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Nutrition and economic growth in South Africa: A momentum threshold autoregressive (MTAR) approach

  • Phiri, Andrew
  • Dube, Wisdom

Purpose: This purpose of our paper is to examine asymmetric co-integration effects between nutrition and economic growth for annual South African data from the period 1961-2013. Design/methodology/approach: We deviate from the conventional assumption of linear co-integration and pragmatically incorporate asymmetric effects in the framework through a fusion of the momentum threshold autoregressive and threshold error correction (MTAR-TEC) model approaches, which essentially combines the adjustment asymmetry model of Enders and Silkos (2001); with causality analysis as introduced by Granger (1969); all encompassed by/within the threshold autoregressive (TAR) framework, a la Hansen (2000). Findings: The findings obtained from our study uncover a number of interesting phenomena for the South Africa economy. Firstly, in coherence with previous studies conducted for developing economies, we establish a positive relationship between nutrition and economic growth with an estimated income elasticity of nutritional intake of 0.15. Secondly, we find bi-direction causality between nutrition and economic growth with a stronger causal effect running from nutrition to economic growth. Lastly, we find that in the face of equilibrium shocks to the variables, policymakers are slow to responding to deviations of the variables from their co-integrated long run steady state equilibrium. Originality/value: In our study, we make a novel contribution to the literature by exploring asymmetric modelling in the correlation between nutrition intake and economic growth for the exclusive case of South Africa.

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Paper provided by University Library of Munich, Germany in its series MPRA Paper with number 52950.

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Date of creation: 14 Jan 2014
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:52950
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  17. Behrman, Jere R & Deolalikar, Anil B, 1989. "Is Variety the Spice of Life? Implications for Calorie Intake," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 71(4), pages 666-72, November.
  18. Shelley, Gary & Wallace, Frederick, 2010. "Further evidence regarding nonlinear trend reversion of real GDP and the CPI," MPRA Paper 24962, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  19. Svedberg, Peter, 1999. "841 Million Undernourished?," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 27(12), pages 2081-2098, December.
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  25. Salois, Matthew & Tiffin, Richard & Balcombe, Kelvin, 2010. "Calorie and Nutrient Consumption as a Function of Income: A Cross-Country Analysis," MPRA Paper 24726, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  26. Emmanuel Skoufias & Vincenzo Di Maro & Teresa González-Cossío & Sonia Rodríguez Ramírez, 2009. "Nutrient consumption and household income in rural Mexico," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 40(6), pages 657-675, November.
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