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International monetary transmission to the Euro area: Evidence from the U.S., Japan and China

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  • Vespignani, Joaquin L.
  • Ratti, Ronald A.

Abstract

There are marked differences in the effect of increases in monetary aggregates ‎in China, Japan ‎and the U.S. on Euro area economic and financial variables over 1999-2012. Increases in ‎monetary aggregates ‎in China are associated with significant increases in the world price of ‎commodities and with increases in Euro area inflation, industrial production and exports. ‎Results are consistent with shocks to China’s M2 facilitating domestic growth with ‎expansionary consequences for the Euro area economy. In contrast, increases in monetary ‎aggregates in Japan are associated with significant appreciation of the Euro and decreases in ‎Euro area industrial production and exports. Production of goods highly competitive with ‎European goods in Japan and expenditure switching in Japan are consistent with the results. ‎U.S. monetary expansion has relatively small effects on the Euro area over this period ‎compared to results reported in the literature for earlier sample periods.‎

Suggested Citation

  • Vespignani, Joaquin L. & Ratti, Ronald A., 2013. "International monetary transmission to the Euro area: Evidence from the U.S., Japan and China," MPRA Paper 49707, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:49707
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    International monetary transmission; China’s monetary aggregates; Euro area Commodity prices;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies
    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • F42 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - International Policy Coordination and Transmission

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