IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/joecas/v32y2025ics1703494925000192.html

Does economic convergence diverge along the income distribution? Evidence from a decile-based analysis

Author

Listed:
  • Amendola, Marco

Abstract

This paper contributes to the literature on economic convergence by exploring an overlooked aspect: the potential heterogeneity of convergence processes across different segments of the income distribution. While previous analyses have typically focused on per capita income or GDP, this study adopts a more granular perspective by examining convergence at per capita income deciles. Drawing on data from 25 countries spanning 1980 to 2019, the analysis reveals a distinct pattern of divergence in the convergence process: higher-income deciles exhibit stronger convergence than lower-income ones, with this divergence widening in recent decades. These findings highlight the uneven nature of economic convergence, demonstrating that reducing cross-country income disparities is especially challenging for low-income groups — those most in need of improved well-being and economic catch-up.

Suggested Citation

  • Amendola, Marco, 2025. "Does economic convergence diverge along the income distribution? Evidence from a decile-based analysis," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 32(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:joecas:v:32:y:2025:i:c:s1703494925000192
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jeca.2025.e00419
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1703494925000192
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.jeca.2025.e00419?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to

    for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Patel, Dev & Sandefur, Justin & Subramanian, Arvind, 2021. "The new era of unconditional convergence," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 152(C).
    2. Hashem Pesaran, M., 2007. "A pair-wise approach to testing for output and growth convergence," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 138(1), pages 312-355, May.
    3. Robert M. Solow, 1956. "A Contribution to the Theory of Economic Growth," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 70(1), pages 65-94.
    4. Panagiotidis, Theodore & Papapanagiotou, Georgios & Stengos, Thanasis, 2023. "Dying together: A convergence analysis of fatalities during COVID-19," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 28(C).
    5. Theodoros Arvanitopoulos & Vassilis Monastiriotis & Theodore Panagiotidis, 2021. "Drivers of convergence: The role of first- and second-nature geography," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 58(14), pages 2880-2900, November.
    6. Le Pen, Yannick, 2011. "A pair-wise approach to output convergence between European regions," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 28(3), pages 955-964, May.
    7. Andrew T. Young & Matthew J. Higgins & Daniel Levy, 2008. "Sigma Convergence versus Beta Convergence: Evidence from U.S. County‐Level Data," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 40(5), pages 1083-1093, August.
    8. Peter C. B. Phillips & Donggyu Sul, 2009. "Economic transition and growth," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 24(7), pages 1153-1185.
    9. Saba, Charles Shaaba & David, Oladipo Olalekan, 2020. "Convergence patterns in global ICT: Fresh insights from a club clustering algorithm," Telecommunications Policy, Elsevier, vol. 44(10).
    10. Holmes, Mark J. & Otero, Jesús & Panagiotidis, Theodore, 2011. "Investigating regional house price convergence in the United States: Evidence from a pair-wise approach," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 28(6), pages 2369-2376.
    11. Robert J. Barro & Xavier Sala-i-Martin, 1990. "Economic Growth and Convergence across The United States," NBER Working Papers 3419, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    12. Jonathan Temple, 2005. "Dual Economy Models: A Primer For Growth Economists," Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 73(4), pages 435-478, July.
    13. ., 2005. "Emergence of the high-growth-period economic system," Chapters, in: Evolution of the Economic System in Japan, chapter 6, pages 165-219, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    14. Mateusz Tomal, 2024. "A review of Phillips‐Sul approach‐based club convergence tests," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 38(3), pages 899-930, July.
    15. Robert J. Barro, 1991. "Economic Growth in a Cross Section of Countries," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 106(2), pages 407-443.
    16. Roland Bénabou, 1996. "Inequality and Growth," NBER Chapters, in: NBER Macroeconomics Annual 1996, Volume 11, pages 11-92, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    17. Robert J. Barro, 2015. "Convergence and Modernisation," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 125(585), pages 911-942, June.
    18. Konrad Lyncker & Rasmus Thoennessen, 2017. "Regional club convergence in the EU: evidence from a panel data analysis," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 52(2), pages 525-553, March.
    19. ., 2005. "Decline of the high-growth-period economic system," Chapters, in: Evolution of the Economic System in Japan, chapter 8, pages 262-292, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    20. Caselli, Francesco & Esquivel, Gerardo & Lefort, Fernando, 1996. "Reopening the Convergence Debate: A New Look at Cross-Country Growth Empirics," Journal of Economic Growth, Springer, vol. 1(3), pages 363-389, September.
    21. Peter C. B. Phillips & Donggyu Sul, 2007. "Transition Modeling and Econometric Convergence Tests," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 75(6), pages 1771-1855, November.
