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Currency misalignments, international trade in intermediate inputs, and inflation targeting

Author

Listed:
  • Liutang Gong

    (Guanghua School of Management and LMEQF, Peking University
    School of International Economics and Management, Beijing Technology And Business University)

  • Chan Wang

    (School of Finance, Central University of Finance and Economics)

  • Liyuan Wu

    (Institute of World Economics and Politics, Chinese Academy of Social Science)

  • Heng-fu Zou

    (Economics and Management School, Wuhan University)

Abstract

In the literature on optimal monetary policy in open economies, the presence of local-currency pricing provides a rationale for targeting CPI inflation rather than PPI inflation. In this paper, we reexamine this conclusion by incorporating international trade in intermediate inputs into Engel (2011). We find that the cooperative monetary policymaker should target the final-goods output gaps, the PPI inflation rates at both stages of production, the currency misalignments at both stages of production, and the vertical relative price gaps. Welfare analysis shows that the monetary policymaker should target the weighted average intermediate-goods PPI (WPPI) inflation rather than CPI inflation for most combinations of price stickiness at both stages of production.

Suggested Citation

  • Liutang Gong & Chan Wang & Liyuan Wu & Heng-fu Zou, 2023. "Currency misalignments, international trade in intermediate inputs, and inflation targeting," CEMA Working Papers 617, China Economics and Management Academy, Central University of Finance and Economics.
    • Handle: RePEc:cuf:wpaper:617
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    Cited by:

    1. is not listed on IDEAS
    2. Dai, Yixin & Yu, Cong & Xu, Xiangyun & Zhou, Jindie & Teng, Fengfan, 2024. "The macro driving factors of co-movement of RMB with other currencies in FX markets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 96(PA).
    3. Jingjing Fan & Feng Shi & Junzhu Zhao & Jingming Zhu, 2023. "Trade Policy Uncertainty, Financial Frictions, and Monetary Policy," Annals of Economics and Finance, Society for AEF, vol. 24(1), pages 193-211, May.
    4. Zheng, Fang & Chen, Xue & Sun, Yun, 2025. "The influence of trade policy uncertainty on corporate innovation strategies," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
    5. Wu, Tao & Sun, Xiaotong & Xu, Xin & Jia, Nanfei & Xuan, Siyuan, 2024. "New evidence of interdependence in forex markets: A connection of connection analysis," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 95(PA).
    6. Kitamura, Yoshihiro, 2024. "The price discovery in the renminbi/USD market: Two spot, two swap, and three forward FX rates," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 95(PA).

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • E5 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit
    • F3 - International Economics - - International Finance
    • F4 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance

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