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Export-Output Causality and the Role of Exports in Irish Growth: 1950-1997

  • Doyle Eleanor
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    Sources of Irish growth are examined using a recently developed Granger causality procedure with particular focus on the role of Irish exports. As augmented production function is employed where the inclusion of variables in addition to exports ensures that different impacts on exports and output are controlled for and thus, a more accurate testing of the export-led-growth hypothesis is possible. The most important sources of Irish growth are identified as the terms of trade and demand in industrial countries i.e. external sources. Bi-directional causality is found for exports and output implying a virtuous circle of growth and exports. [F1,F4]

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    File URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/10168730100000042
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    Article provided by Taylor & Francis Journals in its journal International Economic Journal.

    Volume (Year): 15 (2001)
    Issue (Month): 3 ()
    Pages: 31-54

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    Handle: RePEc:taf:intecj:v:15:y:2001:i:3:p:31-54
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    1. Irene Henriques & Perry Sadorsky, 1996. "Export-Led Growth or Growth-Driven Exports? The Canadian Case," Canadian Journal of Economics, Canadian Economics Association, vol. 29(3), pages 540-55, August.
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    8. Michaely, Michael, 1977. "Exports and growth : An empirical investigation," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 4(1), pages 49-53, February.
    9. Zapata, Hector O. & Rambaldi, Alicia N., 1996. "Monte Carlo Evidence On Cointegration And Causation," Staff Papers 31690, Louisiana State University, Department of Agricultural Economics and Agribusiness.
    10. Hiro Y. Toda & Peter C.B. Phillips, 1991. "Vector Autoregression and Causality," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 977, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
    11. Sims, Christopher A & Stock, James H & Watson, Mark W, 1990. "Inference in Linear Time Series Models with Some Unit Roots," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 58(1), pages 113-44, January.
    12. Feder, Gershon, 1983. "On exports and economic growth," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 12(1-2), pages 59-73.
    13. Shan, Jordan & Tian, Gary Gang, 1998. "Causality between Exports and Economic Growth: The Empirical Evidence from Shanghai," Australian Economic Papers, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 37(2), pages 195-202, June.
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