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A macroeconometric model of the Chinese economy

  • Qin, Duo
  • Cagas, Marie Anne
  • Ducanes, Geoffrey
  • He, Xinhua
  • Liu, Rui
  • Liu, Shiguo
  • Magtibay-Ramos, Nedelyn
  • Quising, Pilipinas

This paper describes a quarterly macroeconometric model of the Chinese economy. The model comprises household consumption, investment, government, trade, production, prices, money, and employment blocks. The equilibrium-correction form is used for all the behavioral equations and the general→simple dynamic specification approach is adopted. Great efforts have been made to achieve the best possible blend of standard long-run theories, country-specific institutional features and short-run dynamics in data. The tracking performance of the model is evaluated. Forecasting and empirical investigation of a number of topical macroeconomic issues utilizing model simulations have shown the model to be immensely useful.

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Article provided by Elsevier in its journal Economic Modelling.

Volume (Year): 24 (2007)
Issue (Month): 5 (September)
Pages: 814-822

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Handle: RePEc:eee:ecmode:v:24:y:2007:i:5:p:814-822
Contact details of provider: Web page: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/inca/30411

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  1. J. J. Polak, 1957. "Monetary Analysis of Income Formation and Payments Problems," IMF Staff Papers, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 6(1), pages 1-50, November.
  2. J. J. Polak, 1997. "The IMF Monetary Model At Forty," IMF Working Papers 97/49, International Monetary Fund.
  3. Duo Qin & Marie Anne Cagas & Geoffrey Ducanes & Xinhua He & Rui Liu & Shiguo Liu, 2005. "Income Disparity and Economic Growth: Evidence from China," Working Papers 548, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
  4. Hendry, David F., 1995. "Dynamic Econometrics," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780198283164, March.
  5. Duo Qin & Marie Anne Cagas & Pilipinas Quising & Xin-Hua He, 2005. "How Much Does Investment Drive Economic Growth in China?," Working Papers 545, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
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