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Recent Credit Stagnation in the Mena Region: What to Expect? What Can Be Done?

Author

Listed:
  • Mr. Ralph Chami
  • Mr. Raphael A Espinoza
  • Mr. Adolfo Barajas
  • Mr. Heiko Hesse

Abstract

This paper examines the recent credit slowdown among Middle Eastern and North African (MENA) countries from three analytical angles. First, it finds that, similar to other regions and to its past history, a credit boom preceded the current slowdown, and that a protracted period of sluggish growth is likely going forward. Second, it uncovers a key role played by bank funding (deposit growth and external borrowing slowed considerably) but whose effect was frequently dampened by expansionary monetary policy. Third, bank-level fundamentals - capitalization and loan quality - helped to explain differences in credit growth across banks and countries.

Suggested Citation

  • Mr. Ralph Chami & Mr. Raphael A Espinoza & Mr. Adolfo Barajas & Mr. Heiko Hesse, 2010. "Recent Credit Stagnation in the Mena Region: What to Expect? What Can Be Done?," IMF Working Papers 2010/219, International Monetary Fund.
    • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2010/219
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Enrique G. Mendoza & Marco E. Terrones, 2008. "An Anatomy Of Credit Booms: Evidence From Macro Aggregates And Micro Data," NBER Working Papers 14049, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    2. Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas & Rodrigo Valdes & Oscar Landerretche, 2001. "Lending Booms: Latin America and the World," Economía Journal, The Latin American and Caribbean Economic Association - LACEA, vol. 0(Spring 20), pages 47-100.
    3. Adolfo Barajas & Roberto Steiner, 2002. "Why Don't They Lend? Credit Stagnation in Latin America," IMF Staff Papers, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 49(Special i), pages 156-184.
    4. Mr. Martin Cihak & Ms. Petya Koeva Brooks, 2009. "From Subprime Loans to Subprime Growth? Evidence for the Euro Area," IMF Working Papers 2009/069, International Monetary Fund.
    5. Mr. Adolfo Barajas & Mr. Roberto Steiner, 2002. "Credit Stagnation in Latin America," IMF Working Papers 2002/053, International Monetary Fund.
    6. Mr. Prakash Kannan, 2010. "Credit Conditions and Recoveries from Recessions Associated with Financial Crises," IMF Working Papers 2010/083, International Monetary Fund.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

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    Cited by:

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    2. Saadaoui Zied, 2015. "The Cyclical Behaviour of Bank Capital Buffers: An Empirical Evidence for MENA Banking Systems," Review of Middle East Economics and Finance, De Gruyter, vol. 11(2), pages 145-182, August.
    3. Hayot Berk Saydaliev & Lee Chin, 2023. "The necessity of social infrastructure for enhancing educational attainment: evidence from high remittance recipient LMICs," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 56(3), pages 1823-1847, June.
    4. Ms. Corinne C Delechat & Ms. Camila Henao Arbelaez & Ms. Priscilla S Muthoora & Svetlana Vtyurina, 2012. "The Determinants of Banks' Liquidity Buffers in Central America," IMF Working Papers 2012/301, International Monetary Fund.
    5. Ken Miyajima, 2020. "What influences bank lending in Saudi Arabia?," Islamic Economic Studies, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 27(2), pages 125-155, April.
    6. Selim Elekdag & Yiqun Wu, 2013. "Rapid Credit Growth in Emerging Markets: Boon or Boom-Bust?," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 49(5), pages 45-62, September.
    7. Mr. Selim A Elekdag & Mr. Yiqun Wu, 2011. "Rapid Credit Growth: Boon or Boom-Bust?," IMF Working Papers 2011/241, International Monetary Fund.
    8. Ananou, Foly & Chronopoulos, Dimitris K. & Tarazi, Amine & Wilson, John O.S., 2021. "Liquidity regulation and bank lending," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
    9. Hayot Berk Saydaliyev & Lee Chin & Yessengali Oskenbayev, 2020. "The nexus of remittances, institutional quality, and financial inclusion," Economic Research-Ekonomska Istraživanja, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 33(1), pages 3528-3544, January.
    10. Ndanshau, Michael O.A. & Semu, Amanda M., . "Determinants of Bank Credit Supply to the Private Sector in Tanzania," African Journal of Economic Review, African Journal of Economic Review, vol. 11(2).
    11. Franziska Ohnsorge & Shu Yu, 2017. "Recent Credit Surge in Historical Context," Journal of International Commerce, Economics and Policy (JICEP), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 8(01), pages 1-22, February.
    12. Liliana Rojas-Suarez and Carlos Montoro, 2012. "Credit at Times of Stress: Latin American Lessons from the Global Financial Crisis - Working Paper 289," Working Papers 289, Center for Global Development.
    13. Corinne Deléchat & Camila Henao & Priscilla Muthoora & Svetlana Vtyurina, 2014. "The Determinants of Banks' Liquidity Buffers in Central America," Monetaria, Centro de Estudios Monetarios Latinoamericanos, CEMLA, vol. 0(1), pages 83-129, January-J.
    14. Mr. Simon T Gray & Mr. Philippe D Karam & Ms. Rima A Turk, 2014. "Are Banks Really Lazy? Evidence from Middle East and North Africa," IMF Working Papers 2014/086, International Monetary Fund.
    15. International Monetary Fund, 2016. "Romania: Selected Issues," IMF Staff Country Reports 2016/114, International Monetary Fund.
    16. Harun, Cicilia A. & Taruna, Aditya Anta & Ramdani,, 2021. "Capturing the nonlinear impact in distress state: Enhancing scenario design of stress test," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 265-288.
    17. Carlos Montoro & Liliana Rojas-Suarez, 2015. "Credit in Times of Stress: Lessons from Latin America during the Global Financial Crisis," Review of Development Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 19(2), pages 309-327, May.
    18. Vahram Stepanyan & Kai Guo, 2011. "Determinants of Bank Credit in Emerging Market Economies," IMF Working Papers 2011/051, International Monetary Fund.
    19. Carlos Montoro & Liliana Rojas-Suarez, 2012. "Credit at times of stress: Latin American lessons from the global financial crisis," BIS Working Papers 370, Bank for International Settlements.
    20. Riadh Ben Jelili & Hélène Djoufelkit-Cottenet & Abdelhakim Hammoudi, 2008. "Normative Approach of Upstream-Downstream Relationships in the Tourism Sector: Implication for the Tourism Policy of the South Mediterranean Countries," Working Papers 802, Economic Research Forum, revised 01 Jan 2008.

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