IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/eneeco/v144y2025ics0140988325001768.html

Chinese ties and low carbon industrialization in Africa

Author

Listed:
  • Owusu, Solomon
  • Tang, Keyi
  • Ndubuisi, Gideon

Abstract

This paper examines the impact of Chinese foreign direct investment (FDI) on low-carbon industrialization in Africa, within the context of China's growing economic ties with the continent. The analysis relies on a panel dataset comprising Chinese greenfield FDI into the manufacturing sectors of 34 African countries from 2003 to 2014, employing the Lewbel Instrumental Variable approach to address potential endogeneity issues. The results show that these Chinese FDI inflows increased industrial carbon emissions in Africa. This adverse effect is particularly pronounced when Chinese FDI targets labor and resource-intensive manufacturing sectors. We attribute this finding to two mechanisms: the sector concentration on labor and resource-intensive manufacturing and the manufacturing processes of Chinese FDI characterized by suboptimal de facto implementation of environmental, social and governance (ESG) standards compared to the international best practices. Additional analysis underscores the potential moderating influence of FDI-host countries' environmental regulations, albeit statistically insignificant, highlighting the legacy of ineffective institutional enforcement that is prevalent on the Africa continent.

Suggested Citation

  • Owusu, Solomon & Tang, Keyi & Ndubuisi, Gideon, 2025. "Chinese ties and low carbon industrialization in Africa," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 144(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:eneeco:v:144:y:2025:i:c:s0140988325001768
    DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2025.108352
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0140988325001768
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.eneco.2025.108352?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to

