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The boom and bust of U.S. housing prices from various geographic perspectives

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  • Jeffrey P. Cohen
  • Cletus C. Coughlin
  • David A. Lopez

Abstract

This paper summarizes changes in housing prices during the recent U.S. boom and bust from various geographic perspectives. Nationally, the Standard & Poor?s/Case-Shiller house price index more than doubled in nominal terms during the boom and has fallen by roughly a third subsequently. During the boom, housing prices tended to rise much faster in metropolitan areas in the East and West Coast regions than in the country?s interior. After adjusting for inflation, 7 of 19 metropolitan areas have experienced real declines in housing prices from the start of the boom to the present. Although lower-priced houses showed a larger percentage increase during the boom, higher-priced houses fared relatively better over the boom and bust. Changes in land prices, which are not easily measured, appear to have driven housing prices to a greater extent than changes in the prices of housing structures. Internationally, seven countries experienced housing booms and busts; however, these countries tended to have larger booms and smaller absolute busts than the United States.

Suggested Citation

  • Jeffrey P. Cohen & Cletus C. Coughlin & David A. Lopez, 2012. "The boom and bust of U.S. housing prices from various geographic perspectives," Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, issue Sep, pages 341-368.
  • Handle: RePEc:fip:fedlrv:y:2012:i:september:p:341-368:n:v.94no.5
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    Cited by:

    1. Zhang, Wendong & Nickerson, Cynthia J., 2013. "The Housing Market Bust and Farmland Values: Identifying the Changing Influence of Proximity to Urban Centers," 2013 Annual Meeting, August 4-6, 2013, Washington, D.C. 149870, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    2. Costa-Font, Joan & Frank, Richard G. & Swartz, Katherine, 2019. "Access to long term care after a wealth shock: Evidence from the housing bubble and burst," The Journal of the Economics of Ageing, Elsevier, vol. 13(C), pages 103-110.
    3. Jeffrey P. Cohen & Cletus C. Coughlin & Vincent W. Yao, 2016. "Sales of Distressed Residential Property: What Have We Learned from Recent Research?," Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, vol. 98(3), pages 159-188.
    4. John M. Clapp & Jeffrey P. Cohen & Cletus C. Coughlin, 2014. "Semi-Parametric Interpolations of Residential Location Values: Using Housing Price Data to Generate Balanced Panels," Working Papers 2014-50, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
    5. Wendong Zhang & Cynthia J. Nickerson, 2015. "Housing Market Bust and Farmland Values: Identifying the Changing Influence of Proximity to Urban Centers," Land Economics, University of Wisconsin Press, vol. 91(4), pages 605-626.
    6. Noordegraaf-Eelens, L.H.J. & Franses, Ph.H.B.F., 2014. "Do loss profiles on the mortgage market resonate with changes in macro economic prospects, business cycle movements or policy measures?," Econometric Institute Research Papers EI 2014-08, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute.
    7. John M. Clapp & Jeffrey P. Cohen & Cletus C. Coughlin, 2015. "Local Polynomial Regressions versus OLS for Generating Location Value Estimates: Which is More Efficient in Out-of-Sample Forecasts?," Working Papers 2015-14, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
    8. Nissan, Edward & Payne, James E., 2013. "A Simple Test of σ-Convergence in U.S. Housing Prices across BEA Regions," Journal of Regional Analysis and Policy, Mid-Continent Regional Science Association, vol. 43(2).
    9. Jeffrey P. Cohen & Cletus C. Coughlin & John M. Clapp, 2017. "Local Polynomial Regressions versus OLS for Generating Location Value Estimates," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 54(3), pages 365-385, April.
    10. Jeffrey P. Cohen & Cletus C. Coughlin & Jonas C. Crews, 2018. "Interregional Migration and Housing Vacancy: Theory and Empirics," Working Papers 2018-007, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, revised 16 Oct 2020.
    11. Kim, Taeyoung & Cho, Seong-Hoon & Larson, Eric R. & Armsworth, Paul R., 2014. "Protected area acquisition costs show economies of scale with area," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 107(C), pages 122-132.
    12. Rogers, William H. & Winkler, Anne E., 2013. "The Relationship between the Housing & Labor Market Crises and Doubling-Up: An MSA-Level Analysis, 2005-2010," IZA Discussion Papers 7263, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    13. Anundsen, André Kallåk & Heebøll, Christian, 2013. "Supply Restrictions, Subprime Lending and Regional US Housing Prices," Memorandum 04/2013, Oslo University, Department of Economics.

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    Keywords

    Housing - Prices; Housing - United States;

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