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The Comovements In International Stock Markets: New Evidence From Latin American Emerging Countries

Author

Listed:
  • Mohamed El Hedi Arouri

    (LEO - Laboratoire d'économie d'Orleans [2008-2011] - UO - Université d'Orléans - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique, EconomiX - EconomiX - UPN - Université Paris Nanterre - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)

  • Mondher Bellalah

    (THEMA - Théorie économique, modélisation et applications - UCP - Université de Cergy Pontoise - Université Paris-Seine - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)

  • Duc Khuong Nguyen

    (CERAG - Centre d'études et de recherches appliquées à la gestion - UPMF - Université Pierre Mendès France - Grenoble 2 - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)

Abstract

We analyze the time-variations of conditional correlations between selected Latin American emerging markets and between them and the World stock market to further shed light on the issues of capital market integration and portfolio diversification. The cross-market correlations are empirically estimated from the Engle (2002)'s DCC-GARCH model. Bai and Perron (2003)'s structural break analysis technique is also employed to test for possibly changing nature of stock market comovements. Main findings of the paper are as follows. First, the degree of cross-market comovements changed over time and has significantly increased since 1994 and onwards, which is to the large extent informative of increasing market integration. Despite the significant interdependencies among the studied markets, room for international portfolio diversification nevertheless seems largely possible. Second, it is demonstrated that the cross-market comovements are subjected to various regime shifts due essentially to major stock market events. Finally, the purpose that stock markets move much more together in times of crisis than in normal times can not be rejected according to our empirical evidence.

Suggested Citation

  • Mohamed El Hedi Arouri & Mondher Bellalah & Duc Khuong Nguyen, 2008. "The Comovements In International Stock Markets: New Evidence From Latin American Emerging Countries," Working Papers halshs-00202943, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:wpaper:halshs-00202943
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://shs.hal.science/halshs-00202943v1
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    Cited by:

    1. Marfatia, Hardik A., 2017. "A fresh look at integration of risks in the international stock markets: A wavelet approach," Review of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 34(C), pages 33-49.
    2. Zhaoyuan Li & Maozai Tian, 2017. "A New Method For Dynamic Stock Clustering Based On Spectral Analysis," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 50(3), pages 373-392, October.
    3. Erik Munoz Henríquez & Francisco G�lvez-Gamboa, 2022. "Efecto de la incertidumbre de la política económica internacional sobre los mercados financieros latinoamericanos," Estudios Gerenciales, Universidad Icesi, vol. 38(165), pages 519-528.
    4. Zhong, Yi & Liu, Jiapeng, 2021. "Correlations and volatility spillovers between China and Southeast Asian stock markets," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 57-69.
    5. Sercan Demiralay & Veysel Ulusoy, 2017. "How Has the Behavior of Cross-Market Correlations Altered During Financial and Debt Crises?," Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 85(6), pages 765-794, December.
    6. Xindan Li & Bing Zhang, 2013. "Spillover and Cojumps Between the U.S. and Chinese Stock Markets," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 49(S2), pages 23-42, March.
    7. Ahmad, Nasir & Rehman, Mobeen Ur & Vo, Xuan Vinh & Kang, Sang Hoon, 2022. "Does inter-region portfolio diversification pay more than the international diversification?," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 26-35.
    8. Yung Chul Park & Hail Park, 2014. "Stock Market Co-Movement and Exchange Rate Flexibility: Experience of the Republic of Korea," ADBI Working Papers 479, Asian Development Bank Institute.
    9. Mobeen Ur Rehman & Syed Muhammad Amir Shah, 2016. "Does Bilateral Market and Financial Integration Explains International Co-Movement Patterns 1," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 4(2), pages 1-13, May.
    10. Jae-Kwang Hwang, 2014. "Spillover Effects of the 2008 Financial Crisis in Latin America Stock Markets," International Advances in Economic Research, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 20(3), pages 311-324, August.
    11. Ma, Rufei & Deng, Chengtao & Cai, Huan & Zhai, Pengxiang, 2019. "Does Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect drive market comovement between Shanghai and Hong Kong: A new evidence," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
    12. Silvo Dajcman, 2012. "Comovement between stock and bond markets and the ‘flight-to-quality’ during financial market turmoil – a case of the Eurozone countries most affected by the sovereign debt crisis of 2010–2011," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 19(17), pages 1655-1662.
    13. Ana Carolina Costa Correa & Tabajara Pimenta Júnior & Luiz Eduardo Gaio, 2018. "Interdependence and asymmetries: Latin American ADRs and developed markets," Brazilian Business Review, Fucape Business School, vol. 15(4), pages 391-409, July.
    14. Hardik A. Marfatia, 2017. "A fresh look at integration of risks in the international stock markets: A wavelet approach," Review of Financial Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 34(1), pages 33-49, September.
    15. Fernanda G Barba & Paulo S Ceretta, 2011. "Risk transmission between Latin America stock markets and the US: impacts of the 2007/2008 Crisis," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 31(2), pages 1025-1037.
    16. Nguyen, Cuong & Ishaq Bhatti, M. & Henry, Darren, 2017. "Are Vietnam and Chinese stock markets out of the US contagion effect in extreme events?," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 480(C), pages 10-21.
    17. Assaf, Ata & Al-Shboul, Mohammad & Mokni, Khaled & Demir, Ender, 2025. "Are Latin American stock markets connected? Exploring spillovers and the impact of risk factors," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    18. Cristhian Mellado & Diego Escobari, 2015. "Virtual integration of financial markets: a dynamic correlation analysis of the creation of the Latin American Integrated Market," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 47(19), pages 1956-1971, April.
    19. M. Kannadhasan & Debojyoti Das, 2019. "Has Co-Movement Dynamics in Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa (BRICS) Markets Changed After Global Financial Crisis? New Evidence from Wavelet Analysis," Asian Academy of Management Journal of Accounting and Finance (AAMJAF), Penerbit Universiti Sains Malaysia, vol. 15(1), pages 1-26.
    20. Guidi, Francesco & Madonia, Giuseppina & Sarwar, Sohan, 2025. "Equity market linkages across Latin American countries," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    21. repec:wyi:journl:002183 is not listed on IDEAS
    22. Güloğlu, Bülent & Kaya, Pınar & Aydemir, Resul, 2016. "Volatility transmission among Latin American stock markets under structural breaks," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 462(C), pages 330-340.

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    JEL classification:

    • F37 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Finance Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

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