    22. Vassilis Tselios, 2009. "Growth and Convergence in Income Per Capita and Income Inequality in the Regions of the EU," Spatial Economic Analysis, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 4(3), pages 343-370.
    23. Bhattarai, Keshab & Qin, Weiguang, 2022. "Convergence in labor productivity across provinces and production sectors in China," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 25(C).
    24. Bishop, John A & Formby, John P & Thistle, Paul D, 1992. "Convergence of the South and Non-South Income Distributions, 1969-1979," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 82(1), pages 262-272, March.
    25. Dustin Chambers & Shatakshee Dhongde, 2017. "Are countries becoming equally unequal?," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 53(4), pages 1323-1348, December.
    26. Bartkowska, Monika & Riedl, Aleksandra, 2012. "Regional convergence clubs in Europe: Identification and conditioning factors," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 29(1), pages 22-31.
    27. Quah, Danny, 1993. "Empirical cross-section dynamics in economic growth," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 37(2-3), pages 426-434, April.
    28. Thomas Piketty & Emmanuel Saez, 2003. "Income Inequality in the United States, 1913–1998," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 118(1), pages 1-41.
    29. Holmes, Mark J. & Otero, Jesús & Panagiotidis, Theodore, 2014. "A Note On The Extent Of U.S. Regional Income Convergence," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 18(7), pages 1635-1655, October.
    30. G. E. Boyle & T. G. McCARTHY, 1999. "Simple measures of convergence in per capita GDP: a note on some further international evidence," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 6(6), pages 343-347.
    31. ., 2005. "Economic Growth," Chapters, in: Discussing Economics, chapter 11, pages 141-156, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    32. Joseph E. Aldy, 2007. "Divergence in State-Level Per Capita Carbon Dioxide Emissions," Land Economics, University of Wisconsin Press, vol. 83(3), pages 353-369.
    33. Durlauf, Steven N. & Johnson, Paul A. & Temple, Jonathan R.W., 2005. "Growth Econometrics," Handbook of Economic Growth, in: Philippe Aghion & Steven Durlauf (ed.),Handbook of Economic Growth, edition 1, volume 1, chapter 8, pages 555-677, Elsevier.
    34. Robert J. Barro & Xavier Sala-i-Martin, 1991. "Convergence across States and Regions," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 22(1), pages 107-182.
    35. Liddle, Brantley, 2010. "Revisiting world energy intensity convergence for regional differences," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 87(10), pages 3218-3225, October.
    36. Mello, Marcelo, 2011. "Stochastic Convergence Across U.S. States," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 15(2), pages 160-183, April.
    37. Philippe Aghion & Steven Durlauf (ed.), 2005. "Handbook of Economic Growth," Handbook of Economic Growth, Elsevier, edition 1, volume 1, number 1.
    38. Christopher A. Pissarides & Marie Ange Veganzones-Varoudakis, 2006. "Labor Markets and Economic Growth in the MENA Region," Contributions to Economic Analysis, in: Explaining Growth in the Middle East, pages 137-157, Emerald Group Publishing Limited.
    39. Joseph Aldy, 2006. "Per Capita Carbon Dioxide Emissions: Convergence or Divergence?," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 33(4), pages 533-555, April.
    40. Mihály Borsi & Norbert Metiu, 2015. "The evolution of economic convergence in the European Union," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 48(2), pages 657-681, March.
    41. ., 2005. "Technological change, economic growth and energy use," Chapters, in: The Economics of Technology Diffusion and Energy Efficiency, chapter 1, pages 3-14, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    42. Kinnunen, Maarit & Wood, Emma H. & Li, Yanning & Moss, Jonathan, 2022. "Self-recorded conversations in tourism memory research," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 96(C).
    43. Pei-Chien Lin & Ho-Chuan Huang, 2012. "Convergence in income inequality? evidence from panel unit root tests with structural breaks," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 43(1), pages 153-174, August.
    44. repec:dau:papers:123456789/6806 is not listed on IDEAS
    45. Tsai, I-Chun, 2018. "House price convergence in euro zone and non-euro zone countries," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 42(2), pages 269-281.
    46. Michael Kremer & Jack Willis & Yang You, 2022. "Converging to Convergence," NBER Macroeconomics Annual, University of Chicago Press, vol. 36(1), pages 337-412.
    47. N. Gregory Mankiw & David Romer & David N. Weil, 1992. "A Contribution to the Empirics of Economic Growth," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 107(2), pages 407-437.
    48. Rati Ram, 2018. "Comparison of cross-country measures of sigma-convergence in per-capita income, 1960–2010," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 25(14), pages 1010-1014, August.
    49. Dani Rodrik, 2013. "Unconditional Convergence in Manufacturing," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 128(1), pages 165-204.
    50. Jonathan R. W. Temple, 2005. "Growth and Wage Inequality in a Dual Economy," Bulletin of Economic Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 57(2), pages 145-169, April.
    51. Paul Johnson & Chris Papageorgiou, 2020. "What Remains of Cross-Country Convergence?," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 58(1), pages 129-175, March.
    52. Deckers, Thomas & Hanck, Christoph, 2014. "Multiple Testing For Output Convergence," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 18(1), pages 199-214, January.
