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Optimal monetary policy with international trade in intermediate inputs

Author

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  • Liutang Gong

    (Guanghua School of Management and LMEQF, Peking University)

  • Chan Wang

    (Guanghua School of Management and LMEQF, Peking University)

  • Heng-fu Zou

    (China Economics and Management Academy, Central University of Finance and Economics
    Institute for Advanced Study, Wuhan University
    Institute for Advanced Study, Shenzhen University)

Abstract

This paper examines optimal monetary policy in a two-country New Keynesian model with international trade in intermediate inputs. We derive the loss function of a cooperative monetary policymaker and ï¬ nd that the optimal monetary policy must target intermediategoods price inflation rates, ï¬ nal-goods price inflation rates, ï¬ nalgoods output gaps, and relative-price gaps. We use the welfare loss under the optimal monetary policy as a benchmark to evaluate the welfare implications of three Taylor-type monetary policy rules. A main ï¬ nding is that the degree of price stickiness at the stage of intermediate-goods production is a key factor to determine which policy rule should be followed. Speciï¬ cally, when the degree of price stickiness at the stage of intermediate-goods production is high, the policymaker should follow intermediate-goods PPI-based Taylor rule, whereas CPI-based Taylor rule should be followed when the degree of price stickiness at the stage of intermediate-goods production is intermediate or low.

Suggested Citation

  • Liutang Gong & Chan Wang & Heng-fu Zou, 2016. "Optimal monetary policy with international trade in intermediate inputs," CEMA Working Papers 604, China Economics and Management Academy, Central University of Finance and Economics.
  • Handle: RePEc:cuf:wpaper:604
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    Cited by:

    1. Wei, Shang-Jin & Xie, Yinxi, 2020. "Monetary policy in an era of global supply chains," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 124(C).
    2. Barnett, William A. & Wang, Chan & Wang, Xue & Wu, Liyuan, 2019. "What inflation measure should a currency union target?," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 123-139.
    3. Jianhua Feng & Chan Wang & Liyuan Wu & Dingsheng Zhang, 2021. "Unemployment, Trade Openness and Optimal Monetary Policy," Annals of Economics and Finance, Society for AEF, vol. 22(1), pages 231-253, May.
    4. Gong, Liutang & Wang, Chan & Wu, Liyuan & Zou, Heng-fu, 2023. "Currency misalignments, international trade in intermediate inputs, and inflation targeting," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 134(C).
    5. Dieudonné Mignamissi, 2018. "Monnaie unique et intégration par le marché en Afrique: le cas de la CEEAC et de la CEDEAO," African Development Review, African Development Bank, vol. 30(1), pages 71-85, March.
    6. Agénor, Pierre-Richard & Jackson, Timothy & Jia, Pengfei, 2021. "Macroprudential policy coordination in a currency union," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 137(C).
    7. Xia, Tian, 2020. "The role of intermediate goods in international monetary cooperation," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 100(C).
    8. Liutang Gong & Chan Wang & Heng-fu Zou, 2017. "Optimal Exchange-Rate Policy in a Model of Local-Currency Pricing with Vertical Production and Trade," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 28(1), pages 125-147, February.
    9. Ho, Wai-Ming, 2021. "International outsourcing, exchange rates, and monetary policy☆," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 118(C).
    10. William D. Craighead, 2020. "Intermediate Goods and Exchange Rate Disconnect," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 31(1), pages 113-129, February.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Vertical production and trade; Optimal monetary policy; Inflation targeting; Welfare;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E5 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit
    • F3 - International Economics - - International Finance
    • F4 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance

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