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Stochastic volatility, jumps and hidden time changes

Author

Listed:
  • Marc Yor

    (Laboratoire de probabilités et Modeles aléatoires, Université Pierre et Marie Curie, 4, Place Jussieu, 75252 Paris Cedex, France Manuscript)

  • Dilip B. Madan

    (Robert H. Smith School of Business, Van Munching Hall, University of Maryland, College Park, MD 20742, USA)

  • Hélyette Geman

    (University of Paris Dauphine and ESSEC, Finance Department, 95021 Cergy-Pontoise, France)

Abstract

Stochastic volatility and jumps are viewed as arising from Brownian subordination given here by an independent purely discontinuous process and we inquire into the relation between the realized variance or quadratic variation of the process and the time change. The class of models considered encompasses a wide range of models employed in practical financial modeling. It is shown that in general the time change cannot be recovered from the composite process and we obtain its conditional distribution in a variety of cases. The implications of our results for working with stochastic volatility models in general is also described. We solve the recovery problem, i.e. the identification the conditional law for a variety of cases, the simplest solution being for the gamma time change when this conditional law is that of the first hitting time process of Brownian motion with drift attaining the level of the variation of the time changed process. We also introduce and solve in certain cases the problem of stochastic scaling. A stochastic scalar is a subordinator that recovers the law of a given subordinator when evaluated at an independent and time scaled copy of the given subordinator. These results are of importance in comparing price quality delivered by alternate exchanges.

Suggested Citation

  • Marc Yor & Dilip B. Madan & Hélyette Geman, 2002. "Stochastic volatility, jumps and hidden time changes," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 6(1), pages 63-90.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:finsto:v:6:y:2002:i:1:p:63-90
    Note: received: May 2000; final version received: March 2001
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Neil Shephard & Torben G. Andersen, 2008. "Stochastic Volatility: Origins and Overview," Economics Series Working Papers 389, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
    2. Gian Luca Tassinari & Michele Leonardo Bianchi, 2014. "Calibrating The Smile With Multivariate Time-Changed Brownian Motion And The Esscher Transform," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 17(04), pages 1-34.
    3. Michele Leonardo Bianchi & Svetlozar T. Rachev & Frank J. Fabozzi, 2018. "Calibrating the Italian Smile with Time-Varying Volatility and Heavy-Tailed Models," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 51(3), pages 339-378, March.
    4. Stefan Klößner, 2010. "A high-low-based omnibus test for symmetry, the Lévy property, and other hypotheses on intraday returns," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 14(1), pages 1-12, January.
    5. Küchler, Uwe & Naumann, Eva, 2003. "Markovian short rates in a forward rate model with a general class of Lévy processes," SFB 373 Discussion Papers 2003,6, Humboldt University of Berlin, Interdisciplinary Research Project 373: Quantification and Simulation of Economic Processes.
    6. Jakša Cvitanić & Vassilis Polimenis & Fernando Zapatero, 2008. "Optimal portfolio allocation with higher moments," Annals of Finance, Springer, vol. 4(1), pages 1-28, January.
    7. S. Cawston & L. Vostrikova, 2010. "$F$-divergence minimal equivalent martingale measures and optimal portfolios for exponential Levy models with a change-point," Papers 1004.3525, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2011.
    8. Sauri, Orimar & Veraart, Almut E.D., 2017. "On the class of distributions of subordinated Lévy processes and bases," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 127(2), pages 475-496.
    9. Gavin Kretzschmar & Axel Kirchner, 2008. "Recovery of hidden state participation effects on oil and gas asset values," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 14(8), pages 755-769.
    10. Evis Këllezi & Nick Webber, 2004. "Valuing Bermudan options when asset returns are Levy processes," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 4(1), pages 87-100.
    11. Barndorff-Nielsen, Ole E. & Shephard, Neil, 2006. "Impact of jumps on returns and realised variances: econometric analysis of time-deformed Levy processes," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 131(1-2), pages 217-252.
    12. Yanhui Mi, 2016. "A modified stochastic volatility model based on Gamma Ornstein–Uhlenbeck process and option pricing," International Journal of Financial Engineering (IJFE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 3(02), pages 1-16, June.
    13. Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen & Makoto Maejima & Ken-iti Sato, 2006. "Infinite Divisibility for Stochastic Processes and Time Change," Journal of Theoretical Probability, Springer, vol. 19(2), pages 411-446, June.
    14. Barndorff-Nielsen, Ole E. & Shephard, Neil, 2006. "Impact of jumps on returns and realised variances: econometric analysis of time-deformed Levy processes," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 131(1-2), pages 217-252.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Brownian subordination; variance gamma and normal inverse Gaussian processes; variance swap; quadratic variation; filtering;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C10 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - General
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G13 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Contingent Pricing; Futures Pricing

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