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The Trade–Growth Relationship in Israel Revisited: Evidence from Annual Data, 1960-2004

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  • Salem Abo Zaid

    (Bank of Israel)

Abstract

The topic of trade effects on economic growth has been usually controversial. Former empirical evidence linking trade to growth in Israel has been mixed and inconclusive either. This study reexamines the role of trade in Israel by testing for cointegration and causality from both exports and imports to output and total factor productivity over 1960-2004. The results suggest that both output and TFP are positively long-run correlated with exports and imports. The Granger causality tests indicate positive effects of exports on both output and TFP, where imports influence output only. In addition, physical capital has also been found to be Granger-caused by imports. However, it is uncertain whether this finding reflects a true economic causality.

Suggested Citation

  • Salem Abo Zaid, 2006. "The Trade–Growth Relationship in Israel Revisited: Evidence from Annual Data, 1960-2004," Bank of Israel Working Papers 2006.11, Bank of Israel.
  • Handle: RePEc:boi:wpaper:2006.11
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    JEL classification:

    • O47 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - Empirical Studies of Economic Growth; Aggregate Productivity; Cross-Country Output Convergence
    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • F43 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Economic Growth of Open Economies

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