    for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Arthur Lewbel, 2012. "Using Heteroscedasticity to Identify and Estimate Mismeasured and Endogenous Regressor Models," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 30(1), pages 67-80.
    2. Hoekman, Bernard & Sanfilippo, Marco & Tambussi, Margherita, 2023. "Foreign Direct Investment and Structural Transformation in Africa," CEPR Discussion Papers 17838, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    3. Christopher F Baum & Arthur Lewbel, 2019. "Advice on using heteroskedasticity-based identification," Stata Journal, StataCorp LLC, vol. 19(4), pages 757-767, December.
    4. Tancrède Voituriez & Wang Yao & Mathias Lund Larsen, 2019. "Revising the ‘host country standard’ principle: a step for China to align its overseas investment with the Paris Agreement," Climate Policy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 19(10), pages 1205-1210, November.
    5. Stone, Randall W. & Wang, Yu & Yu, Shu, 2022. "Chinese Power and the State-Owned Enterprise," International Organization, Cambridge University Press, vol. 76(1), pages 229-250, January.
    6. David H. Autor & David Dorn & Gordon H. Hanson, 2013. "The China Syndrome: Local Labor Market Effects of Import Competition in the United States," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 103(6), pages 2121-2168, October.
    7. Stern, David I., 2004. "The Rise and Fall of the Environmental Kuznets Curve," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 32(8), pages 1419-1439, August.
    8. Neumayer, Eric & Spess, Laura, 2005. "Do bilateral investment treaties increase foreign direct investment to developing countries?," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 33(10), pages 1567-1585, October.
    9. Tarek Ghazouani & Samir Maktouf, 2024. "Impact of natural resources, trade openness, and economic growth on CO2 emissions in oil‐exporting countries: A panel autoregressive distributed lag analysis," Natural Resources Forum, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 48(1), pages 211-231, February.
    10. Amy Jocelyn Glass & Kamal Saggi, 2008. "International Technology Transfer: The Role of Foreign Direct Investment," Chapters, in: Amitava Krishna Dutt & Jaime Ros (ed.), International Handbook of Development Economics, Volumes 1 & 2, volume 0, chapter 44, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    11. Ofori, Isaac K. & Gbolonyo, Emmanuel Y. & Ojong, Nathanael, 2023. "Foreign direct investment and inclusive green growth in Africa: Energy efficiency contingencies and thresholds," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 117(C).
    12. Blalock, Garrick & Gertler, Paul J., 2008. "Welfare gains from Foreign Direct Investment through technology transfer to local suppliers," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 74(2), pages 402-421, March.
    13. Ali M Kutan & Goran Vukšić, 2007. "Foreign Direct Investment and Export Performance: Empirical Evidence," Comparative Economic Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Association for Comparative Economic Studies, vol. 49(3), pages 430-445, September.
    14. Owusu, Solomon & Ndubuisi, Gideon & Mensah, Emmanuel. B., 2022. "Import penetration and manufacturing employment: Evidence from Africa," MERIT Working Papers 2022-007, United Nations University - Maastricht Economic and Social Research Institute on Innovation and Technology (MERIT).
    15. Humphrey, Chris & Michaelowa, Katharina, 2019. "China in Africa: Competition for traditional development finance institutions?," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 120(C), pages 15-28.
    16. Linda Calabrese & Xiaoyang Tang, 2023. "Economic transformation in Africa: What is the role of Chinese firms?," Journal of International Development, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 35(1), pages 43-64, January.
    17. Kaplinsky, Raphael & Terheggen, Anne & Tijaja, Julia, 2011. "China as a Final Market: The Gabon Timber and Thai Cassava Value Chains," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 39(7), pages 1177-1190, July.
    18. Gui-Diby, Steve Loris & Renard, Mary-Françoise, 2015. "Foreign Direct Investment Inflows and the Industrialization of African Countries," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 43-57.
    19. Avenyo, Elvis Korku & Tregenna, Fiona, 2022. "Greening manufacturing: Technology intensity and carbon dioxide emissions in developing countries," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 324(C).
    20. Henning Mühlen & Octavio Escobar, 2020. "The role of FDI in structural change: Evidence from Mexico," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 43(3), pages 557-585, March.
    21. Gene M. Grossman & Alan B. Krueger, 1995. "Economic Growth and the Environment," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 110(2), pages 353-377.
    22. Egger, Peter & Pfaffermayr, Michael, 2004. "The impact of bilateral investment treaties on foreign direct investment," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 32(4), pages 788-804, December.
    23. Mathias Lund Larsen & Tancrède Voituriez & Christoph Nedopil, 2023. "Chinese overseas development funds: An assessment of their sustainability approaches," Post-Print hal-04052167, HAL.
    24. Shinwari, Riazullah & Wang, Yangjie & Gozgor, Giray & Mousavi, Mahdi, 2024. "Does FDI affect energy consumption in the belt and road initiative economies? The role of green technologies," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
