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Incidences économiques, politiques et redistributives des réformes des retraites en Europe: Une exploration avec le modèle INGENUE

Listed author(s):
  • Michel Aglietta

    (Centre d'Etudes Prospectives et d'Informations Internationales)

  • Jean Chateau

    (UFR Mathématique et informatique)

  • Jacky Fayolle

    (Centre Etudes & Prospective)

  • Michel Juillard

    (Bases, Corpus, Langage)

  • Jacques Le Cacheux

    (Observatoire français des conjonctures économiques)

  • Gilles Le Garrec
  • Vincent Touze

    (Observatoire français des conjonctures économiques)

Cet article présente trois simulations de l’impact de réformes des systèmes de retraite en Europe. Ces simulations sont réalisées avec le modèle INGENUE, modèle d’équilibre général calculable à générations imbriquées de l’économie mondiale. Les réformes envisagées sont des variantes autour d’un compte central qui postule le maintien d’un taux constant de remplacement des pensions sur les salaires nets. Les trois réformes étudiées sont : le maintien d’un taux constant de cotisation sociale, le maintien d’un taux constant de remplacement des pensions sur le salaire brut, et l’allongement de la durée d’activité. Les impacts de ces réformes sont alors examinés sous les angles économique, politique et redistributif.

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File URL: http://spire.sciencespo.fr/hdl:/2441/4321/resources/2002-aglietta-chateau-fayolle-juillard-le-cacheux-le-garrec-touze-incidences-economiques-politiques-et-redistributives-des-reformes-des-retraites-en-europe.pdf
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Paper provided by Sciences Po in its series Sciences Po publications with number info:hdl:2441/4321.

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Date of creation: Jul 2002
Publication status: Published in Revue économique, 2002, vol. 53, pp.787-808
Handle: RePEc:spo:wpmain:info:hdl:2441/4321
Contact details of provider: Web page: http://www.sciencespo.fr/

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