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Re-examining Purchasing Power Parity for East-Asian Currencies: 1976-2002

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  • Barumshah, Ahmad Zubaidi
  • Chan, Tze-Haw
  • Fountas, Stilianos

Abstract

We investigate the behavior of real exchange rates of six East-Asia countries in relation to their two major trading partners – the US and Japan. These countries, Singapore excepted, were affected by the financial crisis of the fall 1997. Using monthly frequency data from 1976 to 2002 and the ARDL cointegration procedure we test for the long-run PPP hypothesis. We find no evidence for the weak form of PPP in the pre-crisis period but strong evidence in the post-crisis period. For the post-crisis period, we also find very small persistence of PPP deviations as indicated by very small half-lives (less than 7 months) and narrow confidence intervals with an upper bound of 1 year or less in most countries. Our findings reveal that the East Asian countries are returning to some form of PPP-oriented rule as a basis for their exchange rate policies.

Suggested Citation

  • Barumshah, Ahmad Zubaidi & Chan, Tze-Haw & Fountas, Stilianos, 2004. "Re-examining Purchasing Power Parity for East-Asian Currencies: 1976-2002," MPRA Paper 2025, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 2006.
  • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:2025
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    Cited by:

    1. Baharumshah & Siew-Voon Soon & Wohar, 2015. "Parity reversion in the Asian real exchange rates: new evidence from the local-persistent model," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 47(59), pages 6395-6408, December.
    2. Chan, Tze-Haw, 2011. "A structural modeling of exchange rate, prices and interest rates between Malaysia-China in the liberalization era," MPRA Paper 32955, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Laurence Copeland & Saeed Heravi, 2009. "Structural breaks in the real exchange rate adjustment mechanism," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 19(2), pages 121-134.
    4. Yutaka Kurihara, 2009. "Is Purchasing Power Parity Hypothesis Reasonable from the View of Trade Blocks and Currency Zones?," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(3), pages 3-14.
    5. Ching-Chuan Tsong, 2010. "Are Real Exchange Rates Mean Reverting in Developing Economies in Asia? A Covariate Stationarity Approach," International Economic Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 24(3), pages 397-412.
    6. Chan, Tze-Haw, 2012. "Assessing the international parity conditions and transmission mechanism for Malaysia-China," MPRA Paper 38930, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    7. Chin-Ping King, 2012. "Half Life of the Real Exchange Rate: Evidence from the Nonlinear Approach in Emerging Economies," Journal of Economics and Management, College of Business, Feng Chia University, Taiwan, vol. 8(1), pages 1-23, January.
    8. Jiranyakul, Komain & Batavia, Bala, 2009. "Does Purchasing Power Parity hold in Thailand?," MPRA Paper 47032, University Library of Munich, Germany.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Purchasing power parity; Asian financial crisis; bounds test; half-lives; confidence intervals;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F40 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - General
    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • C23 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models
    • C12 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Hypothesis Testing: General

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