IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jeners/v14y2021i19p6410-d651252.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Systemic Risk Spillovers in the European Energy Sector

Author

Listed:
  • Radu Lupu

    (Department of International Business and Economics, Bucharest University of Economic Studies, 010404 Bucharest, Romania
    Institute for Economic Forecasting, Romanian Academy, 050711 Bucharest, Romania)

  • Adrian Cantemir Călin

    (Department of International Business and Economics, Bucharest University of Economic Studies, 010404 Bucharest, Romania
    Institute for Economic Forecasting, Romanian Academy, 050711 Bucharest, Romania)

  • Cristina Georgiana Zeldea

    (Department of International Business and Economics, Bucharest University of Economic Studies, 010404 Bucharest, Romania
    Institute for World Economy, Romanian Academy, 050711 Bucharest, Romania)

  • Iulia Lupu

    (“Victor Slăvescu” Centre for Financial and Monetary Research, Romanian Academy, 050711 Bucharest, Romania)

Abstract

In this article, we aim to study systemic risk spillovers for European energy companies and to determine the spillover network of the energy sector with other economic sectors. To examine the spillovers within the energy sector, we employ three systemic risk measures. We then embed the results of these models into a Diebold–Yilmaz framework. Moreover, we consider an entropy procedure to extract a Bayesian formulation of its systemic risk spillover. This allows us to determine which company in our sample contributes the most to systemic risk, which company is the most vulnerable to systemic risk, and the place of the energy sector within risk networks. Our results reveal the fact that all companies manifest enhanced spillovers during 2008, early 2009, and 2020. These episodes are associated with the dynamics of the global financial crisis and the pandemic crisis. We notice that specific companies are risk drivers in the sector in both times of market turbulence and calm. Lastly, we observe that several economic sectors such as banks, capital goods, consumer services, and diversified financials generate relevant spillovers towards the energy sector.

