fund.
    29. Benes, Jaromir & Kumhof, Michael, 2015. "Risky bank lending and countercyclical capital buffers," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 58-80.
    30. Hu, Shiwei & Gong, Di, 2019. "Economic policy uncertainty, prudential regulation and bank lending," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 373-378.
    31. Belkhir, Mohamed & Naceur, Sami Ben & Candelon, Bertrand & Wijnandts, Jean-Charles, 2022. "Macroprudential policies, economic growth and banking crises," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 53(C).
    32. Gabriele Galati & Richhild Moessner, 2018. "What Do We Know About the Effects of Macroprudential Policy?," Economica, London School of Economics and Political Science, vol. 85(340), pages 735-770, October.
    33. Botsari, Antonia & Gvetadze, Salome & Lang, Frank, 2024. "The European Small Business Finance Outlook 2024," EIF Working Paper Series 2024/101, European Investment Fund (EIF).
    34. Rahaman, Mohammad M., 2011. "Access to financing and firm growth," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 35(3), pages 709-723, March.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Nistor, Simona & Fărcaș, Ioana Georgiana, 2025. "Does national culture affect macroprudential policy? An international investigation of regulatory behavior on macroprudential interventions," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 45(C).
    2. Jude, Cristina & Levieuge, Grégory, 2025. "Doubling down: The synergy of CCyB release and monetary policy easing," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 155(C).
    3. Madeira, Carlos, 2024. "The impact of macroprudential policies on industrial growth," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 145(C).
    4. E. Philip Davis & Dilruba Karim & Dennison Noel, 2025. "The determination of bank interest rate margins: Is there a role for macroprudential policy?," Journal of Banking Regulation, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 26(3), pages 433-463, September.
    5. Norring, Anni, 2022. "Taming the tides of capital: Review of capital controls and macroprudential policy in emerging economies," BoF Economics Review 1/2022, Bank of Finland.
    6. Scalco, Paulo R. & Tabak, Benjamin M. & Teixeira, Anderson M., 2021. "Prudential measures and their adverse effects on bank competition: The case of Brazil," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 100(C).
    7. Hristov, Nikolay & Hülsewig, Oliver & Kolb, Benedikt, 2024. "Macroprudential capital regulation and fiscal balances in the euro area," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
    8. Hodula, Martin & Ngo, Ngoc Anh, 2024. "Does macroprudential policy leak? Evidence from shadow bank lending in EU countries," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
    9. Mircea Epure & Irina Mihai & Camelia Minoiu & José-Luis Peydró, 2024. "Global Financial Cycle, Household Credit, and Macroprudential Policies," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 70(11), pages 8096-8115, November.
    10. Kristin J. Forbes, 2021. "The International Aspects of Macroprudential Policy," Annual Review of Economics, Annual Reviews, vol. 13(1), pages 203-228, August.
    11. Alper, Koray & Baskaya, Soner & Shi, Shuren, 2025. "How do macroprudential policies affect corporate investment? Insights from EIBIS data," EIB Working Papers 2025/02, European Investment Bank (EIB).
    12. Araujo, Juliana & Patnam, Manasa & Popescu, Adina & Valencia, Fabian & Yao, Weijia, 2024. "Effects of macroprudential policy: Evidence from over 6000 estimates," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 169(C).
    13. Kim, Soyoung & Mehrotra, Aaron, 2022. "Examining macroprudential policy and its macroeconomic effects – Some new evidence," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 128(C).
    14. Kang, Qiaoling & Wu, Ji & Chen, Minghua & Jeon, Bang Nam, 2021. "Do macroprudential policies affect the bank financing of firms in China? Evidence from a quantile regression approach," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 115(C).
    15. Jelisaveta Lazarevic & Tanja Kuzman & Milan Nedeljkovic, 2022. "Credit cycles and macroprudential policies in emerging market economies," Oeconomia Copernicana, Institute of Economic Research, vol. 13(3), pages 633-666, September.
    16. Mikhail I. Stolbov & Maria A. Shchepeleva & Alexander M. Karminsky, 2021. "A global perspective on macroprudential policy interaction with systemic risk, real economic activity, and monetary intervention," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 7(1), pages 1-25, December.
    17. Kuzman, Tanja & Lazarevic, Jelisaveta & Nedeljkovic, Milan, 2022. "Capital flows liberalisation and macroprudential policies: The effects on credit cycles in emerging economies," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 602-619.
    18. Martin Hodula & Ngoc Anh Ngo, 2021. "Does Macroprudential Policy Leak? Evidence from Non-Bank Credit Intermediation in EU Countries," Working Papers 2021/5, Czech National Bank, Research and Statistics Department.
    19. Igan, Deniz & Mirzaei, Ali & Moore, Tomoe, 2023. "Does macroprudential policy alleviate the adverse impact of COVID-19 on the resilience of banks?," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 147(C).
    20. Agénor, Pierre-Richard & Bayraktar, Nihal, 2023. "Capital requirements and growth in an open economy," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 147(C).

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;

    JEL classification:

    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
    • G28 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Government Policy and Regulation

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:zbw:bofrdp:325482. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/bofgvfi.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.