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Cyclical fiscal policy, credit constraints, and industry growth

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  • Aghion, Philippe
  • Hémous, David
  • Kharroubi, Enisse

Abstract

What are the effects of cyclical fiscal policy on industry growth? We show that industries with a relatively heavier reliance on external finance or lower asset tangibility tend to grow faster (in terms of both value added and of labor productivity growth) in countries that implement fiscal policies that are more countercyclical. We reach this conclusion using Rajan and Zingales׳s (1998) difference-in-difference methodology on a panel data sample of manufacturing industries across 15 OECD countries over the period 1980–2005.

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  • Aghion, Philippe & Hémous, David & Kharroubi, Enisse, 2014. "Cyclical fiscal policy, credit constraints, and industry growth," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 41-58.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:moneco:v:62:y:2014:i:c:p:41-58
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jmoneco.2013.12.003
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    Cited by:

    1. Gianluigi Pelloni & Marco Savioli, 2014. "From Rags to Riches back to Rags? The Slow Economic Decline of a Successful Nation: Italy 1950–2013," Professional Reports 01_14, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
    2. Philippe Aghion & Emmanuel Farhi & Enisse Kharroubi, 2012. "Monetary Policy, Liquidity, and Growth," NBER Working Papers 18072, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    3. Philippe Aghion & Emmanuel Farhi & Enisse Kharroubi, 2015. "Liquidity and growth: the role of counter-cyclical interest rates," BIS Working Papers 489, Bank for International Settlements.
    4. Luca Fornaro & Gianluca Benigno, 2015. "Stagnation Traps," 2015 Meeting Papers 810, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    5. Tapsoba,Sampawende J.-A. & Kouame,Wilfried Anicet Kouakou, 2018. "Structural reforms and firms'productivity : evidence from developing countries," Policy Research Working Paper Series 8308, The World Bank.
    6. Philippe Aghion, 2009. "Some Thoughts on Industrial Policy and Growth," Documents de Travail de l'OFCE 2009-09, Observatoire Francais des Conjonctures Economiques (OFCE).
    7. Giovanni Dosi & Mauro Napoletano & Andrea Roventini & Tania Treibich, 2017. "Micro and macro policies in the Keynes+Schumpeter evolutionary models," Journal of Evolutionary Economics, Springer, vol. 27(1), pages 63-90, January.
    8. repec:eee:ememar:v:34:y:2018:i:c:p:1-24 is not listed on IDEAS
    9. Ryan Niladri Banerjee & Fabrizio Zampolli, 2016. "What drives the short-run costs of fiscal consolidation? Evidence from OECD countries," BIS Working Papers 553, Bank for International Settlements.
    10. repec:bis:bisqtr:1709g is not listed on IDEAS
    11. Shafik Hebous & Tom Zimmermann, 2016. "Can Government Demand Stimulate Private Investment? Evidence from U.S. Federal Procurement," IMF Working Papers 16/60, International Monetary Fund.
    12. Antonio Ciccone & Elias Papaioannou, 2010. "Estimating cross-industry cross-country models using benchmark industry characteristics," Economics Working Papers 1235, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, revised Jun 2016.
    13. Gianluigi Pelloni & Marco Savioli, 2014. "Why is Italy doing so badly after doing so well?," Professional Reports 02_14, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
    14. Wilfried Kouamé & J.-A Tapsoba, 2018. "Structural Reforms and Firms’ Productivity: Evidence from Developing Countries," Post-Print hal-01723100, HAL.
    15. Gianluigi Pelloni & Marco Savioli, 2015. "Why Is Italy Doing So Badly?," Economic Affairs, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 35(3), pages 349-365, October.
    16. Sangyup Choi & Davide Furceri & Yi Huang & Prakash Loungani, 2016. "Aggregate Uncertainty and Sectoral Productivity Growth; The Role of Credit Constraints," IMF Working Papers 16/174, International Monetary Fund.
    17. Esteban Pérez Caldentey & Daniel Titelman & Pablo Carvallo, 2014. "Weak Expansions: A Distinctive Feature of the Business Cycle in Latin America and the Caribbean," World Economic Review, World Economics Association, vol. 2014(3), pages 1-69, February.
    18. repec:rim:rimpre:15_01 is not listed on IDEAS
    19. Giovanni Dosi & Mauro Napoletano & Andrea Roventini & Tania Treibich, 2017. "Micro and macro policies in the Keynes +Schumpeter evolutionary models," Sciences Po publications info:hdl:2441/1a9acst1l28, Sciences Po.
    20. Hiona Balfoussia & Heather D. Gibson, 2016. "Firm investment and financial conditions in the euro area: evidence from firm-level data," Working Papers 208, Bank of Greece.
    21. repec:kap:iecepo:v:15:y:2018:i:1:d:10.1007_s10368-016-0367-x is not listed on IDEAS
    22. Stephen Cecchetti & Madhusudan Mohanty & Fabrizio Zampolli, 2011. "The real effects of debt," BIS Working Papers 352, Bank for International Settlements.
    23. Huang, Ho-Chuan & Lin, Pei-Chien, 2016. "The trade effects of counter-cyclical fiscal policies," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 82-95.

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