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Financial Inclusion And Macroeconomic Stability In Emerging And Frontier Markets

Author

Listed:
  • ANH THE VO

    (Business and Economics Research Group, Ho Chi Minh City Open University, Vietnam)

  • LOAN THI-HONG VAN

    (Business and Economics Research Group, Ho Chi Minh City Open University, Vietnam)

  • DUC HONG VO

    (Business and Economics Research Group, Ho Chi Minh City Open University, Vietnam)

  • MICHAEL MCALEER

    (Department of Finance, Asia University, Taiwan3Discipline of Business Analytics, University of Sydney Business School, Australia4Econometric Institute, Erasmus School of Economics, Erasmus University Rotterdam, The Netherlands5Department of Economic Analysis and ICAE, Complutense University of Madrid, Spain6Institute of Advanced Sciences, Yokohama National University, Japan)

Abstract

Financial inclusion, being considered as a key enabler to reducing poverty and boosting prosperity in emerging and frontier markets such as Vietnam, is the process in which individuals and small businesses are provided with an access to useful and affordable financial products and services. The extant literature on the empirical evidence regarding the contribution of financial inclusion to macroeconomic stability is mixed. This paper investigates the linkages between financial inclusion and macroeconomic stability, which has not yet been thoroughly examined in the literature, for 22 emerging and frontier economies from 2008 to 2015, with particular focus on a potential optimal level. Using the panel threshold estimation technique, the empirical findings show that financial inclusion, as approximated by the growth rate in the number of bank branches over 100,000 account holders, is found to enhance financial stability under a certain threshold. Financial inclusion is also found to be of benefit to maintaining stable inflation and output growth. Policy implications are also discussed on the basis of the important empirical findings.

Suggested Citation

  • Anh The Vo & Loan Thi-Hong Van & Duc Hong Vo & Michael Mcaleer, 2019. "Financial Inclusion And Macroeconomic Stability In Emerging And Frontier Markets," Annals of Financial Economics (AFE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 14(02), pages 1-15, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:wsi:afexxx:v:14:y:2019:i:02:n:s2010495219500088
    DOI: 10.1142/S2010495219500088
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    Cited by:

    1. Nghiem Xuan Huy & Ngo Tien Nhat & Nguyen Thi Tuyet Anh & Luu Quoc Dat & Luu Huu Van, 2023. "Factors Influencing Online Professional Skills Training Programs for Lecturers: A Case Study of Vietnam National University, Hanoi, and its Implications on Decision Sciences," Advances in Decision Sciences, Asia University, Taiwan, vol. 27(2), pages 145-165, June.
    2. Kouladoum, Jean-Claude & Wirajing, Muhamadu Awal Kindzeka & Nchofoung, Tii N., 2022. "Digital technologies and financial inclusion in Sub-Saharan Africa," Telecommunications Policy, Elsevier, vol. 46(9).
    3. Isaac Ofoeda & John Kwaku Mensah Mawutor & Dilys Nana Fosu-Hemaa Ohenebeng, 2024. "Financial inclusion, institutional quality and bank stability: evidence from sub-Saharan Africa," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 21(1), pages 27-64, February.
    4. Amiratul Nadiah Hasan & Mansor Ibrahim & Kinan Salim, 2026. "Financial inclusion and macroeconomic outcomes in developing economies: pre-COVID insights on growth, stability, and inequality," Future Business Journal, Springer, vol. 12(1), pages 1-14, December.
    5. Manh-Tung Ho & Ngoc-Thang B. Le & Hung-Long D. Tran & Quoc-Hung Nguyen & Manh-Ha Pham & Minh-Hoang Ly & Manh-Toan Ho & Minh-Hoang Nguyen & Quan-Hoang Vuong, 2021. "A Systematic and Critical Review on the Research Landscape of Finance in Vietnam from 2008 to 2020," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(5), pages 1-24, May.
    6. Muhammad Hussain & Farzan Yahya & Muhammad Waqas, 2021. "Does strong governance stimulate the effect of economic freedom and financial literacy on financial inclusion? a cross-country evidence," Future Business Journal, Springer, vol. 7(1), pages 1-10, December.
    7. Velenkosini Matsebula & Johannes Sheefeni, 2022. "Financial Inclusion and Macroeconomic Stability in South Africa," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 12(4), pages 56-64, July.
    8. Anna Misztal & Magdalena Kowalska & Anita Fajczak-Kowalska & Otakar Strunecky, 2021. "Energy Efficiency and Decarbonization in the Context of Macroeconomic Stabilization," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(16), pages 1-18, August.
    9. Jamil, Abd Rahim Md. & Law, Siong Hook & Mohamad Khair-Afham, M.S. & Trinugroho, Irwan, 2023. "Financial inclusion and economic uncertainty in developing countries: The role of digitalisation," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 786-806.
    10. Syed Aamir Aijaz & Grima Simon & Sood Kiran, 2024. "Assessing the Role of the Fintech Era on the Banking Stability of an Emerging Economy: Interaction Analysis of the Indian Banking Industry," Folia Oeconomica Stetinensia, Sciendo, vol. 24(1), pages 182-202.
    11. Ralph Stephen Leyeza & Mikka Marielle Boado & Obed Butacan & Donn Enrique Moreno & Lourdes Deocariza, 2023. "The Role of Loan-Related Risk Appetite in the Relationship between Financial Risk Considerations and MSME Growth Decision: A Mediation Analysis," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 16(5), pages 1-20, May.
    12. Loan Thi-Hong Van & Anh The Vo & Nhan Thien Nguyen & Duc Hong Vo, 2021. "Financial Inclusion and Economic GROWTH: An International Evidence," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 57(1), pages 239-263, January.
    13. Folorunsho M. Ajide, 2021. "Shadow economy in Africa: how relevant is financial inclusion?," Journal of Financial Regulation and Compliance, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 29(3), pages 297-316, April.
    14. Duc H. Vo & Nhan T. Nguyen, 2021. "Does financial inclusion improve bank performance in the Asian region?," Asian-Pacific Economic Literature, The Crawford School, The Australian National University, vol. 35(2), pages 123-135, November.
    15. Koranteng, Barbara & You, Kefei, 2025. "Does P2P lending promote the traditional bank-based financial inclusion? Spatial evidence from 34 developing economies," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 77(PB).
    16. Tran Thi Kim Oanh, 2024. "Sustainable development: Driving force from the relationship between finance inclusion, green finance and green growth," Sustainable Development, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 32(3), pages 2811-2829, June.
    17. Mugabil Isayev, 2024. "Unraveling the interplay of financial inclusion, stability, and shadow banking in emerging markets," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 57(2), pages 1-17, April.
    18. Ullah, Sabeeh & Begum, Maryam, 2025. "FinTech and financial sustainability: A mediating role of financial inclusion," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 217(C).
    19. Tufail Saira & Aljarallah Ruba & Munir Madiha & Alvi Shahzad & Ul Hassan Mehboob, 2025. "Financial Inclusion, Financial Depth, and Macroeconomic Fluctuations," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment Journal, De Gruyter, vol. 19(1), pages 1-23.

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    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • C62 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Existence and Stability Conditions of Equilibrium
    • F65 - International Economics - - Economic Impacts of Globalization - - - Finance
    • O16 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Financial Markets; Saving and Capital Investment; Corporate Finance and Governance
    • P45 - Political Economy and Comparative Economic Systems - - Other Economic Systems - - - International Linkages

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