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Financial inclusion and macroeconomic stability in emerging and frontier markets

Author

Listed:
  • Anh The Vo

    (Business and Economics Research Group. Ho Chi Minh City Open University. Vietnam.)

  • Loan Thi-Hong Van

    (Business and Economics Research Group. Ho Chi Minh City Open University. Vietnam.)

  • Duc Hong Vo

    (Business and Economics Research Group. Ho Chi Minh City Open University. Vietnam.)

  • Michael McAleer

    ( Department of Quantitative Finance National Tsing Hua University, Taiwan and Econometric Institute Erasmus School of Economics Erasmus University Rotterdam, The Netherlands and Department of Quantitative Economics Complutense University of Madrid, Spain And Institute of Advanced Sciences Yokohama National University, Japan.)

Abstract

Financial inclusion, being considered as a key enabler to reducing poverty and boosting prosperity in emerging and frontier markets such as Vietnam, is the process in which individuals and small businesses are provided with an access to useful and affordable financial products and services. The extant literature on the empirical evidence regarding the contribution of financial inclusion to macroeconomic stability is mixed. This paper investigates the linkages between financial inclusion and macroeconomic stability, which has not yet been thoroughly examined in the literature, for 22 emerging and frontier economies from 2008 to 2015, with particular focus on a potential optimal level. Using the panel threshold estimation technique, the empirical findings show that financial inclusion, as approximated by the growth rate in the number of bank branches over 100,000 account holders, is found to enhance financial stability under a certain threshold. Financial inclusion is also found to be of benefit to maintaining stable inflation and output growth. Policy implications are also discussed on the basis of the important empirical findings.

Suggested Citation

  • Anh The Vo & Loan Thi-Hong Van & Duc Hong Vo & Michael McAleer, 2019. "Financial inclusion and macroeconomic stability in emerging and frontier markets," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE 2019-01, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico.
  • Handle: RePEc:ucm:doicae:1901
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Financial inclusion; Macroeconomic stability; Panel threshold; Emerging and frontier markets.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C62 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Existence and Stability Conditions of Equilibrium
    • F65 - International Economics - - Economic Impacts of Globalization - - - Finance
    • O16 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Financial Markets; Saving and Capital Investment; Corporate Finance and Governance
    • P45 - Political Economy and Comparative Economic Systems - - Other Economic Systems - - - International Linkages

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