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Exports and foreign direct investments in an endogenous-entry model with real and nominal uncertainty

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  • Cavallari, Lilia

Abstract

Drawing on a tractable DSGE model with nominal rigidity, this paper studies the implications of firms' entry in domestic and foreign markets for the international business cycle. The paper shows that the decision to enter a new market as well as the choice whether to invest at home or abroad depend on global monetary and productivity conditions. I find that a domestic monetary expansion might favor or deter start-up investments, depending on whether the potential entrant is a national or a multinational firm. Moreover, a structural policy change, as an increase in the degree of monetary stabilization, has a positive impact on trend investments in all sectors. Firms' dynamics, in turn, amplifies consumption and employment spillovers in the world economy. I stress that this may have non-negligible consequences for welfare.

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  • Cavallari, Lilia, 2010. "Exports and foreign direct investments in an endogenous-entry model with real and nominal uncertainty," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 32(1), pages 300-313, March.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:jmacro:v:32:y:2010:i:1:p:300-313
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    2. Lewis, Logan T., 2014. "Exports versus multinational production under nominal uncertainty," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 94(2), pages 371-386.
    3. Cavallari, Lilia & D׳Addona, Stefano, 2015. "Exchange rates as shock absorbers: The role of export margins," Research in Economics, Elsevier, vol. 69(4), pages 582-602.
    4. Dohwa, Kohjiro, 2018. "The role of local currency pricing in international transmission effects of corporate tax reduction in an economy with vertical production linkage and foreign direct investment," MPRA Paper 86394, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. Cavallari, Lilia & D'Addona, Stefano, 2017. "Output stabilization in fixed and floating regimes: Does trade of new products matter?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 365-383.
    6. Cooke, Dudley, 2014. "Monetary shocks, exchange rates, and the extensive margin of exports," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 128-145.
    7. Guo, Yan, 2013. "Strategic trade policy, cost uncertainty and FDI determinants," ISU General Staff Papers 201301010800004464, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
    8. Marta Arespa, 2013. "The intensive and the extensive margins: not only an international issue," Portuguese Economic Journal, Springer;Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestao, vol. 12(1), pages 1-34, April.
    9. Paul R. Bergin & Giancarlo Corsetti, 2013. "International Competitiveness and Monetary Policy: Strategic Policy and Coordination with a Production Relocation Externality," NBER Working Papers 19356, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    10. Frantisek Brazdik & Tibor Hledik & Zuzana Humplova & Iva Martonosi & Karel Musil & Jakub Rysanek & Tomas Sestorad & Jaromir Tonner & Stanislav Tvrz & Jan Zacek, 2020. "The g3+ Model: An Upgrade of the Czech National Bank's Core Forecasting Framework," Working Papers 2020/7, Czech National Bank.
    11. Fries, Claudia & Kappler, Marcus, 2015. "Does foreign direct investment synchronise business cycles? Results from a panel approach," ZEW Discussion Papers 15-031, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research.
    12. Carlos Rodríguez & Ricardo Bustillo, 2015. "Foreign Direct Investment and the Business Cycle: New Insights after the Great Recession," Prague Economic Papers, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2015(2), pages 136-153.
    13. Stefano D’Addona & Lilia Cavallari, 2020. "External Shocks, Trade Margins, and Macroeconomic Dynamics," Economies, MDPI, vol. 8(1), pages 1-26, January.

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