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China and the World Bank - How Contrasting Development Approaches Affect the Stability of African States

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  • Kai Gehring
  • Lennart C. Kaplan
  • Melvin H. L. Wong

Abstract

China’s development model challenges the approaches of traditional Western donors like the World Bank. We argue that both aim at stability, but differ in the norms propagated to achieve that. Using fixed effects and IV estimations, we analyze a broad range of subnational stability measures in Africa. Aid by both the WB and China does not increase outright conflict nor any type of citizen protest, on average. Both even reduce outright conflict by governments against civilians. Still, Chinese aid is associated with more government repression and an increased acceptance of authoritarian norms, while WB projects strengthen democratic values.

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  • Kai Gehring & Lennart C. Kaplan & Melvin H. L. Wong, 2019. "China and the World Bank - How Contrasting Development Approaches Affect the Stability of African States," CESifo Working Paper Series 7856, CESifo.
    • Handle: RePEc:ces:ceswps:_7856
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    Cited by:

    1. Richard Bluhm & Axel Dreher & Andreas Fuchs & Bradley C. Parks & Austin M. Strange & Michael J. Tierney, 2020. "Connective Financing - Chinese Infrastructure Projects and the Diffusion of Economic Activity in Developing Countries," CESifo Working Paper Series 8344, CESifo.
    2. Fuchs, Andreas & Kaplan, Lennart & Kis-Katos, Krisztina & Schmidt, Sebastian S. & Turbanisch, Felix & Wang, Feicheng, 2020. "Mask wars: China's exports of medical goods in times of COVID-19," Kiel Working Papers 2161, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    3. Cruzatti C., John & Dreher, Axel & Matzat, Johannes, 2023. "Chinese aid and health at the country and local level," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 167(C).
    4. Raphael J. Nawrotzki & Verena Gantner & Jana Balzer & Thomas Wencker & Sabine Brüntrup-Seidemann, 2022. "Strategic Allocation of Development Projects in Post-Conflict Regions: A Gender Perspective for Colombia," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(4), pages 1-26, February.
    5. Lukas Wellner & Axel Dreher & Andreas Fuchs & Bradley C. Parks & Austin M. Strange, 2022. "Can Aid Buy Foreign Public Support? Evidence from Chinese Development Finance," CESifo Working Paper Series 9646, CESifo.
    6. Becker, Malte & Krüger, Finja & Heidland, Tobias, 2024. "What Drives Attitudes toward Immigrants in Sub-Saharan Africa? Evidence from Uganda and Senegal," IZA Discussion Papers 16734, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    7. Sulin Sardoschau & Alexandra Jarotschkin, 2023. "Chinese Aid in Africa: Attitudes and Conflict," Rationality and Competition Discussion Paper Series 451, CRC TRR 190 Rationality and Competition.
    8. Eichenauer, Vera Z. & Fuchs, Andreas & Brückner, Lutz, 2021. "The effects of trade, aid, and investment on China's image in Latin America," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 49(2), pages 483-498.
    9. Xu, Yongfeng & Zhao, Xia, 2023. "Financial market risk, technology and natural resources nexus: Evidence from China," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    10. Carrie B Dolan & Kaci Kennedy McDade, 2020. "Pulling the purse strings: Are there sectoral differences in political preferencing of Chinese aid to Africa?," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 15(4), pages 1-18, April.
    11. Pan, Kai & Cheng, Chengping & Kirikkaleli, Dervis & Genç, Sema Yılmaz, 2021. "Does financial risk and fiscal decentralization curb resources curse hypothesis in China? Analyzing the role of globalization," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    12. Iacoella, Francesco & Martorano, Bruno & Metzger, Laura & Sanfilippo, Marco, 2021. "Chinese official finance and political participation in Africa," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 136(C).
    13. Adam, Antonis & Tsarsitalidou, Sofia, 2022. "The effect of international development association's (IDA) aid on conflict. A fuzzy regression discontinuity approach," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    14. Philip Akrofi Atitianti, 2023. "The impact of Chinese aid on political trust," Journal of International Development, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 35(2), pages 233-259, March.
    15. Reiner Klingholz & Felix Braunsdorf & Christian Müller & Panu Poutvaara & Thieß Petersen & Claas Schneiderheinze & Rainer Thiele & Kai Gehring, 2019. "Wachsende Migrationsströme: Wie können die europäischen Länder die Fluchtursachen erfolgreich bekämpfen?," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 72(23), pages 03-26, December.
    16. Mandon, Pierre & Woldemichael, Martha Tesfaye, 2023. "Has Chinese aid benefited recipient countries? Evidence from a meta-regression analysis," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 166(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    development models; development aid; stability; conflict; repression; World Bank; China; Africa; geolocation;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • H77 - Public Economics - - State and Local Government; Intergovernmental Relations - - - Intergovernmental Relations; Federalism
    • N90 - Economic History - - Regional and Urban History - - - General, International, or Comparative

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