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Firms entry, monetary policy and the international business cycle

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  • Cavallari Lilia

Abstract

This paper provides a novel theory of the international business cycle grounded on firms entry and sticky prices. It shows that under simple monetary rules pro-cyclical entry can generate fluctuations in consumption, output and investment as large as those observed in the data while at the same time providing positive international comovements and highly volatile terms of trade. The capacity to capture these stylized facts of the international business cycle overcomes the well-known difficulties of the standard open economy real business cycle model in this regard. Numerical simulations show that floating regimes exacerbate counter-cyclical markup movements. Fixed regimes, on the other hand, lead to an increase in the volatility of?firm entry.

Suggested Citation

  • Cavallari Lilia, 2011. "Firms entry, monetary policy and the international business cycle," wp.comunite 0086, Department of Communication, University of Teramo.
  • Handle: RePEc:ter:wpaper:0086
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    Cited by:

    1. Uusküla, Lenno, 2016. "Monetary transmission mechanism with firm turnover," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 1-18.
    2. Daniel Goya, 2014. "The Multiple Impacts of the Exchange Rate on Export Diversification," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 1436, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
    3. Cacciatore, Matteo & Fiori, Giuseppe & Ghironi, Fabio, 2016. "Market deregulation and optimal monetary policy in a monetary union," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 99(C), pages 120-137.
    4. Paul R. Bergin & Giancarlo Corsetti, 2015. "Beyond Competitive Devaluations: The Monetary Dimensions of Comparative Advantage," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 1559, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
    5. repec:cup:macdyn:v:22:y:2018:i:01:p:153-171_00 is not listed on IDEAS
    6. Pavlov, Oscar, 2016. "Can firm entry explain news-driven fluctuations?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 52(PB), pages 427-434.
    7. Cavallari, Lilia & D׳Addona, Stefano, 2015. "Exchange rates as shock absorbers: The role of export margins," Research in Economics, Elsevier, vol. 69(4), pages 582-602.
    8. Lewis, Vivien & Winkler, Roland, 2015. "Fiscal policy and business formation in open economies," Research in Economics, Elsevier, vol. 69(4), pages 603-620.
    9. Paul Bergin & Ling Feng & Ching-Yi Lin, 2018. "Financial Frictions and Trade Dynamics," NBER Working Papers 24503, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    10. Cavallari, Lilia, 2015. "Entry costs and the dynamics of business formation," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 312-326.
    11. Dohwa, Kohjiro, 2018. "The role of local currency pricing in international transmission effects of monetary and productivity shocks in an economy with vertical production linkage and firm entry," MPRA Paper 86351, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    12. Lilia Cavallari, 2012. "Markups And Entry In A Dsge Model," Working Papers 0612, CREI Università degli Studi Roma Tre, revised 2012.
    13. repec:eee:ecmode:v:64:y:2017:i:c:p:365-383 is not listed on IDEAS
    14. Lorenza Rossi, 2016. "Productivity Shocks and Uncertainty Shocks in a Model with Endogenous Firms Exit and Inefficient Banks," DEM Working Papers Series 128, University of Pavia, Department of Economics and Management.
    15. Lilia Cavallari, 2012. "Modelling Entry Costs: Does It Matter For Business Cycle Transmission?," Working Papers 0712, CREI Università degli Studi Roma Tre, revised 2012.
    16. Lilia Cavallari & Federico Etro, 2017. "Demand, Markups and the Business Cycle. Bayesian Estimation and Quantitative Analysis in Closed and Open Economies," Working Papers 2017:09, Department of Economics, University of Venice "Ca' Foscari".
    17. Matteo Cacciatore, 2013. "Trade, Unemployment, and Monetary Policy," 2013 Meeting Papers 724, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    18. Cavallari, Lilia, 2013. "A note on firm entry, markups and the business cycle," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 35(C), pages 528-535.
    19. La Croce, Carla & Rossi, Lorenza, 2018. "Firms' Endogenous Entry And Monopolistic Banking In A Dsge Model," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 22(01), pages 153-171, January.
    20. Lorenza Rossi, 2015. "Endogenous Firms' ?Exit, Inefficient Banks and Business Cycle Dynamics," Working Papers LuissLab 15117, Dipartimento di Economia e Finanza, LUISS Guido Carli.
    21. Cacciatore, Matteo & Fiori, Giuseppe & Ghironi, Fabio, 2015. "The domestic and international effects of euro area market reforms," Research in Economics, Elsevier, vol. 69(4), pages 555-581.
    22. Carla La Croce & Lorenza Rossi, 2014. "Endogenous Entry, Banking, and Business Cycle," DEM Working Papers Series 072, University of Pavia, Department of Economics and Management.
    23. Lorenza Rossi, 2018. "The Overshooting of Firms Destruction, Banks and Productivity Shocks," DEM Working Papers Series 147, University of Pavia, Department of Economics and Management.
    24. repec:eee:reecon:v:71:y:2017:i:3:p:373-383 is not listed on IDEAS

    More about this item

    Keywords

    product variety; firm entry; international business cycle; monetary policy; interest rate rules; exchange rate regimes;

    JEL classification:

    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy

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