IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/jknowl/v16y2025i3d10.1007_s13132-024-02396-9.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Firms’ Resilience and COVID-19: Evidence from Indonesia

Author

Listed:
  • Ana Uluwiyah

    (Universitas Indonesia)

  • Nachrowi Djalal Nachrowi

    (Universitas Indonesia)

  • Chaikal Nuryakin

    (Universitas Indonesia
    Universitas Indonesia (LPEM-FEBUI))

  • Djoni Hartono

    (Universitas Indonesia)

Abstract

The ability of firms to survive external shocks, such as economic crises, wars, or pandemics, is increasingly tied to the knowledge economy and the application of innovation strategies. This study examines the impact of uncertainty on firm resilience, focusing on the COVID-19 pandemic, by developing and evaluating a resilience index through micro-level analysis. It further investigates how knowledge-driven innovation strategies enhance resilience, reinforcing the understanding of how the knowledge economy can strengthen a firm's competitive advantage during uncertain times. Utilizing Principal Component Analysis (PCA) with data from Indonesia’s Large and Medium Manufacturing Survey (2010–2021), the study analyzes performance trends and categorizes firms into resilient and non-resilient groups. The results indicate that resilient firms generally performed better but experienced declines during the pandemic. Dynamic panel analysis using the First Difference Generalized Method of Moments (FD-GMM) revealed that innovation strategies improved resilience during the COVID-19 pandemic, while layoffs, although negatively affected performance, also contributed to short-term resilience. The findings emphasize the importance of knowledge-based innovation strategies and suggest potential applications of the Quadruple and Quintuple Helix frameworks to strengthen firm resilience further and support economic recovery. This study’s contributions to the knowledge economy indicate the need for future research into specific strategies leveraging these frameworks to navigate ongoing uncertainties.

Suggested Citation

  • Ana Uluwiyah & Nachrowi Djalal Nachrowi & Chaikal Nuryakin & Djoni Hartono, 2025. "Firms’ Resilience and COVID-19: Evidence from Indonesia," Journal of the Knowledge Economy, Springer;Portland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology (PICMET), vol. 16(3), pages 12451-12480, September.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:jknowl:v:16:y:2025:i:3:d:10.1007_s13132-024-02396-9
    DOI: 10.1007/s13132-024-02396-9
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s13132-024-02396-9
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s13132-024-02396-9?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to

