IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/taf/edecon/v31y2023i3p353-375.html

Getting to Grade 10 in Vietnam: does an employment boom discourage schooling?

Author

Listed:
  • Ian Coxhead
  • Nguyen Dinh Tuan Vuong
  • Phong Nguyen

Abstract

Blue-collar employment growth increases schooling opportunities by raising incomes, but also reduces incentives for some students to advance beyond compulsory education. These contradictory influences may help to explain relatively slow and uneven growth of progression to upper-secondary schooling in Vietnam, which has experienced a foreign investment boom in mainly low-skill manufacturing industries. We use data on participation rates and scores in an upper-secondary school entrance exam to analyze variation due to demand-side and supply-side factors. The data come from less advanced provinces and so illuminate the challenges of deepening educational development at the extensive margin, especially among ethnic minority populations.

Suggested Citation

  • Ian Coxhead & Nguyen Dinh Tuan Vuong & Phong Nguyen, 2023. "Getting to Grade 10 in Vietnam: does an employment boom discourage schooling?," Education Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 31(3), pages 353-375, May.
  • Handle: RePEc:taf:edecon:v:31:y:2023:i:3:p:353-375
    DOI: 10.1080/09645292.2022.2068138
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/09645292.2022.2068138
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1080/09645292.2022.2068138?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to