Suggested Citation

  • Radu Lupu & Adrian Cantemir Călin & Cristina Georgiana Zeldea & Iulia Lupu, 2021. "Systemic Risk Spillovers in the European Energy Sector," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(19), pages 1-23, October.
  • Handle: RePEc:gam:jeners:v:14:y:2021:i:19:p:6410-:d:651252
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/14/19/6410/pdf
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/14/19/6410/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. repec:dau:papers:123456789/11708 is not listed on IDEAS
    2. Zaman Sajid & Asma Javaid, 2018. "A Stochastic Approach to Energy Policy and Management: A Case Study of the Pakistan Energy Crisis," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(9), pages 1-18, September.
    3. Geng, Jiang-Bo & Du, Ya-Juan & Ji, Qiang & Zhang, Dayong, 2021. "Modeling return and volatility spillover networks of global new energy companies," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 135(C).
    4. Restrepo, Natalia & Uribe, Jorge M. & Manotas, Diego, 2018. "Financial risk network architecture of energy firms," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 215(C), pages 630-642.
    5. You, Wanhai & Guo, Yawei & Zhu, Huiming & Tang, Yong, 2017. "Oil price shocks, economic policy uncertainty and industry stock returns in China: Asymmetric effects with quantile regression," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 1-18.
    6. Bouri, Elie & Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain & Raza, Naveed & Roubaud, David, 2018. "Oil volatility and sovereign risk of BRICS," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 258-269.
    7. Peter Hartley, Kenneth B. Medlock III, Ted Temzelides, Xinya Zhang, 2016. "Energy Sector Innovation and Growth: An Optimal Energy Crisis," The Energy Journal, International Association for Energy Economics, vol. 0(Number 1).
    8. Viral V. Acharya & Lasse H. Pedersen & Thomas Philippon & Matthew Richardson, 2017. "Measuring Systemic Risk," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 30(1), pages 2-47.
    9. Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Trabelsi, Nader & Alqahtani, Faisal & Raheem, Ibrahim D., 2020. "Systemic risk spillovers between crude oil and stock index returns of G7 economies: Conditional value-at-risk and marginal expected shortfall approaches," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 86(C).
    10. repec:dau:papers:123456789/14980 is not listed on IDEAS
    11. Petre Caraiani & Adrian Cantemir Călin, 2019. "Monetary Policy Effects on Energy Sector Bubbles," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(3), pages 1-13, February.
    12. Böhringer, Christoph & Bortolamedi, Markus, 2015. "Sense and no(n)-sense of energy security indicators," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 119(C), pages 359-371.
    13. Julien Chevallier & Florian Ielpo, 2013. "Volatility spillovers in commodity markets," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 20(13), pages 1211-1227, September.
    14. Creti, Anna & Joëts, Marc & Mignon, Valérie, 2013. "On the links between stock and commodity markets' volatility," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 16-28.
    15. Naser Hossein Motlagh & Mahsa Mohammadrezaei & Julian Hunt & Behnam Zakeri, 2020. "Internet of Things (IoT) and the Energy Sector," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(2), pages 1-27, January.
    16. Corbet, Shaen & Goodell, John W. & Günay, Samet, 2020. "Co-movements and spillovers of oil and renewable firms under extreme conditions: New evidence from negative WTI prices during COVID-19," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 92(C).
    17. Wasim Ahmad & Shirin Rais, 2018. "Time-Varying Spillover and the Portfolio Diversification Implications of Clean Energy Equity with Commodities and Financial Assets," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 54(8), pages 1837-1855, June.
    18. González-Pedraz, Carlos & Moreno, Manuel & Peña, Juan Ignacio, 2014. "Tail risk in energy portfolios," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 422-434.
    19. Qin, Xiao, 2020. "Oil shocks and financial systemic stress: International evidence," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 92(C).
    20. Malinauskaite, J. & Jouhara, H. & Ahmad, L. & Milani, M. & Montorsi, L. & Venturelli, M., 2019. "Energy efficiency in industry: EU and national policies in Italy and the UK," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 172(C), pages 255-269.
    21. Lana Ollier & Marc Melliger & Johan Lilliestam, 2020. "Friends or Foes? Political Synergy or Competition between Renewable Energy and Energy Efficiency Policy," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(23), pages 1-23, December.
    22. Deng, Yang & Zhang, Ziqing & Zhu, Li, 2021. "A model-based index for systemic risk contribution measurement in financial networks," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 95(C), pages 35-48.
    23. Algieri, Bernardina & Leccadito, Arturo, 2017. "Assessing contagion risk from energy and non-energy commodity markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 312-322.
    24. Billio, Monica & Casarin, Roberto & Costola, Michele & Pasqualini, Andrea, 2016. "An entropy-based early warning indicator for systemic risk," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 42-59.
    25. Fry-McKibbin, Renée & Hsiao, Cody Yu-Ling & Martin, Vance L., 2021. "Measuring financial interdependence in asset markets with an application to eurozone equities," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 122(C).
    26. Zheng, Xinwei & Su, Dan, 2017. "Impacts of oil price shocks on Chinese stock market liquidity," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 136-174.
    27. Abdelrahman Azzuni & Christian Breyer, 2020. "Global Energy Security Index and Its Application on National Level," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(10), pages 1-49, May.