    for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. N. Bloom, 2016. "Fluctuations in uncertainty," Voprosy Ekonomiki, NP Voprosy Ekonomiki, issue 4.
    2. Henry J. Liu & Peter E.D. Love & Le Ma & Michael C.P. Sing, 2021. "Predicting production-output performance within a complex business environment: from singular to multi-dimensional observations in evaluation," International Journal of Production Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 59(24), pages 7390-7399, December.
    3. Perloff,Jeffrey M. & Karp,Larry S. & Golan,Amos, 2007. "Estimating Market Power and Strategies," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521011143, November.
    4. Iyer, Rajkamal & Da-Rocha-Lopes, Samuel & Peydró, José-Luis & Schoar, Antoinette, 2014. "Interbank Liquidity Crunch and the Firm Credit Crunch: Evidence from the 2007-2009 Crisis," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 27(1), pages 347-372.
    5. Susan Olivia & John Gibson & Rus’an Nasrudin, 2020. "Indonesia in the Time of Covid-19," Bulletin of Indonesian Economic Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 56(2), pages 143-174, May.
    6. Elias G. Carayannis & David F. J. Campbell & Evangelos Grigoroudis, 2022. "Helix Trilogy: the Triple, Quadruple, and Quintuple Innovation Helices from a Theory, Policy, and Practice Set of Perspectives," Journal of the Knowledge Economy, Springer;Portland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology (PICMET), vol. 13(3), pages 2272-2301, September.
    7. Nicholas Bloom & Max Floetotto & Nir Jaimovich & Itay Saporta†Eksten & Stephen J. Terry, 2018. "Really Uncertain Business Cycles," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 86(3), pages 1031-1065, May.
    8. P. Zhou & B. Ang & D. Zhou, 2010. "Weighting and Aggregation in Composite Indicator Construction: a Multiplicative Optimization Approach," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 96(1), pages 169-181, March.
    9. Nicholas Bloom, 2009. "The Impact of Uncertainty Shocks," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 77(3), pages 623-685, May.
    10. Rim JEMLI & Nouri CHTOUROU, 2023. "Economic Agents’ Behaviors During the Coronavirus Pandemic: Theoretical Overview and Prospective Approach," Journal of the Knowledge Economy, Springer;Portland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology (PICMET), vol. 14(4), pages 3818-3846, December.
    11. Sara Calligaris, 2015. "Misallocation and Total Factor Productivity in Italy: Evidence from Firm-Level Data," LABOUR, CEIS, vol. 29(4), pages 367-393, December.
    12. Elias Carayannis & Evangelos Grigoroudis & Stavros Sindakis & Christian Walter, 2014. "Business Model Innovation as Antecedent of Sustainable Enterprise Excellence and Resilience," Journal of the Knowledge Economy, Springer;Portland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology (PICMET), vol. 5(3), pages 440-463, September.
    13. Hu, Shiwei & Zhang, Yuyao, 2021. "COVID-19 pandemic and firm performance: Cross-country evidence," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 365-372.
    14. Ekin Ilseven & Phanish Puranam, 2021. "Measuring organizational resilience as a performance outcome," Journal of Organization Design, Springer;Organizational Design Community, vol. 10(3), pages 127-137, December.
    15. Dormady, Noah C. & Rose, Adam & Roa-Henriquez, Alfredo & Morin, C. Blain, 2022. "The cost-effectiveness of economic resilience," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 244(C).
    16. Eleonora Bartoloni & Alessandro Arrighetti & Fabio Landini, 2021. "Recession and firm survival: is selection based on cleansing or skill accumulation?," Small Business Economics, Springer, vol. 57(4), pages 1893-1914, December.
    17. Agarwal, Rajshree & Gort, Michael, 1996. "The Evolution of Markets and Entry, Exit and Survival of Firms," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 78(3), pages 489-498, August.
    18. Laurens Cherchye & Willem Moesen & Nicky Rogge & Tom Puyenbroeck, 2007. "An Introduction to ‘Benefit of the Doubt’ Composite Indicators," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 82(1), pages 111-145, May.
    19. Sanjoy Kumar Paul & Priyabrata Chowdhury, 2020. "Strategies for Managing the Impacts of Disruptions During COVID-19: an Example of Toilet Paper," Global Journal of Flexible Systems Management, Springer;Global Institute of Flexible Systems Management, vol. 21(3), pages 283-293, September.
    20. Xiaolong Wang & Di Wang & Yanmin Zhao, 2024. "Managerial Time Orientation, Corporate Resource Allocation, and Firm Resilience," Journal of the Knowledge Economy, Springer;Portland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology (PICMET), vol. 15(4), pages 19989-20018, December.
    21. Lihong Cao & Nengjie Pan & Yaoyi Lu & Wenjie Su, 2024. "RETRACTED ARTICLE: Digital Innovation and Urban Resilience: Lessons from the Yangtze River Delta Region," Journal of the Knowledge Economy, Springer;Portland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology (PICMET), vol. 15(4), pages 19775-19794, December.
    22. M. Saisana & A. Saltelli & S. Tarantola, 2005. "Uncertainty and sensitivity analysis techniques as tools for the quality assessment of composite indicators," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 168(2), pages 307-323, March.
    23. Hartman, Richard, 1972. "The effects of price and cost uncertainty on investment," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 5(2), pages 258-266, October.
    24. Kuo-Ming Chu, 2024. "Innovation Practices of New Technology Adoption for the Business Survival Strategy of Online Travel Agencies During the COVID-19 Pandemic: Two Case Studies in Taiwan," Journal of the Knowledge Economy, Springer;Portland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology (PICMET), vol. 15(2), pages 9556-9575, June.
