Building world narratives for climate change impact, adaptation and vulnerability analyses
The impacts of climate change on human systems depend not only on the level of emissions but also on how inherently vulnerable these systems are to the changing climate. The large uncertainties over future development and structure of societies and economies mean that the assessment of climate change efects is complex. One way to deal with this complexity is by using scenario analysis that takes account of these socio-economic diferences. The challenge is to identify the dimensions along which societies and economies evolve over time in such a way as to cover sufciently diferent vulnerability patterns. This conceptual efort is critical for the development of informative scenarios. Here, we identify three dimensions that take into account the most relevant factors that defne the vulnerability of human systems to climate change and their ability to adapt to it.
|Date of creation:||15 Jul 2011|
|Date of revision:|
|Publication status:||Published, Nature Climate Change, 2011, 1, 3, 151-155|
|Note:||View the original document on HAL open archive server: http://hal-enpc.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-00618688/en/|
|Contact details of provider:|| Web page: http://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/ |
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