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An empirical study to identify shift contagion during the Asian crisis

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  • Marais, E.
  • Bates, S.

Abstract

The paper is an empirical study on contagion during the 1997–1998 Asian crisis. In line with Sander and Kleimeier [Sander, H., Kleimeier, S., 2003. Contagion and causality: an empirical investigation of four Asian crisis episodes. International Financial Markets, Institution and Money 13, 171–186], Granger causality among Asian economies on sovereign debt market is tested. Using a new measure of causality, we attempt to show the existence of shift contagion defined as significant differences in cross-markets links between tranquil and crisis periods. Firstly, non-existent links during the tranquil period play a key role during the crisis. Secondly, causality directions give evidence of the major influence of the South Korean crisis which seems to prevail on investors to reassess the whole region.
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  • Marais, E. & Bates, S., 2006. "An empirical study to identify shift contagion during the Asian crisis," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 16(5), pages 468-479, December.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:intfin:v:16:y:2006:i:5:p:468-479
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    Cited by:

    1. Essahbi Essaadi & Jamel Jouini & Wajih Khallouli, 2009. "The Asian Crisis Contagion: A Dynamic Correlation Approach Analysis," Panoeconomicus, Savez ekonomista Vojvodine, Novi Sad, Serbia, vol. 56(2), pages 241-260, June.
    2. Daniel Stefan ARMEANU & Adrian ENCIU & Carmen OBREJA & Sorin-Iulian CIOACÃ, 2016. "The Financial Crisis’ Impact on the Central and Eastern Europe Capital Markets," REVISTA DE MANAGEMENT COMPARAT INTERNATIONAL/REVIEW OF INTERNATIONAL COMPARATIVE MANAGEMENT, Faculty of Management, Academy of Economic Studies, Bucharest, Romania, vol. 17(5), pages 420-431, December.
    3. Dungey, Mardi & Harvey, John & Volkov, Vladimir, 2017. "The changing international network of sovereign debt and financial institutions," Working Papers 2017-04, University of Tasmania, Tasmanian School of Business and Economics.
    4. Wajih Khallouli, 2008. "Shift-Contagion in Middle East and North Africa Stock Markets," Working Papers 420, Economic Research Forum, revised 06 Jan 2008.
    5. repec:dau:papers:123456789/1483 is not listed on IDEAS

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