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Systemic Risk Measures

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  • SOLANGE MARIA GUERRA
  • BENJAMIN MIRANDA TABAK
  • RODRIGO ANDRÉS DE SOUZA PENALOZA
  • RODRIGO CÉSAR DE CASTRO MIRAND

Abstract

In this paper we present systemic risk measures based on contingent claims approach and banking sector multivariate density. We also apply network measures to analyze bank common risk exposure. The proposed measures aim to capture credit risk stress and its potential to become systemic. These indicators capture not only individual bank vulnerability, but also the stress dependency structure between them. Furthermore, these measures can be quite useful for identifying systemically important banks. The empirical results show that these indicators capture with considerable fidelity the moments of increasing systemic risk in the Brazilian banking sector in recent years.
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Suggested Citation

  • Solange Maria Guerra & Benjamin Miranda Tabak & Rodrigo Andrés De Souza Penaloza & Rodrigo César De Castro Mirand, 2014. "Systemic Risk Measures," Anais do XLI Encontro Nacional de Economia [Proceedings of the 41st Brazilian Economics Meeting] 124, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pós-Graduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics].
  • Handle: RePEc:anp:en2013:124
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    File URL: http://www.anpec.org.br/encontro/2013/files_I/i8-609aaeb672c5614af0442bb5ee8a48dc.pdf
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    Other versions of this item:

    • Solange Maria Guerra & Benjamin Miranda Tabak & Rodrigo Andrés de Souza Penaloza & Rodrigo César de Castro Miranda, 2013. "Systemic Risk Measures," Working Papers Series 321, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.

    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Machado, Vicente da Gama & Portugal, Marcelo Savino, 2014. "Measuring inflation persistence in Brazil using a multivariate model," Revista Brasileira de Economia - RBE, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil), vol. 68(2), June.
    2. Barroso, João Barata Ribeiro Blanco & Silva, Thiago Christiano & Souza, Sergio Rubens Stancato de, 2018. "Identifying systemic risk drivers in financial networks," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 503(C), pages 650-674.
    3. Silva, Thiago Christiano & Guerra, Solange Maria & Tabak, Benjamin Miranda, 2020. "Fiscal risk and financial fragility," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 45(C).
    4. Constantino, Michel & Candido, Osvaldo & Tabak, Benjamin M. & da Costa, Reginaldo Brito, 2017. "Modeling stochastic frontier based on vine copulas," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 486(C), pages 595-609.
    5. Silva, Thiago Christiano & Coelho, Florângela Cunha & Ehrl, Philipp & Tabak, Benjamin Miranda, 2020. "Internet access in recessionary periods: The case of Brazil," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 537(C).
    6. Silva, Thiago Christiano & Tabak, Benjamin Miranda & Guerra, Solange Maria, 2017. "Why do vulnerability cycles matter in financial networks?," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 471(C), pages 592-606.
    7. Souza, Sergio Rubens Stancato de & Silva, Thiago Christiano & Tabak, Benjamin Miranda & Guerra, Solange Maria, 2016. "Evaluating systemic risk using bank default probabilities in financial networks," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 54-75.
    8. Juan Eberhard & Jaime F. Lavín & Alejandro Montecinos-Pearce & José Arenas, 2019. "Analyzing Stock Brokers’ Trading Patterns: A Network Decomposition and Spatial Econometrics Approach," Complexity, Hindawi, vol. 2019, pages 1-18, July.
    9. Juan Eberhard & Jaime F. Lavin & Alejandro Montecinos-Pearce, 2017. "A Network-Based Dynamic Analysis in an Equity Stock Market," Complexity, Hindawi, vol. 2017, pages 1-16, November.
    10. João Barata Ribeiro Blanco Barroso & Sergio Rubens Stancato de Souza & Solange Maria Guerra, 2016. "Systemic Risk-Taking Channel of Domestic and Foreign Monetary Policy," Working Papers Series 412, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
    11. Jacob Kleinow & Tobias Nell, 2015. "Determinants of systemically important banks: the case of Europe," Journal of Financial Economic Policy, Emerald Group Publishing, vol. 7(4), pages 446-476, November.
    12. Wang, Xiaoting & Hou, Siyuan & Shen, Jie, 2021. "Default clustering of the nonfinancial sector and systemic risk: Evidence from China," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 96(C), pages 196-208.
    13. Silva, Thiago Christiano & Tabak, Benjamin Miranda & Cajueiro, Daniel Oliveira & Dias, Marina Villas Boas, 2017. "A comparison of DEA and SFA using micro- and macro-level perspectives: Efficiency of Chinese local banks," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 469(C), pages 216-223.
    14. Silva, Walmir & Kimura, Herbert & Sobreiro, Vinicius Amorim, 2017. "An analysis of the literature on systemic financial risk: A survey," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 28(C), pages 91-114.

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