    53. DeJuan, Joseph & Persson, Joakim & Tomljanovich, Marc, 2012. "Regional Income Convergence in Sweden, 1911-2003: A Time Series Analysis," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 9(1), pages 67-87.
    54. Markandya, Anil & Pedroso-Galinato, Suzette & Streimikiene, Dalia, 2006. "Energy intensity in transition economies: Is there convergence towards the EU average?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 28(1), pages 121-145, January.
    55. Nazrul Islam, 1995. "Growth Empirics: A Panel Data Approach," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 110(4), pages 1127-1170.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Cui, Wenyue & Tang, Jie, 2023. "Innovation convergence clubs and their driving factors within urban agglomeration," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 121(C).
    2. Gasmi, Farid & Recuero Virto, Laura & Couvet, Denis, 2023. "An empirical analysis of economic growth in countries exposed to coastal risks: Implications for their ecosystems," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 47(4).
    3. Imam, Patrick A. & Temple, Jonathan R.W., 2024. "Political institutions and output collapses," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
    4. Bloom, David E. & Canning, David & Kotschy, Rainer & Prettner, Klaus & Schünemann, Johannes, 2024. "Health and economic growth: Reconciling the micro and macro evidence," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 178(C).
    5. Grafström, Jonas, 2017. "An Econometric Analysis of Divergence of Renewable Energy Invention Efforts in Europe," Ratio Working Papers 295, The Ratio Institute.
    6. Kounetas, Konstantinos Elias, 2018. "Energy consumption and CO2 emissions convergence in European Union member countries. A tonneau des Danaides?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 111-127.
    7. Desbordes, Rodolphe & Eberhardt, Markus, 2024. "Climate change and economic prosperity: Evidence from a flexible damage function," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 125(C).
    8. Sedat Alataş & Erkam Sarı, 2021. "An Empirical Investigation on Regional Disparities in Public Expenditures: Province Level Evidence from Turkey," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 158(1), pages 217-240, November.
    9. Haupt, Harry & Schnurbus, Joachim & Semmler, Willi, 2018. "Estimation of grouped, time-varying convergence in economic growth," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 8(C), pages 141-158.
    10. Zeira, Joseph & di Vaio, Gianfranco & Battisti, Michele, 2013. "Global Divergence in Growth Regressions," CEPR Discussion Papers 9687, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    11. Yan, Zheming & Du, Keru & Yang, Zhiming & Deng, Min, 2017. "Convergence or divergence? Understanding the global development trend of low-carbon technologies," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 109(C), pages 499-509.
    12. Penna, Christiano Modesto & Linhares, Fabricio Carneiro, 2013. "Há controvérsia entre análises de beta e sigma-convergência no Brasil?," Revista Brasileira de Economia - RBE, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil), vol. 67(1), April.
    13. Ordeñana, Xavier & Vera-Gilces, Paúl & Zambrano-Vera, Jack & Jiménez, Alfredo, 2024. "The effect of high-growth and innovative entrepreneurship on economic growth," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 171(C).
    14. Ron P. Smith, 2024. "Econometric Aspects of Convergence: A Survey," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 35(4), pages 701-721, September.
    15. Fiaschi, Davide & Ricci, Cristiano, 2025. "The spatial evolution of economic activities and the emergence of cities," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 224(C).
    16. Bollino, Carlo Andrea & Galeotti, Marzio, "undated". "On the Water-Energy-Food Nexus: Is there Multivariate Convergence?," FEEM Working Papers 309919, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (FEEM).
    17. repec:fgv:epgrbe:v:67:n:1:a:6 is not listed on IDEAS
    18. Grafström, Jonas & Jaunky, Vishal, 2017. "Convergence of Incentive Capabilities within the European Union," Ratio Working Papers 301, The Ratio Institute.
    19. Couharde, Cécile & Grekou, Carl & Mignon, Valérie & Morvillier, Florian, 2025. "Reconciling contrasting views on the growth effect of currency misalignments," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 151(C).
    20. González-Álvarez, María A. & Montañés, Antonio & Olmos, Lorena, 2020. "Towards a sustainable energy scenario? A worldwide analysis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 87(C).
    21. Villar-Roldan, Juan J. & Galiano, Aida & Martín-Álvarez, Juan Manuel, 2025. "Divergent growth paths: Conflict, state capacity, and convergence clubs in Sub-Saharan Africa," Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 99(C).

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    JEL classification:

    • D31 - Microeconomics - - Distribution - - - Personal Income and Wealth Distribution
    • O15 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Economic Development: Human Resources; Human Development; Income Distribution; Migration
    • O40 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - General
    • O47 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - Empirical Studies of Economic Growth; Aggregate Productivity; Cross-Country Output Convergence

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:joecas:v:32:y:2025:i:c:s1703494925000192. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.journals.elsevier.com/the-journal-of-economic-asymmetries/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.