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Not-Quite-Great Depressions of Turkey: A Quantitative Analysis of Economic Growth over 1968 - 2004

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  • Ceyhun Elgin

    (University of Minnesota)

  • Deniz Cicek

    (University of Minnesota)

Abstract

Following the great depressions methodology suggested by Cole and Ohanian (1999) and Kehoe and Prescott (2002, 2007), we use growth accounting and standard dynamic general equilibrium models to study growth performance of Turkey from 1968 to 2004. We find that the primary source of output growth in Turkey was growth in total factor productivity, rather than growth in labor and capital inputs. Among the various specifications of dynamic general equilibrium models employed, the one with capital adjustment costs and variable taxes comes closest to account for the data. This suggests that rigidities affecting capital accumulation and distortionary taxes have a crucial role in explaining the evolution of the Turkish economy.

Suggested Citation

  • Ceyhun Elgin & Deniz Cicek, 2009. "Not-Quite-Great Depressions of Turkey: A Quantitative Analysis of Economic Growth over 1968 - 2004," 2009 Meeting Papers 407, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    • Handle: RePEc:red:sed009:407
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    1. Ceyhun ELGİN & Tolga Umut KUZUBAŞ, 2012. "Wage-Productivity Gap in Turkish Manufacturing Sector," Iktisat Isletme ve Finans, Bilgesel Yayincilik, vol. 27(316), pages 09-31.
    2. Ceyhun Elgin & Oğuz Öztunalı, 2014. "Environmental Kuznets Curve for the Informal Sector of Turkey (1950-2009)," Panoeconomicus, Savez ekonomista Vojvodine, Novi Sad, Serbia, vol. 61(4), pages 471-485.
    3. Attar, M. Aykut, 2021. "Growth, distribution and dynamic inefficiency in Turkey: An analysis of the naïve neoclassical theory of capital," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 20-30.
    4. Dalton, John T., 2015. "The Evolution Of Taxes And Hours Worked In Austria, 1970–2005," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 19(8), pages 1800-1815, December.
    5. Üngör, Murat, 2014. "Some thought experiments on the changes in labor supply in Turkey," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 39(C), pages 265-272.
    6. Attar, M. Aykut, 2013. "Growth and Demography in Turkey: Economic History vs. Pro-Natalist Rhetoric," MPRA Paper 47275, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    7. Orhan Erem Atesagaoglu & Ceyhun Elgin & Oguz Oztunali, 2017. "TFP growth in Turkey revisited: The effect of informal sector," Central Bank Review, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey, vol. 17(1), pages 1-11–17.
    8. Elgin, Ceyhun & Yucel, Emekcan, 2014. "Determinants of the weight for leisure in preferences," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal (2007-2020), Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel), vol. 8, pages 1-26.
    9. Murat Üngör & M. Koray Kalafatcılar, 2014. "Productivity, Demographics, and Growth in Turkey: 2004-12," Ekonomi-tek - International Economics Journal, Turkish Economic Association, vol. 3(1), pages 23-56, January.
    10. M. Aykut Attar, 2018. "Economic Development in Turkey and South Korea: A Comparative Analysis," Bogazici Journal, Review of Social, Economic and Administrative Studies, Bogazici University, Department of Economics, vol. 32(1), pages 1-28.
    11. Murat Üngör, 2016. "Did the rising importance of services decelerate overall productivity improvement of Turkey during 2002–2007?," Journal of Economic Policy Reform, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 19(3), pages 238-261, July.

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