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A Model of Endogenous Nontradability and its Implications for the Current Account

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  • Paul Bergin
  • Reuven Glick

Abstract

This paper studies how nontraded goods limit the ability of a country to finance current account deficits. It uses an intertemporal model of the current account for a small open economy where goods are endogenously nontraded due to explicit trade costs. The economy has an endowment of two goods with differing trade costs, either of which can be traded or nontraded in equilibrium. The model implies that current account deficits impose a cost, in the form of raising the effective interest rate in the country. The findings differ from some recent studies: first, in that the interest rate rises even for countries with modest current account deficits; secondly, the interest rate cost eventually reaches an upper bound as current account deficits grow, and progressively more nontraded goods become traded to service the debt. Panel regression analysis of interest rate and current account data is consistent with our conclusions.

Suggested Citation

  • Paul Bergin & Reuven Glick, 2007. "A Model of Endogenous Nontradability and its Implications for the Current Account," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 15(5), pages 916-931, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:reviec:v:15:y:2007:i:5:p:916-931
    DOI: 10.1111/j.1467-9396.2007.00662.x
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    Cited by:

    1. Cavallari, Lilia & D'Addona, Stefano, 2013. "Trade margins and exchange rate regimes: new evidence from a panel VAR," MPRA Paper 51585, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Cavallari, Lilia & D'Addona, Stefano, 2017. "Output stabilization in fixed and floating regimes: Does trade of new products matter?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 365-383.
    3. Fabio Ghironi & Marc J. Melitz, 2005. "International Trade and Macroeconomic Dynamics with Heterogeneous Firms," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 120(3), pages 865-915.
    4. Giorgio Fazio & Ronald MacDonald & Jacques Melitz, 2008. "Trade Costs, Trade Balances and Current Accounts: An Application of Gravity to Multilateral Trade," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 19(5), pages 557-578, November.
    5. Lilia Cavallari & Stefano D’Addona, 2014. "Trade Margins And Exchange Rate Regimes: New Evidence From A Panel Varx Model," Working Papers 0514, CREI Università degli Studi Roma Tre, revised 2014.
    6. Manoj Atolia, 2019. "Trade Costs and Endogenous Nontradability in a Model with Sectoral and Firm-Level Heterogeneity," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 53(2), pages 709-742, February.
    7. Cavallari, Lilia & Romano, Simone & Naticchioni, Paolo, 2021. "The original sin: Firms’ dynamics and the life-cycle consequences of economic conditions at birth," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 138(C).
    8. Cavallari, Lilia, 2010. "Exports and foreign direct investments in an endogenous-entry model with real and nominal uncertainty," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 32(1), pages 300-313, March.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • F4 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance

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