    for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Findlay, Ronald & Kierzkowski, Henryk, 1983. "International Trade and Human Capital: A Simple General Equilibrium Model," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 91(6), pages 957-978, December.
    2. L. ALAN WINTERS & NEIL McCULLOCH & ANDREW McKAY, 2015. "Trade Liberalization and Poverty: The Evidence So Far," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Non-Tariff Barriers, Regionalism and Poverty Essays in Applied International Trade Analysis, chapter 14, pages 271-314, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    3. Arouri, Mohamed & Ben-Youssef, Adel & Nguyen, Cuong Viet, 2019. "Ethnic and racial disparities in children's education: Comparative evidence from Ethiopia, India, Peru and Viet Nam," Children and Youth Services Review, Elsevier, vol. 100(C), pages 503-514.
    4. Phan, Diep & Coxhead, Ian, 2013. "Long-run costs of piecemeal reform: Wage inequality and returns to education in Vietnam," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 41(4), pages 1106-1122.
    5. George Psacharopoulos & Harry Anthony Patrinos, 2004. "Returns to investment in education: a further update," Education Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 12(2), pages 111-134.
    6. Tinh Doan & Quan Le & Tuyen Quang Tran, 2018. "Lost in Transition? Declining Returns to Education in Vietnam," The European Journal of Development Research, Palgrave Macmillan;European Association of Development Research and Training Institutes (EADI), vol. 30(2), pages 195-216, April.
    7. repec:bla:pacecr:v:9:y:2004:i:3:p:155-171 is not listed on IDEAS
    8. Xiaolan Fu & V. N. Balasubramanyam, 2005. "Exports, Foreign Direct Investment and Employment: The Case of China," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 28(4), pages 607-625, April.
    9. David Newhouse & Daniel Suryadarma, 2011. "The Value of Vocational Education: High School Type and Labor Market Outcomes in Indonesia," The World Bank Economic Review, World Bank, vol. 25(2), pages 296-322, May.
    10. Aggarwal, Shilpa, 2018. "Do rural roads create pathways out of poverty? Evidence from India," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 133(C), pages 375-395.
    11. Eric Hanushek & Ludger Woessmann, 2012. "Do better schools lead to more growth? Cognitive skills, economic outcomes, and causation," Journal of Economic Growth, Springer, vol. 17(4), pages 267-321, December.
    12. Valerie Kozel, 2014. "Well Begun but Not Yet Done : Progress and Emerging Challenges for Poverty Reduction in Vietnam," World Bank Publications - Books, The World Bank Group, number 20074, April.
    13. David Atkin, 2016. "Endogenous Skill Acquisition and Export Manufacturing in Mexico," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 106(8), pages 2046-2085, August.
    14. Fukase, Emiko, 2013. "Export liberalization, job creation and the skill premium : evidence from the U.S.-Vietnam bilateral trade agreement," Policy Research Working Paper Series 6419, The World Bank.
    15. Brian McCaig & Nina Pavcnik, 2018. "Export Markets and Labor Allocation in a Low-Income Country," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 108(7), pages 1899-1941, July.
    16. Rolleston, Caine & Iyer, Padmini, 2019. "Beyond the basics: Access and equity in the expansion of post-compulsory schooling in Vietnam," International Journal of Educational Development, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 223-233.
    17. Paul Glewwe & Qihui Chen & Bhagyashree Katare, 2015. "What Determines Learning among Kinh and Ethnic Minority Students in Vietnam? An Analysis of the Round 2 Young Lives Data," Asia and the Pacific Policy Studies, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 2(3), pages 494-516, September.
    18. Ian Coxhead & Rashesh Shrestha, 2017. "Globalization and School–Work Choices in an Emerging Economy: Vietnam," Asian Economic Papers, MIT Press, vol. 16(2), pages 28-45, Summer.
    19. Losina Purnastuti & Paul W. Miller & Ruhul Salim, 2013. "Declining rates of return to education: evidence for Indonesia," Bulletin of Indonesian Economic Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 49(2), pages 213-236, August.
    20. Blanchard, Emily J. & Olney, William W., 2017. "Globalization and human capital investment: Export composition drives educational attainment," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 106(C), pages 165-183.
    21. Anjali Adukia & Sam Asher & Paul Novosad, 2020. "Educational Investment Responses to Economic Opportunity: Evidence from Indian Road Construction," American Economic Journal: Applied Economics, American Economic Association, vol. 12(1), pages 348-376, January.
    22. Douglas Almond & Janet Currie, 2011. "Killing Me Softly: The Fetal Origins Hypothesis," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 25(3), pages 153-172, Summer.
    23. Jacob Mincer, 1958. "Investment in Human Capital and Personal Income Distribution," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 66(4), pages 281-281.
    24. Edmonds, Eric V. & Pavcnik, Nina, 2005. "The effect of trade liberalization on child labor," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 65(2), pages 401-419, March.
    25. Tinh Doan & John Gibson, 2012. "Return to education in Vietnam during the recent transformation," International Journal of Education Economics and Development, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 3(4), pages 314-329.
    26. Fukase, Emiko, 2013. "Export Liberalization, Job Creation, and the Skill Premium: Evidence from the US–Vietnam Bilateral Trade Agreement (BTA)," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 317-337.
