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The economics of low stabilization: Model comparison of mitigation strategies and costs

Author

Listed:
  • Ottmar Edenhofer
  • Brigitte Knopf
  • Terry Barker
  • Lavinia Baumstark
  • Elie Bellevrat
  • Bertrand Chateau
  • Patrick Criqui

    (LEPII - Laboratoire d'Economie de la Production et de l'Intégration Internationale - UPMF - Université Pierre Mendès France - Grenoble 2 - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)

  • Morna Isaac
  • Alban Kitous
  • Socrates Kypreos
  • Marian Leimbach
  • Kai Lessmann
  • Bertrand Magne
  • S. Serban Scrieciu
  • Hal Turton
  • Detlef P. van Vuuren

Abstract

This study gives a synthesis of a model comparison assessing the technological feasibility and economic consequences of achieving greenhouse gas concentration targets that are sufficiently low to keep the increase in global mean temperature below 2 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial levels. All five global energy-environment-economy models show that achieving low greenhouse gas concentration targets is technically feasible and economically viable. The ranking of the importance of individual technology options is robust across models. For the lowest stabilization target (400 ppm CO2 eq), the use of bio-energy in combination with CCS plays a crucial role, and biomass potential dominates the cost of reaching this target. Without CCS or the considerable extension of renewables the 400 ppm CO2 eq target is not achievable. Across the models, estimated aggregate costs up to 2100 are below 0.8% global GDP for 550 ppm CO2 eq stabilization and below 2.5% for the 400 ppm CO2 eq pathway.
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Suggested Citation

  • Ottmar Edenhofer & Brigitte Knopf & Terry Barker & Lavinia Baumstark & Elie Bellevrat & Bertrand Chateau & Patrick Criqui & Morna Isaac & Alban Kitous & Socrates Kypreos & Marian Leimbach & Kai Lessma, 2010. "The economics of low stabilization: Model comparison of mitigation strategies and costs," Post-Print halshs-00450290, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:halshs-00450290
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Bertrand Magne, Socrates Kypreos, and Hal Turton, 2010. "Technology Options for Low Stabilization Pathways with MERGE," The Energy Journal, International Association for Energy Economics, vol. 0(Special I).
    2. Brigitte Knopf, Ottmar Edenhofer, Christian Flachsland, Marcel T. J. Kok, Hermann Lotze-Campen, Gunnar Luderer, Alexander Popp, Detlef P. van Vuuren, 2010. "Managing the Low-Carbon Transition - From Model Results to Policies," The Energy Journal, International Association for Energy Economics, vol. 0(Special I).
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    STABILIZATION TARGET; GREENHOUSE GASES; ENERGY-ENVIRONMENT-ECONOMY MODEL; RENEWABLES;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F0 - International Economics - - General

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