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Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution

Brookings Papers on Economic Activity

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Content

1987, Volume 18, Issue 1

271-288 The Effects of U.S. Trade Protection for Autos and Steel
by Robert W. Crandall
289-310 The Protectionist Prescription: Errors in Diagnosis and Cure
by Robert Z. Lawrence & Robert E. Litan
311-335 Protection and Retaliation: Changing the "Rules of the Game"
by Catherine L. Mann
337-348 Comments and Discussion (Symposium on Trade Protection)
by Gary Hufbauer

1986, Volume 17, Issue 2

1-1 Editors' Summary
by The Editors
237-284 Lessons from the 1986 Oil Price Collapse
by Dermot Gately
285-338 Market Structure and Macroeconomic Fluctuations
by Robert E. Hall
339-396 Why is the Unemployment Rate So Very High near Full Employment
by Lawrence H. Summers
397-440 Managing the LDC Debt Crisis
by Jeffrey Sachs
441-486 The Farm Debt Crisis and Public Policy
by Charles W. Calomiris & R. Glenn Hubbard & James H. Stock
487-520 Causes of the 1980s Slump in Europe
by J.-P. Fitoussi & E. S. Phelps
521-534 A Quick Fix for the Unemployment Estimate
by Michael C. Lovell

1986, Volume 17, Issue 1

1-1 Editors' Summary
by The Editors
1-60 Liquidity Constraints, Fiscal Policy, and Consumption
by R. Glenn Hubbard & Kenneth L. Judd
61-110 The Term Structure of Interest Rates Revisited
by N. Gregory Mankiw
111-164 Investment, Output, and the Cost of Capital
by Matthew D. Shapiro
165-174 Target Zones and the Management of the Dollar
by John Williamson
175-194 The Limits of Monetary Coordination As Exchange Rate Policy
by William H. Branson
195-208 Dealing with the Trade Deficit in a Floating Rate System
by Richard N. Cooper
209-226 Flexible Exchange Rate and Excess Capital Mobility
by Rudiger Dornbusch
227-235 Comments and Discussion (Symposium on Exchange Rates, Trade, and Capital Flows)
by Stanley Fischer

1985, Volume 16, Issue 2

1-1 Editors' Summary
by The Editors
303-368 Policy and Performance Links between LDC Debtors and Industrial Nations
by Rudiger Dornbusch
369-464 Floating Exchange Rates: Experience and Prospects
by Maurice Obstfeld
465-521 The Time Series Consumption Function Revisited
by Alan S. Blinder & Angus Deaton
523-573 External Debt and Macroeconomic Performance in Latin America and East Asia
by Jeffrey D. Sachs
575-608 Shifting Norms in Wage Determination
by Daniel J. B. Mitchell
609-639 Innovation and Productivity in U.S. Industry
by Martin Neil Baily & Alok K. Chakrabarti

1985, Volume 16, Issue 1

1-1 Editors' Summary
by The Editors
1-45 Taxes and the Investment Recovery
by Barry P. Bosworth
47-116 Manufacturing Wage Dispersion: An End Game Interpretation
by Colin Lawrence & Robert Z. Lawrence
117-197 The Dollar and the Policy Mix: 1985
by Jeffrey D. Sachs
199-217 The Dazzling Dollar
by Jeffrey A. Frankel
219-236 U.S. International Capital Flows and the Dollar
by Peter Isard & Lois Stekler
237-244 The Decline and Fall of the Dollar: Some Policy Issues
by Stephen N. Marris
245-259 Three Discussion Papers from the Symposium on Exchange Rates
by Richard N. Cooper
260-262 Comments and Discussion (Symposium on the Exchange Rate)
by BPEA participants
263-302 Understanding Inflation in the 1980s
by Robert J. Gordon