    28. Waqas Hanif & Jose Arreola-Hernandez & Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad & Thi Hong Van Hoang & Seong-Min Yoon, 2020. "Regional and copula estimation effects on EU and US energy equity portfolios," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 52(49), pages 5311-5342, October.
    29. Markovska, Natasa & Duić, Neven & Mathiesen, Brian Vad & Guzović, Zvonimir & Piacentino, Antonio & Schlör, Holger & Lund, Henrik, 2016. "Addressing the main challenges of energy security in the twenty-first century – Contributions of the conferences on Sustainable Development of Energy, Water and Environment Systems," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 115(P3), pages 1504-1512.
    30. Blumer, Yann B. & Moser, Corinne & Patt, Anthony & Seidl, Roman, 2015. "The precarious consensus on the importance of energy security: Contrasting views between Swiss energy users and experts," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 52(C), pages 927-936.
    31. Umar, Zaghum, 2017. "The demand of energy from an optimal portfolio choice perspective," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 478-494.
    32. Symitsi, Efthymia & Chalvatzis, Konstantinos J., 2018. "Return, volatility and shock spillovers of Bitcoin with energy and technology companies," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 170(C), pages 127-130.
    33. Sara Walton & Annie Zhang & Conor O'Kane, 2020. "Energy eco‐innovations for sustainable development: Exploring organizational strategic capabilities through an energy cultures framework," Business Strategy and the Environment, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 29(3), pages 812-826, March.
    34. Dutta, Anupam, 2018. "Oil and energy sector stock markets: An analysis of implied volatility indexes," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 61-68.
    35. Wu, Fei & Zhang, Dayong & Ji, Qiang, 2021. "Systemic risk and financial contagion across top global energy companies," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 97(C).
    36. Ewing, Bradley T. & Malik, Farooq, 2016. "Volatility spillovers between oil prices and the stock market under structural breaks," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 12-23.
    37. Si, Deng-Kui & Li, Xiao-Lin & Xu, XuChuan & Fang, Yi, 2021. "The risk spillover effect of the COVID-19 pandemic on energy sector: Evidence from China," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 102(C).
    38. Shahnazi, Rouhollah & Dehghan Shabani, Zahra, 2020. "Do renewable energy production spillovers matter in the EU?," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 150(C), pages 786-796.
    39. Unknown, 2016. "Energy for Sustainable Development," Conference Proceedings 253270, Guru Arjan Dev Institute of Development Studies (IDSAsr).
    40. Olson, Eric & J. Vivian, Andrew & Wohar, Mark E., 2014. "The relationship between energy and equity markets: Evidence from volatility impulse response functions," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 297-305.
    41. Ozturk, Ilhan & Acaravci, Ali, 2013. "The long-run and causal analysis of energy, growth, openness and financial development on carbon emissions in Turkey," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 262-267.
    42. Nevrla, Matěj, 2020. "Systemic risk in European financial and energy sectors: Dynamic factor copula approach," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 44(4).
    43. Diebold, Francis X. & Yilmaz, Kamil, 2012. "Better to give than to receive: Predictive directional measurement of volatility spillovers," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 28(1), pages 57-66.
    44. Elsayed, Ahmed H. & Nasreen, Samia & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar, 2020. "Time-varying co-movements between energy market and global financial markets: Implication for portfolio diversification and hedging strategies," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    45. Batinge, Benjamin & Musango, Josephine Kaviti & Brent, Alan C., 2019. "Sustainable energy transition framework for unmet electricity markets," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 129(C), pages 1090-1099.
    46. Andoni, Merlinda & Robu, Valentin & Flynn, David & Abram, Simone & Geach, Dale & Jenkins, David & McCallum, Peter & Peacock, Andrew, 2019. "Blockchain technology in the energy sector: A systematic review of challenges and opportunities," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 100(C), pages 143-174.
    47. Indranil Ghosh & Manas K. Sanyal & R. K. Jana, 2021. "Co-movement and Dynamic Correlation of Financial and Energy Markets: An Integrated Framework of Nonlinear Dynamics, Wavelet Analysis and DCC-GARCH," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 57(2), pages 503-527, February.
    48. Gatzert, Nadine & Martin, Alexander & Schmidt, Martin & Seith, Benjamin & Vogl, Nikolai, 2021. "Portfolio optimization with irreversible long-term investments in renewable energy under policy risk: A mixed-integer multistage stochastic model and a moving-horizon approach," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 290(2), pages 734-748.
    49. Matej Nevrla, 2017. "Systemic Risk in the European Financial and Energy Sector: Dynamic Factor Copula Approach," Working Papers IES 2017/11, Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, Institute of Economic Studies, revised May 2017.
    50. Harmsen, Robert & Wesselink, Bart & Eichhammer, Wolfgang & Worrell, Ernst, 2011. "The unrecognized contribution of renewable energy to Europe's energy savings target," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 39(6), pages 3425-3433, June.
    51. Ang, B.W. & Choong, W.L. & Ng, T.S., 2015. "Energy security: Definitions, dimensions and indexes," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 1077-1093.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Caporin, Massimiliano & Fontini, Fulvio & Panzica, Roberto, 2023. "The systemic risk of US oil and natural gas companies," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 121(C).
