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Motivated Belief Updating and Rationalization of Information

Author

Listed:
  • Christoph Drobner

    (TUMCS for Biotechnology and Sustainability, Technical University of Munich, 94315 Straubing, Germany; Faculty of Economics, UniDistance Suisse, 3900 Brig, Switzerland)

  • Sebastian J. Goerg

    (TUMCS for Biotechnology and Sustainability, Technical University of Munich, 94315 Straubing, Germany; TUM School of Management, Technical University of Munich, 80333 Munich, Germany)

Abstract

We study belief updating about relative performance in an ego-relevant task. Manipulating the perceived ego relevance of the task, we show that subjects substantially overweight positive information relative to negative information because they derive direct utility from holding positive beliefs. This finding provides a behavioral explanation why and how overconfidence can evolve in the presence of objective information. Moreover, we document that subjects who receive more negative information downplay the ego relevance of the task. These findings suggest that subjects use two alternative strategies to protect their ego when presented with objective information.

Suggested Citation

  • Christoph Drobner & Sebastian J. Goerg, 2024. "Motivated Belief Updating and Rationalization of Information," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 70(7), pages 4583-4592, July.
  • Handle: RePEc:inm:ormnsc:v:70:y:2024:i:7:p:4583-4592
    DOI: 10.1287/mnsc.2023.02537
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

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    3. Tsegay Tekleselassie & Marc Witte & Jonas Radbruch & Lukas Hensel & Ingo E. Isphording, 2025. "Feedback, Confidence and Job Search Behavior," CESifo Working Paper Series 11746, CESifo.
    4. Fanzheng Yang & Tanya Rosenblat & Weiwei Weng, 2025. "Managing trust under dynamic information," Humanities and Social Sciences Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 12(1), pages 1-13, December.
    5. Hagenbach, Jeanne & ,, 2022. "Motivated Skepticism," CEPR Discussion Papers 17478, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    6. Yasushi Asako & Yoshio Kamijo & Daiki Kishishita & Masayuki Odora, 2026. "Fighting Fake News with Peer Feedback: Theory and Experiment," Working Papers 2531, Waseda University, Faculty of Political Science and Economics.
    7. Charlotte Cordes & Jana Friedrichsen & Simeon Schudy, 2023. "Motivated Procrastination," Rationality and Competition Discussion Paper Series 471, CRC TRR 190 Rationality and Competition.
    8. Castagnetti, Alessandro & Schmacker, Renke, 2022. "Protecting the ego: Motivated information selection and updating," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 142(C).
    9. Bolte, Lukas & Fan, Tony Q., 2024. "Motivated mislearning: The case of correlation neglect," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 217(C), pages 647-663.
    10. David L Dickinson & Marie Claire Villeval, 2025. "Belief Updating about Moral Norms: Does Group Identity Matter?," Working Papers hal-05060901, HAL.
    11. Hagenbach, Jeanne & Jacquemet, Nicolas & Sternal, Philipp, 2025. "The motivated memory of noise," Games and Economic Behavior, Elsevier, vol. 152(C), pages 257-275.
    12. Cavalan, Quentin & de Gardelle, Vincent & Vergnaud, Jean-Christophe, 2022. "I did most of the work! Three sources of bias in bargaining with joint production," Journal of Economic Psychology, Elsevier, vol. 93(C).
    13. Charlotte Cordes & Jana Friedrichsen & Simeon Schudy, 2025. "Motivated Beliefs Under Delayed Uncertainty Resolution," CESifo Working Paper Series 12286, CESifo.
    14. Alexander Coutts & Boon Han Koh & Zahra Murad, 2024. "The signals we give: Performance feedback, gender, and competition," Working Papers in Economics & Finance 2024-02, University of Portsmouth, Portsmouth Business School, Economics and Finance Subject Group.
    15. Nina Xue & Lata Gangadharan & Philip J. Grossman, 2025. "Are more heads more motivated than one? The role of communication in group belief updating," Department of Economics Working Papers wuwp375, Vienna University of Economics and Business, Department of Economics.

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    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • C91 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Design of Experiments - - - Laboratory, Individual Behavior
    • D83 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Search; Learning; Information and Knowledge; Communication; Belief; Unawareness
    • D84 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Expectations; Speculations

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