1984, Volume 15, Issue 2

1-1 Editors' Summary
by The Editors
273-334 Perspectives on High World Real Interest Rates
by Olivier J. Blanchard & Lawrence H. Summers
335-403 Latin American Debt: I Don't Think We Are in Kansas Anymore
by Carlos F. Diaz-Alejandro
405-455 Bank Regulation and the Effectiveness of Open Market Operations
by John H. Kareken
457-510 Stock Prices and Social Dynamics
by Robert J. Shiller
511-536 Exchange Rates and the Prices of Nonfood, Nonfuel Products
by Wing T. Woo
537-568 Unemployment and Potential Output in the 1980s
by Robert J. Gordon

1984, Volume 15, Issue 1

1-1 Editors' Summary
by The Editors
1-76 Macroeconomic Policy Coordination among the Industrial Economies
by Gilles Oudiz & Jeffrey Sachs
77-132 The U.S. Response to Foreign Industrial Targeting
by Paul R. Krugman
133-182 Productivity and Profits in the 1980s: Are They Really Improving?
by Peter K. Clark
183-222 Wage Concessions and Long-Term Union Wage Flexibility
by Robert J. Flanagan
223-248 Do Long-Term Interest Rates Overreact to Short-Term Interest Rates?
by N. Gregory Mankiw & Lawrence H. Summers
249-272 Changes in the Financial System: Implication for Monetary Policy
by Thomas D. Simpson

1983, Volume 14, Issue 2

1-1 Editors' Summary
by The Editors
1-1 William John Fellner, 1905-1983
by James Tobin
305-380 Changing the Rules: Economic Consequences of the Thatcher Regime
by Willem H. Buiter & Marcus Miller
381-450 Heart and Minds: A Social Model of U.S. Productivity Growth
by Thomas E. Weisskopf & Samuel Bowles & David M. Gordon
451-514 Corporate Taxation in the United States
by Alan J. Auerbach
515-552 Some Aspects of the 1982-83 Brazilian Payments Crisis
by Carlos F. Diaz-Alejandro
553-586 Why Have Short-Term Interest Rates Been So High?
by Richard H. Clarida & Benjamin M. Friedman
587-602 What Have We Learned about Disinflation
by George L. Perry
603-610 Tentative Lessons from the Recent Disinflationary Effort
by Phillip Cagan & William Fellner

1983, Volume 14, Issue 1

1-1 Editors' Summary
by The Editors
1-86 Floating Exchange Rates after Ten years
by Jeffrey R. Shafer & Bonnie E. Loopesko
87-128 U.S. Labor Markets: Imbalance, Wage Growth, and Productivity in the 1970s
by James L. Medoff
129-172 Is Trade Deindustrializing America? A Medium-Term Perspective
by Robert Z. Lawrence
173-224 Forward Rates and Future Policy: Interpreting the Term Structure of Interest Rates
by Robert J. Shiller & John Y. Campbell & Kermit L. Schoenholtz
225-254 Why Is Insured Unemployment So Low?
by Gary Burtless
255-304 Real Wages and Unemployment in the OECD Countries
by Jeffrey D. Sachs

1982, Volume 13, Issue 2

1-1 Editors' Summary
by The Editors
273-326 Capital Formation and Economic Policy
by Barry P. Bosworth
327-370 An Econometric Examination of the New Federalism
by Edward M. Gramlich
371-394 A Note on Deregulation of Natural Gas Prices
by Richard N. Cooper
395-422 Financial Crises: Recent Experience in U.S. and International Markets
by Andrew S. Carron
423-459 The Productivity Growth Slowdown by Industry
by Martin Neil Baily
461-491 Interest Rates, Inflation, and Corporate Financial Policy
by Roger H. Gordon

1982, Volume 13, Issue 1

1-1 Editors' Summary
by The Editors
1-56 The Gold Standard: Historical Facts and Future
by Richard N. Cooper
57-106 The Swedish Investment Funds System as a Stabilization Rule
by John B. Taylor
107-164 Policy Analysis with Econometric Models
by Christopher A. Sims
165-204 Recent Union Contract Concessions
by Daniel J. B. Mitchell
205-244 The Output Cost of Disinflation in Traditional and Vector Autoregressive Models
by Robert J. Gordon & Stephen R. King
245-271 Recent Monetary Developments and Controversies
by David E. Lindsey

