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Accessibility in the regional CGE framework: the effects of major transport infrastructure investments in Poland

Author

Listed:
  • Bartlomiej Rokicki

    (University of Warsaw
    The University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign)

  • Eduardo A. Haddad

    (University of São Paulo)

  • Jonathan M. Horridge

    (Victoria University)

  • Marcin Stępniak

    (Institute of Geography and Spatial Organization, Polish Academy of Sciences
    Complutense University of Madrid)

Abstract

Since its EU accession, Poland has invested strongly in the development of fast road transport network. As a result, the total length of modern, high-speed roads has increased from around 500 km in 2005 to over 3000 km in 2015. Yet, while the positive impact of transport infrastructure investment on overall accessibility is unquestionable there are no studies that assess its influence on economic development of particular regions. This paper applies a regional dynamic CGE model to measure the effects of big transport infrastructure investments in Polish NUTS2 regions. We use data on both investment spending and accessibility improvement (expressed as a reduction in transport margins) in order to distinguish between possible short and long term impacts. We find that there exist significant disparities in the impact between regions with high share of major road infrastructure investment undertaken by private investors and the ones that relied fully on public funding. In the case of the former, the lack of analyzed investment would lead to relatively significant decrease in real GDP or average employment. In the case of the latter, the impact of major road infrastructure investment is almost negligible.

Suggested Citation

  • Bartlomiej Rokicki & Eduardo A. Haddad & Jonathan M. Horridge & Marcin Stępniak, 2021. "Accessibility in the regional CGE framework: the effects of major transport infrastructure investments in Poland," Transportation, Springer, vol. 48(2), pages 747-772, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:kap:transp:v:48:y:2021:i:2:d:10.1007_s11116-019-10076-w
    DOI: 10.1007/s11116-019-10076-w
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Accessibility; Regional development; Computable general equilibrium;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C68 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Computable General Equilibrium Models
    • O11 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development
    • R11 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Regional Economic Activity: Growth, Development, Environmental Issues, and Changes
    • R42 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Transportation Economics - - - Government and Private Investment Analysis; Road Maintenance; Transportation Planning

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