    25. Shi, Qiaoling & Shan, Yuli & Zhong, Chao & Cao, Ye & Xue, Rui, 2022. "How would GVCs participation affect carbon intensity in the “Belt and Road Initiative” countries?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 111(C).
    26. Ms. Wenjie Chen & Michele Fornino & Henry Rawlings, 2024. "Navigating the Evolving Landscape between China and Africa’s Economic Engagements," IMF Working Papers 2024/037, International Monetary Fund.
    27. Doytch, Nadia & Uctum, Merih, 2016. "Globalization and the environmental impact of sectoral FDI," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 40(4), pages 582-594.
    28. Natalia Zugravu-Soilita, 2017. "How does Foreign Direct Investment Affect Pollution? Toward a Better Understanding of the Direct and Conditional Effects," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 66(2), pages 293-338, February.
    29. Nicholas Bloom & Mirko Draca & John Van Reenen, 2016. "Trade Induced Technical Change? The Impact of Chinese Imports on Innovation, IT and Productivity," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 83(1), pages 87-117.
    30. Bu, Maoliang & Li, Shuang & Jiang, Lei, 2019. "Foreign direct investment and energy intensity in China: Firm-level evidence," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 366-376.
    31. Deyun Xiao & Luyao Gao & Lijia Xu & Zongjun Wang & Wu Wei, 2023. "Revisiting the Green Growth Effect of Foreign Direct Investment from the Perspective of Environmental Regulation: Evidence from China," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 20(3), pages 1-20, February.
    32. Neves, Sónia Almeida & Marques, António Cardoso & Patrício, Margarida, 2020. "Determinants of CO2 emissions in European Union countries: Does environmental regulation reduce environmental pollution?," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 114-125.
    33. Li, Xuelin & Yang, Lin, 2023. "Natural resources, remittances and carbon emissions: A Dutch Disease perspective with remittances for South Asia," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PB).
    34. World Bank, 2019. "Climate Change and Marine Fisheries in Africa," World Bank Publications - Reports 33315, The World Bank Group.
    35. Wenjie Chen & David Dollar & Heiwai Tang, 2018. "Why Is China Investing in Africa? Evidence from the Firm Level," The World Bank Economic Review, World Bank, vol. 32(3), pages 610-632.
    36. Adekoya, Oluwasegun B. & Ajayi, Gbenga E. & Suhrab, Muhammad & Oliyide, Johnson A., 2022. "How critical are resource rents, agriculture, growth, and renewable energy to environmental degradation in the resource-rich African countries? The role of institutional quality," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 164(C).
    37. Christopher F Baum & Arthur Lewbel & Mark E Schaffer & Oleksander Talavera, 2012. "Instrumental variables estimation using heteroskedasticity-based instruments," United Kingdom Stata Users' Group Meetings 2012 07, Stata Users Group.
    38. Eugene Misa Darko & Kangning Xu, 2022. "The effect of Chinese foreign direct investment on Africa's industrialization process," International Journal of Emerging Markets, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 19(10), pages 3139-3159, December.
    39. Hu, Dengfeng & You, Kefei & Esiyok, Bulent, 2021. "Foreign direct investment among developing markets and its technological impact on host: Evidence from spatial analysis of Chinese investment in Africa," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 166(C).
    40. Torfinn Harding & Beata S. Javorcik, 2012. "Foreign Direct Investment and Export Upgrading," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 94(4), pages 964-980, November.
    41. Yang, Lisha & Ni, Mengying, 2022. "Is financial development beneficial to improve the efficiency of green development? Evidence from the “Belt and Road” countries," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 105(C).
    42. Demena, Binyam Afewerk & Afesorgbor, Sylvanus Kwaku, 2020. "The effect of FDI on environmental emissions: Evidence from a meta-analysis," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 138(C).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Abay, Kibrom A. & Wondale, Meseret & Korir, Josphat K. & Bachewe, Fantu Nisrane & Araya, Mesele & Breisinger, Clemens, 2025. "The landscape of youth engagement in labor markets in Africa: Are youth driving structural transformation?," GSSP working papers 2382, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).
    2. Abay, Kibrom A. & Wondale, Meseret & Korir, Josphat K. & Bachewe, Fantu Nisrane & Araya, Mesele & Breisinger, Clemens, 2025. "The landscape of youth engagement in labor markets in Africa: Are youth driving structural transformation?," IFPRI discussion papers 2382, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).
    3. Riaz, Mahmud Hasan & Islam, Sohidul & Ahmed, Zobayer & Khan, Musa & Roshid, Md. Mustaqim & Dhar, Bablu Kumar & Uddin, Mohammad Sharif, 2025. "Nonlinear effects of ICT-trade openness on sustainable energy transition in Bangladesh," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 206(C).
    4. Suxin Yang & Miguel Ángel Benedicto Solsona, 2025. "Carbon Emissions and Influencing Factors in the Areas Along the Belt and Road Initiative in Africa: A Spatial Spillover Perspective," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 17(15), pages 1-35, August.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Gideon Ndubuisi & Solomon Owusu, 2021. "How important is GVC participation to export upgrading?," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 44(10), pages 2887-2908, October.