1981, Volume 12, Issue 2

1-1 Editors' Summary
by The Editors
315-380 The Thatcher Experiment: The First Two Years
by William H. Buiter & Marcus Miller
381-442 Relative Shocks, Relative Price Variability, and Inflation
by Stanley Fischer
443-520 Retail Inventory Behavior and Business Fluctuations
by Alan S. Blinder
521-592 Some Macro Foundations for Micro Theory
by Charles L. Schultze
593-608 The Debt of Developing Countries: Another Look
by Robert Solomon
609-620 Measuring Unemployment
by Lawrence H. Summers

1981, Volume 12, Issue 1

1-1 Editors' Summary
by The Editors
1-66 Productivity and the Services of Capital and Labor
by Martin Neil Baily
67-140 Taxation and Corporate Investment: A q-Theory Approach
by Lawrence H. Summers
141-200 Innovations and Monetary Control
by Donald D. Hester
201-282 The Current Account and macroeconomic Adjustment in the 1970s
by Jeffrey D. Sachs
283-298 Unraveling the Real-Payment Twist
by Michael C. Lovell
299-314 Price Expectations of Business Firms
by Frank de Leeuw & Michael J. McKelvey

1980, Volume 11, Issue 2

261-275 Editors' Summary
by The Editors
277-340 The Central Role of Credit Crunches in Recent Financial History
by Albert M. Wojnilower
341-400 Oil and Economic Performance in industrial Countries
by William D. Nordhaus
401-452 Real User Costs and the Demand for Single-Family Housing
by Patric H. Hendershott
453-512 The Financial Valuation of the Return to Capital
by William C. Brainard & John B. Shoven & Laurence Weiss
513-538 Changes in Employment Prospects for Black Males
by Frank Levy
539-573 The Consumer Price Index and the Measurement of Recent Inflation
by Alan S. Blinder

1980, Volume 11, Issue 1, Tenth Anniversary Issue

1-1 Editors' Summary
by The Editors
1-5 Arthur M. Okun, 1928-1980
by Robert J. Gordon & Robert E. Hall
19-90 Stabilization Policy Ten Years After
by James Tobin
91-142 Employment Fluctuations and Wage Rigidity
by Robert E. Hall
143-206 Exchange Rate Economics: Where Do We Stand?
by Rudiger Dornbusch
207-260 Inflation in Theory and Practice
by George L. Perry

1979, Volume 10, Issue 2

259-267 Editors' Summary
by The Editors
269-332 Wages, Profits, and Macroeconomic Adjustment: A Comparative Study
by Jeffrey D. Sachs
333-386 Mortgage Credit Availability and Residential Construction
by Dwight M. Jaffee & Kenneth T. Rosen
387-422 The Slowdown in Productivity Growth: Analysis of Some Contributing factors
by J. R. Norsworthy & Michael J. Harper & Kent Kunze
423-446 Issues in the Analysis of Capital Formation and Productivity Growth
by Peter K. Clark
447-462 The "End-of-Expansion" Phenomenon in Short-Run Productivity Behavior
by Robert J. Gordon
463-476 The U.S. Petroleum Crisis of 1979
by Philip K. Verleger, Jr.
477-479 Estimating Unemployment Duration
by James P. Luckett

