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How did China’s WTO entry benefit U.S. prices?

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  • Mary Amiti
  • Mi Dai
  • Robert C. Feenstra
  • John Romalis

Abstract

We analyze the effects of China?s rapid export expansion following World Trade Organization (WTO) entry on U.S. prices, exploiting cross-industry variation in trade liberalization. Lower input tariffs boosted Chinese firms? productivity, lowered costs, and, in conjunction with reduced U.S. tariff uncertainty, expanded export participation. We find that China?s WTO entry significantly reduced variety-adjusted U.S. manufacturing price indexes between 2000 and 2006. For the Chinese components of these indexes, one-third of the beneficial impact comes from Chinese exporters lowering their prices, while two-thirds of the beneficial impact comes from the entry of new Chinese exporters. China?s WTO entry also led other countries that export to the United States to lower their prices, which was partly offset by exit of these exporters. We find that this impact on competitor countries? prices is primarily explained by the reduction in China?s own input tariffs, so that policy action becomes the largest source of welfare gain for the United States from China?s WTO entry.

Suggested Citation

  • Mary Amiti & Mi Dai & Robert C. Feenstra & John Romalis, 2017. "How did China’s WTO entry benefit U.S. prices?," Staff Reports 817, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
  • Handle: RePEc:fip:fednsr:817
    Note: Previous Title: “How Did China’s WTO Entry Benefit U.S. Consumers?”
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    3. Xavier Jaravel & Erick Sager, 2018. "What are the Price Effects of Trade? Evidence from the U.S. and Implications for Quantitative Trade Models," Economic Working Papers 506, Bureau of Labor Statistics.
    4. Robert C. Feenstra & Akira Sasahara, 2018. "The ‘China shock,’ exports and U.S. employment: A global input–output analysis," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 26(5), pages 1053-1083, November.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    exports; China; variety; trade liberalization; input tariffs;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F13 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade Policy; International Trade Organizations
    • F14 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Empirical Studies of Trade
    • F12 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Models of Trade with Imperfect Competition and Scale Economies; Fragmentation

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