    2. Polloni-Silva, Eduardo & Moreno, Rosina & Moralles, Herick Fernando, 2025. "Technological content and institutional quality of FDI: Investigating the effects on the environment in Brazil," International Business Review, Elsevier, vol. 34(6).
    3. Pasquale Pazienza & Caterina Lucia, 2020. "How does FDI in the “agricultural and fishing” sector affect methane emission? Evidence from the OECD countries," Economia Politica: Journal of Analytical and Institutional Economics, Springer;Fondazione Edison, vol. 37(2), pages 441-462, July.
    4. Uddin, Mirza Md Moyen & Sharif, Taimur & Islam, Abe Reza Mohammad & Abedin, Mohammad Zoynul, 2024. "Moderating impact of FDI on the growth-environment nexus in the pre-COVID-19 eras," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 67(PA).
    5. Le Thanh Ha, 2025. "Do the climate-related financial policies promote ecological sustainability? Insights from European countries," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 27(10), pages 23869-23888, October.
    6. Manh Hung Do, 2023. "Saving up and diversifying income for a rainy day: Implications for households' resilience strategies and poverty," TVSEP Working Papers wp-033, Leibniz Universitaet Hannover, Institute for Environmental Economics and World Trade, Project TVSEP.
    7. Tan, Ruipeng & Xu, Mengmeng & Qiao, Gang & Wu, Huaqing, 2023. "FDI, financial market development and nonlinearities of energy and environmental efficiency in China: Evidence from both parametric and nonparametric models," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 119(C).
    8. Choi, Jaerim & Hyun, Jay & Kim, Gueyon & Park, Ziho, 2025. "The cleanup of US manufacturing through pollution offshoring," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 154(C).
    9. Ofori, Isaac K & Gbolonyo, Emmanuel Y. & Ojong, Nathanael, 2022. "Foreign Direct Investment and Inclusive Green Growth in Africa: Energy Efficiency Contingencies and Thresholds," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, pages 1-58.
    10. Asamoah, Michael Effah & Alagidede, Imhotep Paul & Adu, Frank, 2021. "Financial development, portfolio investments and the real economy in Africa," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 45(4).
    11. Liu, Liyun & Zhao, Zhenzhi & Su, Bin & Ng, Tsan Sheng & Zhang, Mingming & Qi, Lin, 2021. "Structural breakpoints in the relationship between outward foreign direct investment and green innovation: An empirical study in China," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 103(C).
    12. İbrahim Özmen & Mihai Mutascu, 2025. "Don’t look earth: environmental taxes effect on Co2 emissions, evidence from moments quantile regression for EU countries," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 27(2), pages 4619-4658, February.
    13. Le Ngoc, Anh & Heshmati, Almas, 2025. "The Green Path: FDI’s Influence on Asia’s Sustainable Economic Growth," IZA Discussion Papers 17900, IZA Network @ LISER.
    14. Ofori, Isaac K. & Gbolonyo, Emmanuel Y. & Ojong, Nathanael, 2023. "Foreign direct investment and inclusive green growth in Africa: Energy efficiency contingencies and thresholds," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 117(C).
    15. Usama Al‐Mulali & Alina Raboshuk & Ridwan Lanre Ibrahim & Behnaz Saboori, 2025. "Evaluating the asymmetric effect of patents driven environmental technologies on environmental degradation in the E7 countries: An extended model of STIRPAT," Natural Resources Forum, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 49(2), pages 1621-1642, May.
    16. Qing Li & Long Hai Vo, 2024. "Determinants of intangible capital investment in Vietnam: A firm‐level analysis," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 47(3), pages 1055-1088, March.
    17. Zuyi Wang & Man-Keun Kim, 2024. "Decoupling of CO2 emissions and income in the U.S.: A new look from EKC," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 177(3), pages 1-21, March.
    18. Wang, Ailun & Si, Lulu & Hu, Shuo, 2025. "Does China's outward foreign direct investment improve carbon emission Efficiency? The heterogeneous impact of economic development," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 204(C).
    19. Ndubuisi, Gideon & Otioma, Chuks & Tetteh, Godsway Korku, 2021. "Digital infrastructure and employment in services: Evidence from Sub-Saharan African countries," Telecommunications Policy, Elsevier, vol. 45(8).
    20. Michele Imbruno & Alessia Lo Turco & Daniela Maggioni, 2023. "Energy Efficiency Gains From Multinational Supply Chains: Evidence From Turkey," Working Papers 477, Universita' Politecnica delle Marche (I), Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche e Sociali.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    JEL classification:

    • F21 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - International Investment; Long-Term Capital Movements
    • N60 - Economic History - - Manufacturing and Construction - - - General, International, or Comparative
    • O4 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity
    • O5 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:eneeco:v:144:y:2025:i:c:s0140988325001768. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/eneco .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.