1979, Volume 10, Issue 1

1-11 Editors' Summary
by The Editors
13-72 Labor Market Dynamics and Unemployemnt: A Reconsideration
by Kim B. Clark & Lawrence H. Summers
73-124 Investment in the 1970s: Theory, Performance, and Prediction
by Peter K. Clark
125-166 Macro Policy Responses to Price Shocks
by Edward M. Gramlich
167-190 The Credibility Effect and Rational Expectations: Implications of the Gramlich Study
by William Fellner
191-212 Toward a Better Understanding of Trade Balance Trends: The Cost-Price Puzzle
by Robert Z. Lawrence
213-229 Financial Innovation and the Monetary Aggregates
by Richard D. Porter & Thomes D. Simpson & Eileen Mauskopf
231-240 The Monetary Deceleration: What Does It MEan and Why Is It Happening
by William Poole
241-257 Growth and Inflation: Analysis by Industry
by Hendrik S. Houthhakker

1978, Volume 9, Issue 3

525-535 Editors' Summary
by The Editors
537-582 Union Wage Determination: Policy Implications and Outlook
by Daniel J.B. Mitchell
583-591 Comments and Discussion [Union Wage Determination: Policy Implications and Outlook]
by Marvin H. Kosters & Michael L. Wachter
593-641 Crowding Out or Crowding In? Economic Consequences of Financing Government Deficits
by Benjamin M. Friedman
642-654 Comments and Discussion [Crowding Out or Crowding In? Economic Consequences of Financing Government Deficits]
by Stephen M. Goldfeld & John H. Kareken & Michael Hamburger
655-685 The Measurement and Determination of Loanable-Funds Saving
by E. Philip Howrey & Saul H. Hymans
686-705 Comments and Discussion [The Measurement and Determination of Loanable-Funds Saving]
by Martin Feldstein & John B. Shoven & Michael J. Boskin
707-752 Efficient-Markets Theory: Implications for Monetary Policy
by Frederic S. Mishkin
753-768 Comments and Discussion [Efficient-Markets Theory: Implications for Monetary Policy]
by William Poole & Franco Modigliani
769-789 The Profit Picture: Trends and Cycles
by Michael C. Lovell

1978, Volume 9, Issue 2

233-236 Robert Aaron Gordon, 1908-1978
by Joseph A. Pechman
237-257 Editors' Summary
by The Editors
259-299 Slowing the Wage-Price Spiral: The Macroeconomic View
by George L. Perry
301-361 Tax-Based Incomes Policies
by Laurence S. Seidman
363-400 Administrative Problems of Tax-Based Incomes Policies
by Larry L. Dildine & Emil M. Sunley
401-452 Federal Government Initiatives to Reduce the Price Level
by Robert W. Crandall
453-490 New Policies to Fight Inflation: Sources of Skepticism
by Albert Rees
491-505 A Wage-Increase Permit Plan to Stop Inflation
by Abba P. Lerner
507-523 Implications for Policy
by Gardner Ackley & Alan S. Greenspan & Franco Modigliani

1978, Volume 9, Issue 1

1-9 Editors' Summary
by The Editors
11-60 Stabilization Policy and Private Economic Behavior
by Martin Neil Baily
61-110 Inflation, Tax Rules, and the Long Term-Interest Rate
by Martin Feldstein & Lawrence Summers
111-158 Exchange Rates and the International Adjustments Process
by Pentti J. K. Kouri & Jorge Braga De Macedo
159-190 An Analysis of the 1977 U.S. Trade Deficit
by Robert Z. Lawrence
191-216 State and Local Budgets the Day after It Rained: Why Is the Surplus So High?
by Edward M. Gramlich
217-232 Consumer Sentiment and Spending on Consumer Durables
by Frederic S. Mishkin

1977, Volume 8, Issue 2

281-291 Editors' Summary
by The Editors
293-346 The Inefficiency of Short-Run Monetary Targets for Monetary Policy
by Benjamin M. Friedman
347-408 Corporate Investment: Does Market Valuation Matter in the Aggregate?
by George M. Von Furstenberg
409-478 World Inflation and Monetary Accommodation in Eight Countries
by Robert J. Gordon
479-510 A Perspective on the Debt of Deveoloping Countries
by Robert Solomon
511-544 Macroeconomic Effects of Selective Public Employment and Wage Subsidies
by Martin Neil Baily & James Tobin
545-576 Intermediate Swings in Labor-Force Participation
by Michael L. Wachter

