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Endogenous Beveridge cycles and the volatility of unemployment

  • Sniekers, F.J.T.

    ()

    (University of Amsterdam)

This paper aims to explain the magnitude and cyclical structure of the fluctuations in unemployment and vacancies. Adding demand externalities to an otherwise standard search and matching model reduces the need for exogenous shocks in explaining unemployment fluctuations. Under plausible parameter values, the equilibrium dynamics include a stable limit cycle that resembles the empirically observed counterclockwise cycles around the Beveridge curve. Quantitatively, these endogenous `Beveridge cycles' can explain half of the volatility and almost all persistence of unemployment without any exogenous forces, avoiding the amplification and propagation problems of the standard model.

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File URL: http://www1.fee.uva.nl/cendef/publications/papers/Sniekers-2013-BeveridgeCycles.pdf
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Paper provided by Universiteit van Amsterdam, Center for Nonlinear Dynamics in Economics and Finance in its series CeNDEF Working Papers with number 13-12.

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Date of creation: 2013
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Handle: RePEc:ams:ndfwpp:13-12
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Dept. of Economics and Econometrics, Universiteit van Amsterdam, Roetersstraat 11, NL - 1018 WB Amsterdam, The Netherlands

Phone: + 31 20 525 52 58
Fax: + 31 20 525 52 83
Web page: http://www.fee.uva.nl/cendef/
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