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Cycles in nonrenewable resource prices with pollution and learning-by-doing

Listed author(s):
  • Chakravorty, Ujjayant
  • Leach, Andrew
  • Moreaux, Michel

We study how environmental regulation in the form of a cap on aggregate emissions from a fossil fuel (e.g., coal) interacts with the arrival of a clean substitute (e.g., solar energy). The cost of the substitute is assumed to decrease with cumulative use because of learning-by-doing. We show that optimal energy prices may initially increase because of pollution regulation, but fall due to learning, and rise again because of scarcity of the resource, finally falling after transition to the clean substitute. Thus nonrenewable resource prices may exhibit cyclical behavior even in a purely deterministic setting.

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File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0165188912000954
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Article provided by Elsevier in its journal Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control.

Volume (Year): 36 (2012)
Issue (Month): 10 ()
Pages: 1448-1461

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Handle: RePEc:eee:dyncon:v:36:y:2012:i:10:p:1448-1461
DOI: 10.1016/j.jedc.2012.04.005
Contact details of provider: Web page: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/jedc

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