1977, Volume 8, Issue 1

1-10 Editors' Summary
by The Editors
11-60 Potential Output and Productivity
by George L. Perry
61-122 Investment, Interest Rates, and the Effects of Stabilization Policies
by Robert E. Hall
123-174 What Depressed the Consumer? The Household Balance Sheet and the 1973-75 Recession
by Frederic S. Mishkin
175-210 Is a Tax Rebate an Effective Tool for Stabilization Policy?
by Franco Modigliani & Charles Steindel
211-228 Is the Rate of Profit Falling?
by Martin Feldstein & Lawrence Summers
229-252 Worker Upgrading and the Business Cycle
by Wayne Vroman
253-279 Can the Inflation of the 1970s be Explained?
by Robert J. Gordon

1976, Volume 7, Issue 3

527-536 Editors' Summary
by The Editors
537-584 Flexible Exchange Rates in the Short Run
by Rudiger Dornbusch & Paul Krugman
585-634 Contract Theory and the Moderation for Inflation by Recession and by Controls
by Martin Neil Baily
635-682 Wage Interdependence in Unionized Labor Markets
by Robert J. Flanagan
683-740 The Case of the Missing Money
by Stephen M. Goldfeld
741-763 Interpretation of a Regularity in the Behavior of M2
by William Fellner & Dan Larkins

1976, Volume 7, Issue 2

283-287 Kermit Gordon, 1916-1976
by Walter W. Heller
289-296 Editors' Summary
by The Editors
297-350 Capacity Creation in Basic-Materials Industries
by Barry Bosworth
351-408 Inventory Behavior in Durable-Goods Manufacturing: The Target-Adjustment Model
by Martin Feldstein & Alan Auerbach
409-462 Impact of Minimum Wages on Other Wages, Employment, and Family Incomes
by Edward M. Gramlich
463-514 Rational Expectations in the Macro Model
by William Poole
515-526 The Extent of Job Search during Layoff
by Thomas F. Bradshaw & Janet L. Scholl

1976, Volume 7, Issue 1

1-13 Editors' Summary
by The Editors
15-66 Inflation Accounting and Nonfinancial Corporate Profits: Financial Assets and Liabilities
by John B. Shoven & Jeremy I. Bulow
67-114 Public Employment as Fiscal Policy
by Michael Wiseman
115-168 The Changing Cyclical Responsiveness of Wage Inflation
by Michael L. Wachter
169-210 Employment Instability and High Unemployment Rates
by Stephen T. Marston
211-224 Testing for and Removing Bias in the Seasonally Adjusted Unemployment Series
by John A. Brittain
225-243 Least-Squares Seasonally Adjusted Unemployment Data
by Michael C. Lovell
243-245 Discussion of Brittain, Lovell and Early Reports
by BPEA participants
247-260 Interpreting the Fed's Monetary Targets
by William Poole
261-280 Some Problems of Money Demand
by Jared Enzler & Lewis Johnson & John Paulus
280-282 Discussion: Some Problems of Money Demand
by BPEA participants

1975, Volume 6, Issue 3

481-490 Editors' Summary
by The Editors
491-556 Global Monetarism and the Monetary Approach to the Balance of Payments
by Marina V. N. Whitman
557-612 Inflation Accounting and Nonfinancial Corporate Profits: Physical Assets
by John B. Shoven & Jeremy I. Bulow
613-670 The Impact of Aggregate Demand on Prices
by Robert J. Gordon
671-724 The 1972-75 Commodity Boom
by Richard N. Cooper & Robert Z. Lawrence
725-745 The Importance of Temporary Layoffs: An Empirical Analysis
by Martin S. Feldstein

1975, Volume 6, Issue 2

247-256 Editors' Summary
by The Editors

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