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Content
2001
- 2001-52 Do provisional estimates of output miss economic turning points?
by Karen E. Dynan & Douglas W. Elmendorf
- 2001-51 Are branch banks better survivors? Evidence from the Depression era
by Mark A. Carlson
- 2001-50 Understanding credit derivatives and their potential to synthesize riskless assets
by Antulio N. Bomfim
- 2001-49 Estimating stochastic volatility diffusion using conditional moments of integrated volatility
by Tim Bollerslev & Hao Zhou
- 2001-48 Capital requirements, business loans, and business cycles: an empirical analysis of the standardized approach in the new Basel Capital Accord
by Seth B. Carpenter & William C. Whitesell & Egon Zakrajšek
- 2001-47 Sacrifice ratios and monetary policy credibility: do smaller budget deficits, inflation-indexed debt, and inflation targets lower disinflation costs?
by J. Benson Durham
- 2001-46 Term structure of interest rates with regime shifts
by Ravi Bansal & Hao Zhou
- 2001-45 Imperfect credibility and inflation persistence
by Christopher J. Erceg & Andrew T. Levin
- 2001-44 Estimating changes in trend growth of total factor productivity: Kalman and H-P filters versus a Markov-switching framework
by Mark W. French
- 2001-43 The competitive implications of multimarket bank branching
by Timothy H. Hannan & Robin A. Prager
- 2001-42 The effect of monetary policy on monthly and quarterly stock market returns: cross-country evidence and sensitivity analyses
by J. Benson Durham
- 2001-41 An analytical approach to the welfare cost of business cycles and the benefit from activist monetary policy
by Michael T. Kiley
- 2001-40 Optimal investment with fixed refinancing costs
by Jason G. Cummins & Ingmar Nyman
- 2001-39 The performance of forecast-based monetary policy rules under model uncertainty
by Andrew T. Levin & Volker W. Wieland & John C. Williams
- 2001-38 To surcharge or not to surcharge: an empirical investigation of ATM pricing
by Timothy H. Hannan & Elizabeth K. Kiser & James J. McAndrews & Robin A. Prager
- 2001-37 Understanding the role of recovery in default risk models: empirical comparisons and implied recovery rates
by Gurdip Bakshi & Dilip B. Madan & Frank X. Zhang
- 2001-36 Small business credit availability and relationship lending: the importance of bank organizational structure
by Allen N. Berger & Gregory F. Udell
- 2001-35 The effects of dynamic changes in bank competition on the supply of small business credit
by Allen N. Berger & Lawrence G. Goldberg & Lawrence J. White
- 2001-34 The ability of banks to lend to informationally opaque small businesses
by Allen N. Berger & Leora Klapper & Gregory F. Udell
- 2001-33 Systemic risk and financial consolidation: are they related?
by Gianni De Nicolo & Myron L. Kwast
- 2001-32 Reexamining stock valuation and inflation: the implications of analysts' earnings forecasts
by Steven A. Sharpe
- 2001-31 How accurate are Value-at-Risk models at commercial banks?
by Jeremy Berkowitz & James M. O'Brien
- 2001-30 New tests of the New-Keynesian Phillips curve
by Jeremy B. Rudd & Karl Whelan
- 2001-29 Production synergies, technology adoption, unemployment, and wages
by Gwen Eudey & Miguel Molico
- 2001-28 Jump-diffusion term structure and Ito conditional moment generator
by Hao Zhou
- 2001-27 The hidden dangers of historical simulation
by Matthew Pritsker
- 2001-26 GSEs, mortgage rates, and the long-run effects of mortgage securitization
by Jamie Ingpen & Wayne Passmore & Roger Sparks
- 2001-25 Employment persistence
by Charles A. Fleischman & Joshua H. Gallin
- 2001-24 Anticipations of monetary policy in financial markets
by Joe Lange & Brian P. Sack & William C. Whitesell
- 2001-23 Does stock market wealth matter for consumption?
by Karen E. Dynan & Dean M. Maki
- 2001-22 Using subordinated debt to monitor bank holding companies: is it feasible?
