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Vieillissement et richesse des nations

Author

Listed:
  • Jacques Le Cacheux

    (Observatoire français des conjonctures économiques)

  • Vincent Touze

    (Observatoire français des conjonctures économiques)

Abstract

Cet article examine l’impact du vieillissement sur l’accumulation patrimoniale et la croissance économique, l’objectif étant d’analyser la diffusion des effets du vieillissement dans l’économie au niveau des comportements individuels, au niveau des finances publiques ainsi qu’en termes d’équilibre général. La démarche retenue est analytique. Nous montrons que pour certaines règles institutionnelles de régime de retraite, notamment à cotisations retraite inchangées, le vieillissement est toujours un facteur de développement : l’allongement de la durée d’inactivité incitant à une épargne plus abondante, il en résulte que le vieillissement des générations actuelles est aussi favorable aux générations futures. Seule une élévation majeure du poids du système par répartition peut conduire à une contraction du patrimoine et à une réduction de la croissance. Nous discutons également du bénéfice moral du vieillissement, des conséquences possibles sur la croissance ainsi que des règles de partage équitable et de l’incidence sur l’offre de travail.

Suggested Citation

  • Jacques Le Cacheux & Vincent Touze, 2003. "Vieillissement et richesse des nations," Sciences Po publications info:hdl:2441/2087, Sciences Po.
  • Handle: RePEc:spo:wpmain:info:hdl:2441/2087
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    File URL: http://spire.sciencespo.fr/hdl:/2441/2087/resources/2-84.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
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    Cited by:

    1. Jacques Le Cacheux & Vincent Touzé, 2002. "Les modèles d'équilibre général calculable à générations imbriquées. Enjeux, méthodes et résultats," Revue de l'OFCE, Presses de Sciences-Po, vol. 80(1), pages 87-113.
    2. Vincent Touze, 2005. "Les performances de l'économie suédoise depuis 1970 : quelques éléments d'évaluation," Working Papers hal-00972782, HAL.
    3. Vincent Touzé & Cyrille Hagneré & Gaël Dupont, 2003. "Les modèles de microsimulation dynamique dans l’analyse des réformes des systèmes de retraites : une tentative de bilan," Économie et Prévision, Programme National Persée, vol. 160(4), pages 167-191.
    4. repec:spo:wpecon:info:hdl:2441/3901 is not listed on IDEAS
    5. Vincent Touzé, 2007. "Les performances économiques de la Suède. Quelques éléments d'évaluation," Revue de l'OFCE, Presses de Sciences-Po, vol. 100(1), pages 31-84.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • D91 - Microeconomics - - Micro-Based Behavioral Economics - - - Role and Effects of Psychological, Emotional, Social, and Cognitive Factors on Decision Making
    • H55 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies - - - Social Security and Public Pensions
    • D91 - Microeconomics - - Micro-Based Behavioral Economics - - - Role and Effects of Psychological, Emotional, Social, and Cognitive Factors on Decision Making

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