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The Comovements in International Stock Markets: New Evidence from Latin American Emerging Countries

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  • Mohamed El Hedi Arouri

    (LEO - Laboratoire d'économie d'Orleans [2008-2011] - UO - Université d'Orléans - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)

  • Nguyen Duc
  • Bellalah Mondher

Abstract

We analyse the time variations in the comovements of Latin American stock markets. Conditional correlations are estimated from the dynamic conditional correlation GARCH model. Then, Bai and Perron's (2003) structural break technique is employed to test for changing nature of market comovements. Main findings are as follows. First, the degree of cross-market comovements changed over time and has significantly increased since 1994. However, room for international diversification still remains largely possible. Second, the comovements are subjected to various regime shifts, essentially due to major economic events. Finally, stock markets move much more together in times of crisis.
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Suggested Citation

  • Mohamed El Hedi Arouri & Nguyen Duc & Bellalah Mondher, 2008. "The Comovements in International Stock Markets: New Evidence from Latin American Emerging Countries," Post-Print halshs-00324262, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:halshs-00324262
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    Cited by:

    1. Marfatia, Hardik A., 2017. "A fresh look at integration of risks in the international stock markets: A wavelet approach," Review of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 34(C), pages 33-49.
    2. Zhaoyuan Li & Maozai Tian, 2017. "A New Method For Dynamic Stock Clustering Based On Spectral Analysis," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 50(3), pages 373-392, October.
    3. Erik Munoz Henríquez & Francisco Gálvez-Gamboa, 2022. "Efecto de la incertidumbre de la política económica internacional sobre los mercados financieros latinoamericanos," Estudios Gerenciales, Universidad Icesi, vol. 38(165), pages 519-528, November.
    4. Zhong, Yi & Liu, Jiapeng, 2021. "Correlations and volatility spillovers between China and Southeast Asian stock markets," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 57-69.
    5. Cristhian Mellado & Diego Escobari, 2015. "Virtual integration of financial markets: a dynamic correlation analysis of the creation of the Latin American Integrated Market," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 47(19), pages 1956-1971, April.
    6. Sercan Demiralay & Veysel Ulusoy, 2017. "How Has the Behavior of Cross-Market Correlations Altered During Financial and Debt Crises?," Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 85(6), pages 765-794, December.
    7. Hardik A. Marfatia, 2017. "A fresh look at integration of risks in the international stock markets: A wavelet approach," Review of Financial Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 34(1), pages 33-49, September.
    8. Xindan Li & Bing Zhang, 2013. "Spillover and Cojumps Between the U.S. and Chinese Stock Markets," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 49(S2), pages 23-42, March.
    9. Ahmad, Nasir & Rehman, Mobeen Ur & Vo, Xuan Vinh & Kang, Sang Hoon, 2022. "Does inter-region portfolio diversification pay more than the international diversification?," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 26-35.
    10. Fernanda G Barba & Paulo S Ceretta, 2011. "Risk transmission between Latin America stock markets and the US: impacts of the 2007/2008 Crisis," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 31(2), pages 1025-1037.
    11. Park, Yung Chul & Park, Hail, 2014. "Stock Market Co-Movement and Exchange Rate Flexibility: Experience of the Republic of Korea," ADBI Working Papers 479, Asian Development Bank Institute.
    12. Nguyen, Cuong & Ishaq Bhatti, M. & Henry, Darren, 2017. "Are Vietnam and Chinese stock markets out of the US contagion effect in extreme events?," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 480(C), pages 10-21.
    13. Mobeen Ur Rehman & Syed Muhammad Amir Shah, 2016. "Does Bilateral Market and Financial Integration Explains International Co-Movement Patterns 1," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 4(2), pages 1-13, May.
    14. Jae-Kwang Hwang, 2014. "Spillover Effects of the 2008 Financial Crisis in Latin America Stock Markets," International Advances in Economic Research, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 20(3), pages 311-324, August.
    15. Ma, Rufei & Deng, Chengtao & Cai, Huan & Zhai, Pengxiang, 2019. "Does Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect drive market comovement between Shanghai and Hong Kong: A new evidence," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
    16. Silvo Dajcman, 2012. "Comovement between stock and bond markets and the ‘flight-to-quality’ during financial market turmoil – a case of the Eurozone countries most affected by the sovereign debt crisis of 2010–2011," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 19(17), pages 1655-1662.
    17. M. Kannadhasan & Debojyoti Das, 2019. "Has Co-Movement Dynamics in Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa (BRICS) Markets Changed After Global Financial Crisis? New Evidence from Wavelet Analysis," Asian Academy of Management Journal of Accounting and Finance (AAMJAF), Penerbit Universiti Sains Malaysia, vol. 15(1), pages 1-26.
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    19. Güloğlu, Bülent & Kaya, Pınar & Aydemir, Resul, 2016. "Volatility transmission among Latin American stock markets under structural breaks," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 462(C), pages 330-340.
    20. Ana Carolina Costa Correa & Tabajara Pimenta Júnior & Luiz Eduardo Gaio, 2018. "Interdependence and asymmetries: Latin American ADRs and developed markets," Brazilian Business Review, Fucape Business School, vol. 15(4), pages 391-409, July.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Comovements; International; Stock; Markets; New; Evidence; Latin; American; Emerging; Countries;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F37 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Finance Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

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