by Diana Hancock & Myron L. Kwast
- 2001-21 Disentangling the wealth effect: a cohort analysis of household saving in the 1990s
by Dean M. Maki & Michael G. Palumbo
- 2001-20 The production-side approach to estimating embodied technological change
by Plutarchos Sakellaris & Daniel J. Wilson
- 2001-19 Looking ahead: young men, wage growth, and labor market participation
by Stephanie Aaronson
- 2001-18 The importance of employer-to-employer flows in the U.S. labor market
by Bruce Fallick & Charles A. Fleischman
- 2001-17 Incorporating event risk into value-at-risk
by Michael S. Gibson
- 2001-16 Market definition in banking: recent evidence
by Dean F. Amel & Martha Starr-McCluer
- 2001-15 Investigating the sources of default risk: lessons from empirically evaluating credit risk models
by Gurdip Bakshi & Dilip B. Madan & Frank X. Zhang
- 2001-14 Measuring the reaction of monetary policy to the stock market
by Roberto Rigobon & Brian P. Sack
- 2001-13 How well does the New Keynesian sticky-price model fit the data?
by John M. Roberts
- 2001-12 The effect of past and future economic fundamentals on spending and pricing behavior in the FRB/US macroeconomic model
by Peter Von zur Muehlen
- 2001-11 Optimal portfolio allocation in a world without Treasury securities
by Antulio N. Bomfim
- 2001-10 The Pavlovian response of term rates to Fed announcements
by Selva Demiralp & Òscar Jordà
- 2001-09 A primer on the economics and time series econometrics of wealth effects
by Morris A. Davis & Michael G. Palumbo
- 2001-08 Estimates of the productivity trend using time-varying parameter techniques
by John M. Roberts
- 2001-07 Transition dynamics in vintage capital models: explaining the postwar catch-up of Germany and Japan
by Simon Gilchrist & John C. Williams
- 2001-06 Production function estimation with industry capacity data
by Plutarchos Sakellaris
- 2001-05 Patterns of plant adjustment
by Plutarchos Sakellaris
- 2001-04 A two-sector approach to modeling U.S. NIPA data
by Karl Whelan
- 2001-03 The effects of geographic expansion on bank efficiency
by Allen N. Berger & Robert DeYoung
- 2001-02 Activist vs. non-activist monetary policy: optimal rules under extreme uncertainty
by Peter Von zur Muehlen
- 2001-01 NAIRU uncertainty and nonlinear policy rules
by Laurence H. Meyer & Eric T. Swanson & Volker W. Wieland
2000
1999
- 1999-68 Credit constraints, consumer leasing and the automobile replacement decision
by Kathleen W. Johnson
- 1999-67 Efficient monetary policy design near price stability
by Athanasios Orphanides & Volker W. Wieland
- 1999-66 Temporary employment and the natural rate of unemployment
by Maria Ward Otoo
- 1999-65 Are oil shocks inflationary? Asymmetric and nonlinear specifications versus changes in regime
by Mark A. Hooker
- 1999-64 The automatic fiscal stabilizers: quietly doing their thing
by Darrel Cohen & Glenn Follette
- 1999-63 Is corporate governance ineffective in emerging markets?
by Michael S. Gibson
- 1999-62 Nonparametric estimation of multifactor continuous time interest rate models
by Chris Downing
- 1999-61 Do pension plans with participant investment choice teach households to hold more equity?
by Scott Weisbenner
- 1999-60 Consumer sentiment and the stock market
by Maria Ward Otoo
- 1999-59 Share repurchases and employee stock options and their implications for S&P 500 share retirements and expected returns
by J. Nellie Liang & Steven A. Sharpe
- 1999-58 The evolution of the demand for temporary help supply employment in the United States
by Marcello Estevao & Saul Lach
- 1999-57 Measuring temporary labor outsourcing in U.S. manufacturing
by Marcello Estevao & Saul Lach
- 1999-56 Is hysteresis important for U.S. unemployment?
by Norman J. Morin & John M. Roberts
- 1999-55 Tests for non-linear dynamics in systems of non-stationary economic time series: the case of short-term US interest rates
by Barry E. Jones & Travis D. Nesmith
- 1999-54 Measurement error in general equilibrium: the aggregate effects of noisy economic indicators
by Antulio N. Bomfim
- 1999-53 The causes of business cycles and the cyclicality of real wages
by Charles A. Fleischman
- 1999-52 Measuring the cyclicality of real wages: how important is aggregation across industries?
by Eric T. Swanson
- 1999-51 Optimal control of large, forward-looking models efficient solutions and two examples
by Frederico Finan & Robert J. Tetlow
- 1999-50 Do noisy data exacerbate cyclical volatility?
