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TFP growth in Turkey revisited: The effect of informal sector

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  • Orhan Erem Atesagaoglu
  • Ceyhun Elgin
  • Oguz Oztunali

Abstract

In this paper, we aim to contribute to the growth literature by presenting evidence that the presence of an informal sector might significantly affect both the level as well as the course of the total factor productivity (TFP). To this end, we develop a framework where we can compare the TFP in Turkey generated by a one-sector benchmark model to the one originating from an extended model with the presence of formal and informal labor. Our results indicate that, over the course of 1950–2014, the TFP generated by the benchmark model generally underestimates the productivity of the formal sector and this underestimation is mainly observed and is widened after 1980. Moreover, we also find that the substitution between formal and informal labor significantly affects this underestimation.

Suggested Citation

  • Orhan Erem Atesagaoglu & Ceyhun Elgin & Oguz Oztunali, 2017. "TFP growth in Turkey revisited: The effect of informal sector," Central Bank Review, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey, vol. 17(1), pages 11-17.
    • Handle: RePEc:tcb:cebare:v:17:y:2017:i:1:p:11-17
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    Cited by:

    1. Tamkoç, M. Nazım, 2024. "Bribery, plant size and size dependent distortions," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 171(C).
    2. Marcos Takanohashi & Marcel Ribeiro & Friedrich Schneider, 2025. "The impact of inequality on the informal economy in Latin America and Caribbean with a MIMIC model," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 69(1), pages 181-211, July.
    3. Attar, M. Aykut, 2021. "Growth, distribution and dynamic inefficiency in Turkey: An analysis of the naïve neoclassical theory of capital," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 20-30.
    4. Rajeev K. Goel & Ummad Mazhar & Rati Ram, 2022. "Informal competition and firm performance: Impacts on input‐ versus output performance," Managerial and Decision Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(2), pages 418-430, March.
    5. Ceyhun Elgin & Ferda Erturk, 2019. "Informal economies around the world: measures, determinants and consequences," Eurasian Economic Review, Springer;Eurasia Business and Economics Society, vol. 9(2), pages 221-237, June.
    6. İbrahim Tuğrul Çınar, 2024. "Influence of product relatedness on provincial growth: comparative analysis of east–west discrepancies in Turkey," Asia-Pacific Journal of Regional Science, Springer, vol. 8(1), pages 267-290, March.

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