    25. Wooldridge, Jeffrey M., 2009. "On estimating firm-level production functions using proxy variables to control for unobservables," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 104(3), pages 112-114, September.
    26. Jushan Bai, 2009. "Panel Data Models With Interactive Fixed Effects," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 77(4), pages 1229-1279, July.
    27. Sara Calligaris, 2015. "Misallocation and Total Factor Productivity in Italy: Evidence from Firm-Level Data," CEIS Research Paper 357, Tor Vergata University, CEIS, revised 14 Oct 2015.
    28. Vincent L. Barker & Mark A. Mone, 1994. "Retrenchment: Cause of turnaround or consequence of decline?," Strategic Management Journal, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 15(5), pages 395-405, June.
    29. John Deeks, 1973. "The Small Firm — Asset Or Liability?," Journal of Management Studies, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 10(1), pages 25-47, February.
    30. Guido Lorenzoni, 2009. "A Theory of Demand Shocks," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 99(5), pages 2050-2084, December.
    31. Abel, Andrew B, 1983. "Optimal Investment under Uncertainty," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 73(1), pages 228-233, March.
    32. Rui J. P. de Figueiredo & Emilie R. Feldman & Evan Rawley, 2019. "The costs of refocusing: Evidence from hedge fund closures during the financial crisis," Strategic Management Journal, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 40(8), pages 1268-1290, August.
    33. Steffen Mueller & Jens Stegmaier, 2015. "Economic failure and the role of plant age and size," Small Business Economics, Springer, vol. 44(3), pages 621-638, March.
    34. Stephanie Duchek, 2020. "Organizational resilience: a capability-based conceptualization," Business Research, Springer;German Academic Association for Business Research, vol. 13(1), pages 215-246, April.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Ansgar Belke & Thomas Osowski, 2019. "International Effects Of Euro Area Versus U.S. Policy Uncertainty: A Favar Approach," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 57(1), pages 453-481, January.
    2. Nicholas Bloom & Fatih Guvenen & Sergio Salgado, 2016. "Skewed Business Cycles," 2016 Meeting Papers 1621, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    3. Karaki, Mohamad B. & Rangaraju, Sandeep Kumar, 2023. "The confidence channel of U.S. financial uncertainty: Evidence from industry-level data," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 129(C).
    4. Jamie L. Cross & Chenghan Hou & Aubrey Poon, 2018. "International Transmission of Macroeconomic Uncertainty in Small Open Economies: An Empirical Approach," Working Papers No 12/2018, Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School.
    5. Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde & Pablo Guerron-Quintana, 2020. "Uncertainty Shocks and Business Cycle Research," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 37, pages 118-166, August.
    6. Lu, Yunzhi & Li, Jie & Yang, Haisheng, 2023. "Time-varying impacts of monetary policy uncertainty on China's housing market," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 118(C).
    7. Kronen Dominik & Belke Ansgar, 2017. "The Impact of Policy Uncertainty on Macro Variables – An SVAR-Based Empirical Analysis for EU Countries," Review of Economics, De Gruyter, vol. 68(2), pages 93-116, August.
    8. Ding, Yibing & Liu, Ziyu & Liu, Dayu, 2022. "Structural news shock, financial market uncertainty and China's business fluctuations," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
    9. Mehkari, M. Saif, 2016. "Uncertainty shocks in a model with mean-variance frontiers and endogenous technology choices," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 71-98.
    10. Alam, M. Jahangir, 2020. "Capital misallocation: Cyclicality and sources," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 112(C).
    11. De Sousa, José & Disdier, Anne-Célia & Gaigné, Carl, 2020. "Export decision under risk," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 121(C).
    12. Linus Nyiwul & Zhining Hu & Niraj P. Koirala & Hannah Wasson, 2025. "Economic uncertainty and renewable energy investment," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 22(3), pages 1-36, July.
    13. Boragan Aruoba & Dun Jia & Felipe Saffie, 2018. "Measuring Uncertainty," 2018 Meeting Papers 490, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    14. Angus Moore, 2017. "Measuring Economic Uncertainty and Its Effects," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 93(303), pages 550-575, December.
    15. Guo, Junjie & Li, Youshu & Shao, Qinglong, 2022. "Cross-category spillover effects of economic policy uncertainty between China and the US: Time and frequency evidence," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    16. Choi, Sangyup & Furceri, Davide & Huang, Yi & Loungani, Prakash, 2018. "Aggregate uncertainty and sectoral productivity growth: The role of credit constraints," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 314-330.
    17. Tarek A Hassan & Stephan Hollander & Laurence van Lent & Ahmed Tahoun, 2019. "Firm-Level Political Risk: Measurement and Effects," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 134(4), pages 2135-2202.
    18. Dibiasi, Andreas & Abberger, Klaus & Siegenthaler, Michael & Sturm, Jan-Egbert, 2018. "The effects of policy uncertainty on investment: Evidence from the unexpected acceptance of a far-reaching referendum in Switzerland," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 104(C), pages 38-67.
    19. Haining Chen & Prince Asare Vitenu-Sackey & Isaac Akpemah Bathuure, 2024. "Uncertainty Measures and Business Cycles: Evidence From the US," SAGE Open, , vol. 14(2), pages 21582440241, April.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:jknowl:v:16:y:2025:i:3:d:10.1007_s13132-024-02396-9. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.