by Antulio N. Bomfim
- 1999-49 What's happened to the Phillips curve?
by Flint Brayton & John M. Roberts & John C. Williams
- 1999-48 Monetary policy, parameter uncertainty and optimal learning
by Volker W. Wieland
- 1999-47 Option prices with uncertain fundamentals theory and evidence on the dynamics of implied volatilities
by Alexander David & Pietro Veronesi
- 1999-46 Minimum wage careers?
by William J. Carrington & Bruce Fallick
- 1999-45 Errors in the measurement of the output gap and the design of monetary policy
by Frederico Finan & Athanasios Orphanides & Richard D. Porter & David L. Reifschneider & Robert J. Tetlow
- 1999-44 Three lessons for monetary policy in a low inflation era
by David L. Reifschneider & John C. Williams
- 1999-43 Oil and the macroeconomy revisited
by Mark A. Hooker
- 1999-42 Optimal discretion
by Yvan Lengwiler & Athanasios Orphanides
- 1999-41 The dynamics of market entry: the effects of mergers and acquisitions on do novo entry and small business lending in the banking industry
by Allen N. Berger & Seth D. Bonime & Lawrence G. Goldberg & Lawrence J. White
- 1999-40 Conglomeration versus strategic focus: evidence from the insurance industry
by Allen N. Berger & J. David Cummins & Mary A. Weiss & Hongmin Zi
- 1999-39 Interest-rate smoothing and optimal monetary policy: a review of recent empirical evidence
by Brian P. Sack & Volker W. Wieland
- 1999-38 The reliability of output gap estimates in real time
by Athanasios Orphanides & Simon van Norden
- 1999-37 Monitoring, moral hazard, and market power: a model of bank lending
by Daniel M. Covitz & Erik Heitfield
- 1999-36 Computers and growth with costs of adjustment: will the future look like the past?
by Michael T. Kiley
- 1999-35 Finance and growth: theory and new evidence
by Paul Harrison & Oren Sussman & Joseph Zeira
- 1999-34 The banking industry and the safety net subsidy
by Andreas Lehnert & Wayne Passmore
- 1999-33 Pricing systemic crises: monetary and fiscal policy when savers are uncertain
by Andreas Lehnert & Wayne Passmore
- 1999-32 Recent trends in compensation practices
by David E. Lebow & Louise Sheiner & Lawrence Slifman & Martha Starr-McCluer
- 1999-31 Downward nominal wage rigidity: evidence from the employment cost index
by David E. Lebow & Raven E. Saks & Beth Anne Wilson
- 1999-30 Intra-household allocation and the mental health of children: structural estimation analysis
by Morris A. Davis & E. Michael Foster
- 1999-29 A coherent framework for stress-testing
by Jeremy Berkowitz
- 1999-28 Why are bank profits so persistent: the roles of product market competition, informational opacity, and regional/macroeconomic shocks
by Allen N. Berger & Seth D. Bonime & Daniel M. Covitz & Diana Hancock
- 1999-27 Investment behavior, observable expectations, and internal funds
by Jason G. Cummins & Kevin A. Hassett & Stephen D. Oliner
- 1999-26 An analysis of government spending in the frequency domain
by Darrel Cohen
- 1999-25 Competition, small business financing, and discrimination: evidence from a new survey
by Ken Cavalluzzo & Linda Cavalluzzo & John D. Wolken
- 1999-24 Consumption smoothing among working-class American families before social insurance
by John A. James & Michael G. Palumbo & Mark Thomas
- 1999-23 Corporate payout policy and managerial stock incentives
by George W. Fenn & J. Nellie Liang
- 1999-22 Wage rigidity: a look inside the firm
by Beth Anne Wilson
- 1999-21 Tax incentives, material inputs, and the supply curve for capital equipment
by Karl Whelan
- 1999-20 Demographics and medical care spending: standard and non-standard effects
by David M. Cutler & Louise Sheiner
- 1999-19 Health care costs, wages, and aging
by Louise Sheiner
- 1999-18 The geography of Medicare
by David M. Cutler & Louise Sheiner
- 1999-17 The measurement of consumer expectations using survey data
by Martha Starr-McCluer
- 1999-16 Net migration and state labor market dynamics
by Joshua H. Gallin
- 1999-15 Unemployment risk and precautionary wealth: evidence from households' balance sheets
by Christopher D. Carroll & Karen E. Dynan & Spencer D. Krane
- 1999-13 What explains the dramatic changes in cost and profit performance of the U.S. banking industry?
