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Monetary Policy Adjustments on the Final Passage towards the Euro

Listed author(s):
  • Lucjan T Orlowski

    (Sacred Heart University)

This study reviews monetary policy options that are seemingly viable for adopting the euro by the new Member States of the European Union. A fully autonomous direct inflation targeting is believed to be suboptimal for convergence to the euro as it does not incorporate convergence parameters into the central bank reaction function and instrument rules. In an attempt to correct for such deficiency, this study advocates adopting a framework of relative inflation forecast targeting where a differential between the domestic and the eurozone inflation forecasts becomes the main objective of the central bank’s decisions. At the same time, some attention to the exchange rate stability objective becomes necessary for facilitating the monetary convergence process. Foreign exchange market interventions, rather than interest rate adjustments, are viewed as a preferred way of achieving this objective.

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File URL: http://econwpa.repec.org/eps/mac/papers/0503/0503022.pdf
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Paper provided by EconWPA in its series Macroeconomics with number 0503022.

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Length: 20 pages
Date of creation: 29 Mar 2005
Handle: RePEc:wpa:wuwpma:0503022
Note: Type of Document - pdf; pages: 20
Contact details of provider: Web page: http://econwpa.repec.org

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  10. Lucjan T. Orlowski, 2005. "Targeting Relative Inflation Forecast as Monetary Policy Framework for Adopting the Euro," William Davidson Institute Working Papers Series wp754, William Davidson Institute at the University of Michigan.
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  17. Carmen M. Reinhart & Kenneth S. Rogoff, 2002. "The Modern History of Exchange Rate Arrangements: A Reinterpretation," NBER Working Papers 8963, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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  23. Dibooglu, Sel & Kutan, Ali M., 2005. "Sources of inflation and output movements in Poland and Hungary: Policy implications for accession to the economic and monetary union," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 27(1), pages 107-131, March.
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  25. Lucjan Orlowski, 2003. "Monetary Convergence and Risk Premiums in the EU Accession Countries," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 14(3), pages 251-267, July.
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  30. repec:bil:bilpap:0501 is not listed on IDEAS
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