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Long term vs. short term comovements in stock markets: the use of Markov-switching multifractal models

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  • Idier, J.

Abstract

Empirical techniques to assess market comovements are numerous from cointegration to dynamic conditional correlations. This paper uses the fractal properties of asset returns and presents estimations of Markov switching multifractal models [as MSM] to give new insights about short and long run dependencies in stock returns. The main advantage of the model is to allow for the derivation of several indicators of comovements on heterogenous lasting horizons. Empirical applications are performed for four stock indices (CAC DAX FTSE NYSE) at daily frequency between 1996 and 2008.

Suggested Citation

  • Idier, J., 2008. "Long term vs. short term comovements in stock markets: the use of Markov-switching multifractal models," Working papers 218, Banque de France.
  • Handle: RePEc:bfr:banfra:218
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    1. repec:eee:ecmode:v:67:y:2017:i:c:p:136-148 is not listed on IDEAS
    2. Christos S Savva, 2011. "Modeling interbank relations during the international financial crisis," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 31(1), pages 916-924.
    3. Segnon, Mawuli & Lux, Thomas, 2013. "Multifractal models in finance: Their origin, properties, and applications," Kiel Working Papers 1860, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW).
    4. Humberto Valencia Herrera, 2011. "Value at Risk and Return from the Use of Bayesian Methods for Stress Testing in a World Asset Allocation and the 2008-2009 Crisis," Revista de Administración, Finanzas y Economía (Journal of Management, Finance and Economics), Tecnológico de Monterrey, Campus Ciudad de México, vol. 5(1), pages 33-49.
    5. Paulo Horta & Carlos Mendes & Isabel Vieira, 2010. "Contagion effects of the subprime crisis in the European NYSE Euronext markets," Portuguese Economic Journal, Springer;Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestao, vol. 9(2), pages 115-140, August.
    6. Liu, Ruipeng & Lux, Thomas, 2010. "Flexible and robust modelling of volatility comovements: a comparison of two multifractal models," Kiel Working Papers 1594, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW).
    7. Aslanidis, Nektarios & Savva, Christos S., 2010. "Modelling Interbank Relations during the International Financial Crisis," Working Papers 2072/148475, Universitat Rovira i Virgili, Department of Economics.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Multivariate volatility models ; Markov switching multifractal model transmission; comovements.;

    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • F36 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Financial Aspects of Economic Integration
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

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