by Allen N. Berger & Loretta J. Mester
- 1999-12 Simple rules for monetary policy
by John C. Williams
- 1999-11 Evaluating the forecasts of risk models
by Jeremy Berkowitz
- 1999-10 Simplicity versus optimality the choice of monetary policy rules when agents must learn
by Robert J. Tetlow & Peter Von zur Muehlen
- 1999-09 Asymmetric information in the labor market: new evidence on layoffs, recalls, and unemployment
by Nuria Rodriguez-Planas
- 1999-08 The aggregate change in shares and the level of stock prices
by William R. Nelson
- 1999-07 Why does the change in shares predict stock returns?
by William R. Nelson
- 1999-06 Evidence of excess returns on firms that issue or repurchase equity
by William R. Nelson
- 1999-05 Workers' knowledge of their pension coverage: a reevaluation
by Martha Starr-McCluer & Annika E. Sunden
- 1999-04 On the finite-sample accuracy of nonparametric resampling algorithms for economic time series
by Jeremy Berkowitz & Ionel Birgean & Lutz Kilian
- 1999-03 Models of sectoral reallocation
by Eric T. Swanson
- 1999-02 Stock prices, expected returns, and inflation
by Steven A. Sharpe
- 1999-01 Partial adjustment and staggered price setting
by Michael T. Kiley
1998
- 1999-14 Short rate expectations, term premiums, and central bank use of derivatives to reduce policy uncertainty
by Peter A. Tinsley
- 1998-52 Asset pooling, credit rationing, and growth
by Andreas Lehnert
- 1998-51 Bank risk rating of business loans
by William B. English & William R. Nelson
- 1998-50 Monetary policy evaluation with noisy information
by Athanasios Orphanides
- 1998-49 Unemployment risk, precautionary saving, and durable goods purchase decisions
by Wendy E. Dunn
- 1998-48 A rational expectations model of financial contagion
by Laura E. Kodres & Matthew Pritsker
- 1998-47 A comparative anatomy of credit risk models
by Michael B. Gordy
- 1998-46 The consolidation of the financial services industry: causes, consequences, and implications for the future
by Allen N. Berger & Rebecca Demsetz & Philip E. Strahan
- 1998-45 Robustness of simple monetary policy rules under model uncertainty
by Andrew T. Levin & Volker W. Wieland & John C. Williams
- 1998-44 Investment, capacity, and output: a putty-clay approach
by Simon Gilchrist & John Williams
- 1998-43 Inflation expectations and the transmission of monetary policy
by John M. Roberts
- 1998-42 Bubbles or noise? Reconciling the results of broad-dividend variance-bounds tests
by Garrett H. TeSelle
- 1998-41 Currency ratios and U.S. underground economic activity
by Richard D. Porter & Gretchen C. Weinbach
- 1998-40 Consumption and asset prices and recursive preferences
by Mark Fisher & Christian Gilles
- 1998-39 Adjustment costs of investment in general equilibrium: analytic results
by Jinill Kim
- 1998-38 Indeterminacy and investment adjustment costs
by Jinill Kim
- 1998-37 Rational error correction
by Peter A. Tinsley
- 1998-36 Certainty equivalence and the non-vertical long run Phillips-curve
by Yvan Lengwiler
- 1998-35 Price stability and monetary policy effectiveness when nominal interest rates are bounded at zero
by Athanasios Orphanides & Volker W. Wieland
- 1998-34 Uncertainty, learning, and gradual monetary policy
by Brian P. Sack
- 1998-33 Dealer polling in the presence of possibly noisy reporting
by Jeremy Berkowitz
- 1998-32 Comparing market and supervisory assessments of bank performance: who knows what when?
by Allen N. Berger & Sally M. Davies & Mark J. Flannery
- 1998-31 Interbank payments and the daily federal funds rate
by Craig H. Furfine
- 1998-30 Putty-clay and investment: a business cycle analysis
by Simon Gilchrist & John C. Williams
- 1998-29 Monetary policy and multiple equilibria
by Jess Benhabib & Stephanie Schmitt-Grohe & Martin Uribe
- 1998-28 The multiple unit auction with variable supply
by Yvan Lengwiler