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Beyond 2020 — Strategies And Costs For Transforming The European Energy System

Author

Listed:
  • BRIGITTE KNOPF

    (Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), Research Domain III: Sustainable Solutions, P.O. Box 60 12 03, 14412 Potsdam, Germany)

  • YEN-HENG HENRY CHEN

    (Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT), Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 77 Massachusetts Avenue, E19-411, Cambridge, MA 02139, USA)

  • ENRICA DE CIAN

    (Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (FEEM), Euro-Mediterranean Center on Climate Change (CMCC), Isola di San Giorgio Maggiore, 30124 Venezia, Italy)

  • HANNAH FÖRSTER

    (Öko-Institut, Schicklerstraße 5-7, 10179 Berlin, Germany)

  • AMIT KANUDIA

    (KanORS-EMR, SDF L-7B, NSEZ, Dadri Road Phase II, Noida UP 201305, India)

  • IOANNA KARKATSOULI

    (Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT), Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 77 Massachusetts Avenue, E19-411, Cambridge, MA 02139, USA)

  • ILKKA KEPPO

    (University College London, UCL Energy Institute, 14 Upper Woburn Place, London, WC1H 0NN, UK)

  • TIINA KOLJONEN

    (VTT Technical Research Centre of Finland, P. O. Box 1000, 02044 VTT, Finland)

  • KATJA SCHUMACHER

    (Öko-Institut, Schicklerstraße 5-7, 10179 Berlin, Germany)

  • DETLEF P. VAN VUUREN

    (PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency, P. O. Box 30314, 2500 GH, The Hague, Netherlands;
    Department of Geosciences, Utrecht University, Heidelberglaan 2, 3584 CS, Utrecht, Netherlands)

Abstract

The Energy Modeling Forum 28 (EMF28) study systematically explores the energy system transition required to meet the European goal of reducing greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions by 80% by 2050. The 80% scenario is compared to a reference case that aims to achieve a 40% GHG reduction target. The paper investigates mitigation strategies beyond 2020 and the interplay between different decarbonization options. The models present different technology pathways for the decarbonization of Europe, but a common finding across the scenarios and models is the prominent role of energy efficiency and renewable energy sources. In particular, wind power and bioenergy increase considerably beyond current deployment levels. Up to 2030, the transformation strategies are similar across all models and for both levels of emission reduction. However, mitigation becomes more challenging after 2040. With some exceptions, our analysis agrees with the main findings of the "Energy Roadmap 2050" presented by the European Commission.

Suggested Citation

  • Brigitte Knopf & Yen-Heng Henry Chen & Enrica De Cian & Hannah Förster & Amit Kanudia & Ioanna Karkatsouli & Ilkka Keppo & Tiina Koljonen & Katja Schumacher & Detlef P. Van Vuuren, 2013. "Beyond 2020 — Strategies And Costs For Transforming The European Energy System," Climate Change Economics (CCE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 4(supp0), pages 1-38.
    • Handle: RePEc:wsi:ccexxx:v:04:y:2013:i:supp0:n:s2010007813400010
    DOI: 10.1142/S2010007813400010
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    European decarbonisation; mitigation scenarios; model comparison; climate change; EU Energy Roadmap 2050;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • Q2 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Renewable Resources and Conservation
    • Q4 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy

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