    27. Ranjan RAY & Geoffrey LANCASTER, 2005. "The impact of children's work on schooling: Multi-country evidence," International Labour Review, International Labour Organization, vol. 144(2), pages 189-210, June.
    28. Thanos Mergoupis & Van Phan & John G. Sessions, 2018. "Puzzle me this?: The Vietnamese reverse gender education gap," WIDER Working Paper Series wp-2018-116, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Nguyen, Anh Phuoc Thien, 2025. "Export expansion and children’s school-work decision: Evidence from Vietnam," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 152(C).
    2. Thi Hang,Banh & Coxhead,Ian & Vuong,Dinh Tuan Nguyen, 2026. "Local labor market effects of FDI: job growth and skills demand in Vietnam," IDE Discussion Papers 1005, Institute of Developing Economies, Japan External Trade Organization(JETRO).
    3. Diep Phan & Ian Coxhead, 2025. "Capital market distortions and skills demand in a transitional economy: The case of Vietnam," Economics of Transition and Institutional Change, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 33(3), pages 695-717, July.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Diep Phan & Ian Coxhead, 2020. "Persistent Privilege? Institutional Education Gaps during Vietnam's Economic Boom," The Developing Economies, Institute of Developing Economies, vol. 58(4), pages 332-359, December.
    2. Ian Coxhead & Nguyen Dinh Tuan Vuong, 2023. "Does the Skill Premium Influence Educational Decisions? Evidence from Viet Nam," Working Papers DP-2023-03, Economic Research Institute for ASEAN and East Asia (ERIA).
    3. Thi Hang,Banh & Coxhead,Ian & Vuong,Dinh Tuan Nguyen, 2026. "Local labor market effects of FDI: job growth and skills demand in Vietnam," IDE Discussion Papers 1005, Institute of Developing Economies, Japan External Trade Organization(JETRO).
    4. Li, Bingjing, 2018. "Export expansion, skill acquisition and industry specialization: evidence from china," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 114(C), pages 346-361.
    5. Nguyen, Anh Phuoc Thien, 2025. "Export expansion and children’s school-work decision: Evidence from Vietnam," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 152(C).
    6. Yan, Wenshou & Song, Qiaoyin & Hu, Lin & Xue, Wenmei, 2025. "Does trade openness affect educational attainment? Insights from 25 years of research," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 153(C).
    7. Kevin Williams, 2023. "Does trade shape educational decisions? The role of initial schooling," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 56(5), pages 3631-3663, October.
    8. Xin Wang, 2022. "Multinational firms and human capital investment: A dynamic knowledge‐capital model," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 45(5), pages 1564-1586, May.
    9. Prodyumna Goutam & Italo A. Gutierrez & Krishna B. Kumar & Shanthi Nataraj, 2017. "Does Informal Employment Respond to Growth Opportunities? Trade-Based Evidence from Bangladesh," Working Papers WR-1198, RAND Corporation.
    10. Blanchard, Emily J. & Olney, William W., 2017. "Globalization and human capital investment: Export composition drives educational attainment," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 106(C), pages 165-183.
    11. Nina Pavcnik, 2017. "The Impact of Trade on Inequality in Developing Countries," NBER Working Papers 23878, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    12. Devashish Mitra & Hoang Pham & Beyza Ural Marchand, 2022. "Enhanced Intergenerational Occupational Mobility through Trade Expansion: Evidence from Vietnam," Working Papers 2022-09, University of Alberta, Department of Economics.
    13. Seebacher, Moritz, 2023. "Pathways to progress: The complementarity of bicycles and road infrastructure for girls’ education," Economics of Education Review, Elsevier, vol. 97(C).
    14. Kis-Katos, Krisztina & Sparrow, Robert, 2015. "Poverty, labor markets and trade liberalization in Indonesia," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 117(C), pages 94-106.
    15. Abu-Qarn, Aamer & Lichtman-Sadot, Shirlee, 2019. "Connecting Disadvantaged Communities to Work and Higher Education Opportunities: Evidence from Public Transportation Penetration to Arab Towns in Israel," IZA Discussion Papers 12824, IZA Network @ LISER.
    16. César, Andrés & Falcone, Guillermo & Gasparini, Leonardo, 2021. "Costs and benefits of trade shocks: Evidence from Chilean local labor markets," Labour Economics, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
    17. Kitayaporn,Varan & Coxhead,Ian, 2024. "China's New Growth Strategy: Implications for Middle-Income Economies," IDE Discussion Papers 940, Institute of Developing Economies, Japan External Trade Organization(JETRO).
    18. Elizabeth U. Cascio & Ayushi Narayan, 2022. "Who Needs a Fracking Education? The Educational Response to Low-Skill-Biased Technological Change," ILR Review, Cornell University, ILR School, vol. 75(1), pages 56-89, January.
    19. Zhao, Liqiu & Wang, Fei & Zhao, Zhong, 2021. "Trade liberalization and child labor," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    20. Seth Garz & Elizaveta Perova, 2021. "Prioritizing Job Creation without Undermining Public Works Construction among Road Improvement Projects in Rural Nicaragua," World Bank Publications - Reports 36012, The World Bank Group.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:taf:edecon:v:31:y:2023:i:3:p:353-375. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Chris Longhurst (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.tandfonline.com/CEDE20 .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.