    2. Elżbieta Izabela Szczepankiewicz & Windham Eugene Loopesko & Farid Ullah, 2022. "A Model of Risk Information Disclosures in Non-Financial Corporate Reports of Socially Responsible Energy Companies in Poland," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(7), pages 1-34, April.
    3. Iulia Lupu & Gheorghe Hurduzeu & Radu Lupu & Maria-Floriana Popescu & Camelia Gavrilescu, 2023. "Drivers for Renewable Energy Consumption in European Union Countries. A Panel Data Insight," The AMFITEATRU ECONOMIC journal, Academy of Economic Studies - Bucharest, Romania, vol. 25(63), pages 380-380, April.
    4. Viorica Chirilă, 2022. "Connectedness between Sectors: The Case of the Polish Stock Market before and during COVID-19," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 15(8), pages 1-19, July.
    5. Radu LUPU & Iulia LUPU & Tanase STAMULE & Mihai ROMAN, 2022. "Entropy as Leading Indicator for Extreme Systemic Risk Events," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(4), pages 58-73, December.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Das, Debojyoti & Maitra, Debasish & Dutta, Anupam & Basu, Sankarshan, 2022. "Financial stress and crude oil implied volatility: New evidence from continuous wavelet transformation framework," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 115(C).
    2. Wu, Fei & Xiao, Xuanqi & Zhou, Xinyu & Zhang, Dayong & Ji, Qiang, 2022. "Complex risk contagions among large international energy firms: A multi-layer network analysis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 114(C).
    3. Wang, Xunxiao, 2020. "Frequency dynamics of volatility spillovers among crude oil and international stock markets: The role of the interest rate," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    4. Qin, Xiao, 2020. "Oil shocks and financial systemic stress: International evidence," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 92(C).
    5. Farid, Saqib & Kayani, Ghulam Mujtaba & Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr & Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain, 2021. "Intraday volatility transmission among precious metals, energy and stocks during the COVID-19 pandemic," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    6. Gong, Xiao-Li & Zhao, Min & Wu, Zhuo-Cheng & Jia, Kai-Wen & Xiong, Xiong, 2023. "Research on tail risk contagion in international energy markets—The quantile time-frequency volatility spillover perspective," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 121(C).
    7. Zhu, Bo & Deng, Yuanyue & Lin, Renda & Hu, Xin & Chen, Pingshe, 2022. "Energy security: Does systemic risk spillover matter? Evidence from China," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 114(C).
    8. Wu, Hao & Zhu, Huiming & Huang, Fei & Mao, Weifang, 2023. "How does economic policy uncertainty drive time–frequency connectedness across commodity and financial markets?," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    9. Billah, Mabruk & Karim, Sitara & Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr & Vigne, Samuel A., 2022. "Return and volatility spillovers between energy and BRIC markets: Evidence from quantile connectedness," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    10. Qi, Haozhi & Ma, Lijun & Peng, Pin & Chen, Hao & Li, Kang, 2022. "Dynamic connectedness between clean energy stock markets and energy commodity markets during times of COVID-19: Empirical evidence from China," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    11. Wang, Xunxiao & Wang, Yudong, 2019. "Volatility spillovers between crude oil and Chinese sectoral equity markets: Evidence from a frequency dynamics perspective," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 995-1009.
    12. Nallapaneni Manoj Kumar & Aneesh A. Chand & Maria Malvoni & Kushal A. Prasad & Kabir A. Mamun & F.R. Islam & Shauhrat S. Chopra, 2020. "Distributed Energy Resources and the Application of AI, IoT, and Blockchain in Smart Grids," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(21), pages 1-42, November.
    13. Nevrla, Matěj, 2020. "Systemic risk in European financial and energy sectors: Dynamic factor copula approach," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 44(4).
    14. Lovcha, Yuliya & Perez-Laborda, Alejandro, 2020. "Dynamic frequency connectedness between oil and natural gas volatilities," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 181-189.
    15. Evrim Mandacı, Pınar & Cagli, Efe Çaglar & Taşkın, Dilvin, 2020. "Dynamic connectedness and portfolio strategies: Energy and metal markets," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    16. Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr & Karim, Sitara & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar, 2022. "Quantifying systemic risk in US industries using neural network quantile regression," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 61(C).
    17. Hassan, Kamrul & Hoque, Ariful & Wali, Muammer & Gasbarro, Dominic, 2020. "Islamic stocks, conventional stocks, and crude oil: Directional volatility spillover analysis in BRICS," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 92(C).
    18. Caporin, Massimiliano & Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr & Arif, Muhammad & Hasan, Mudassar & Vo, Xuan Vinh & Hussain Shahzad, Syed Jawad, 2021. "Asymmetric and time-frequency spillovers among commodities using high-frequency data," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
    19. Jozef Baruník and Ev~en Kocenda, 2019. "Total, Asymmetric and Frequency Connectedness between Oil and Forex Markets," The Energy Journal, International Association for Energy Economics, vol. 0(Special I).
    20. JEBABLI, Ikram & KOUAISSAH, Noureddine & AROURI, Mohamed, 2022. "Volatility Spillovers between Stock and Energy Markets during Crises: A Comparative Assessment between the 2008 Global Financial Crisis and the Covid-19 Pandemic Crisis," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 46(PA).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jeners:v:14:y:2021:i:19:p:6410-:d:651252. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.